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Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on YOWIE GROUP LTD. We currently have 6 research reports from 1 professional analysts.
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YOWIE GROUP LTD
YOWIE GROUP LTD
Steady course through choppy waters
24 Jan 17
Success for a start-up is rarely a straight line. Production implementation difficulties affected Yowie’s ability to fulfil orders in its December quarter. However, management is sticking to its long-range plans to build on its success in the US by pushing to expand the brand to two to three markets outside the US in FY17. While the expansion timetable is in our view more aggressive than that of similar start-up companies, we believe the investment spending and expansion tactics are quite conservative. Our model now includes our estimates for sales outside the US (OUS); however, it includes more modest revenue and profitability expectations for FY17-19, but we maintain our confidence in the company’s long-term growth and profitability prospects.
Roll-out accomplished – moving to the next phase
12 Dec 16
Yowie is making sound progress against its near-term strategy. At initiation a year ago, the company was very much a start-up story despite its historical success in the 1990s. To this point, management has demonstrated its ability to deliver on its short-term retail goals while anticipating and investing in future opportunities for growth through both in-licensing brands to expand sales, and early plans to leverage the Yowie brand into publishing, entertainment and other products.
04 May 16
An investor day at Yowie’s new manufacturing facility on 25 April revealed a smooth relocation and the successful production of its first in-licensed product – Angry Bird character Yowies – to coincide with the upcoming Angry Birds movie in mid-May. Retail revenues rose another 29% on a sequential basis in the March quarter, to an estimated US$8m as the company filled reorders from existing customers and new customers including Walgreens. Volumes appear in line with our estimates so we are maintaining our top-line expectations for now. We will revisit our forecasts after the FY16 results in September when more information is available on the reduction of patent royalty fees resulting from the new contract manufacturer, as well as any additional cost savings.
26 Feb 16
Yowie Group’s retail revenues rose 29% on a sequential basis in the December quarter to an estimated US$6.2m as the company completed its roll-out to 4,300 Walmart stores in the US. December quarter numbers include both retail and stock-building sales, so we are maintaining our topline expectations for now. However, based on the company’s recent move to a new contract manufacturer and the resulting discontinuation of patent royalty fees, we believe there may be upside to our estimates.
Walmart rollout leads to record sales
06 Nov 15
Yowie Group’s retail revenues doubled on a sequential basis in the September quarter to an estimated US$4.8m as the company expands its rollout from 1,500 to 4,300 Walmart stores in the US. With the Walmart rollout nearly complete, inventory-related working capital needs are declining, improving operating cash flow trends. Based on these early results, we believe there may be upside to our fiscal 2016 base case outlook. However, we are maintaining our estimates for now as the September quarter numbers reflect both retail and stock-building sales.
Confectionery with a conscience
21 Sep 15
Yowie Group has a clear brand vision rooted in the natural world and an exciting near-term strategy, based on legally protected US barriers to entry. We forecast rapid sales growth as the company executes on the opportunity led by its product rollout to over 4,300 Walmart stores in the US. Although that growth is being recognized in the share price, upside remains, and we suggest neither international expansion nor significant wider product and licensing activities are yet reflected by the market.
13 Feb 17
Middlesbrough-based pawnbroker Ramsdens Holdings is set to join AIM on 15 February. Its growth is not coming from its core business but from providing foreign currency, pre-paid travel cards and international payments. The strategy is to increase the group’s online activities and grow the number of branches. In the year to March 2016, group revenues improved from £29.2m to £30m. The accounts of the main subsidiary show that foreign-currency margin rose from £5.36m to £7.59m. This contributes 35% of group gross profit. By contrast, the core business of pawnbroking, precious metal purchases and retail sales fell from £21.3m to £19.8m. Revenues from other financial services were flat at £2.6m. Ramsdens has 127 sites and last year it made an operating profit of £3.19m. In the six months to September 2016, revenues increased from £16.2m to £18.4m and operating profit improved from £2.81m to £3.48m. The placing will raise £15.6m at 86p a share, valuing the company at £26.5m. NorthEdge Capital, which backed a buyout in September 2014, will receive just over £10m from share sales. The NorthEdge stake will fall from 75.6% to 30.7%. The other £5m will go to the company and be used to repay the remaining loan notes and the costs of the flotation. By the end of March 2016, there were still £4m of loan notes outstanding to NorthEdge, with £4.86m paid off during the previous year.
FY16 pre-close +ve surprise: Raising FY16, 17, 18 PBT c.1%, 4% and 6%
12 Jan 17
Today’s slightly better-than-expected FY16 pre-close trading statement prompts us to raise our FY16 PBT estimate by c.1%, reflecting the combination of (1) growth in several of HFG’s key markets, (2) strong overall operating performance, and (3) favourable fx translational benefits (recalling that 62% of FY15 sales were ex-UK). To reflect the positive profit contribution impact of the Portuguese j/v agreement signed on January 4th, the j/v income line is boosted by €1.5m (c.£1.3m) and €2.5m (c.£2.2m) in FY17 and FY18 respectively, representing upgrades of c.4% and c.6%. Once operating at full capacity utilisation, the j/v could well add €3m (c.£2.6m) in FY19. To reflect (1) our increased FY16-FY18 forecasts, (2) current peer EV/EBITDA valuation multiples, and (3) our view that HFG now deserves to trade at a premium to the peer group in view of its impressively strong financial track record (i.e. FY06-FY16 since IPO) for organic and investment-led profitable growth, combined with an array of emerging, highly promising initiatives (see our note “Start of a new chapter of growth” published on October 4th) to expand the scale and scope of HFG’s core business, we raise our TP to 805p (previously 755p). Maintain BUY.
04 Nov 16
Looking at the top 50 non-listed casual dining and bar operators, it appears that the £80bn market for eating and drinking out in the UK is alive and well. The AlixPartners Growth Company Index (October 2016) shows that 2-year profit CAGR has improved over the last few years, and recent surveys from Greene King, Coffer Peach and Deloitte highlight elevated spend on out-of-home occasions. We attribute this to 1) a shift amongst consumers from an ownership to experience-led mentality which has driven habitual spend on leisure 2) an increasing focus on food from historically wet-led operators as they diversify their revenue streams to mitigate competition from the off-trade and match consumer gravitation towards eating out and convenience; 3) increasing regional penetration resulting from oversupply and high rental costs in London and 4) strong sector support from Private Equity investors, attracted to the Leisure sector's cash flow profile which can be leveraged against. Nevertheless, we may look back on 2016 as the peak for casual dining and bar operator profitability, particularly for London-weighted operators who face unfavourable rent and rate costs as well as potential loss of cheap migrant/seasonal labour. Past performance is certainly not a guide to future performance.
Joy of Techs
21 Nov 16
ICT evolution is driven by technological development as advances are made which both meet and shape customer requirements. Our 2011 note No such thing as a telco described the modern reality in that former ‘telcos’ now deliver varying elements of a range of managed services. We built on this theme last year, exploring in further detail their evolutionary paths, operating fundamentals, and cashflow yield similarities. In the consumer environment, demand for bundles of technology is complemented by demand for content. Across the pond, the mooted combination of AT&T and Time Warner typifies the bundled need of ‘pipe’ and content, since unbundled alternatives such as FaceTime and WhatsApp can be easier and clearer to chat over, and Amazon and Netflix are easier to watch anywhere. In the UK, BT’s defensive actions cover delivery, content and capabilities, acquiring EE yet also buying football rights. While TV was long ago added to triple play to become quad play, voice is now merely an app, and fixed and mobile seen as just dumb pipes: it's the content that will influence consumer choices. Growth of TV and film as well as music and gaming over IP leads to UK small cap opportunities. In context of the drive to maximise value from pipes and access by offering content and data, we look at some amongst the potential tech small cap beneficiaries: Amino*, Keyword Studios, ZOO Digital*, 7digital*, KCOM* and CityFibre*.
25 Nov 16
Sound Energy (SOU): Completion of fundraise (BUY)| Ithaca Energy (IAE): Inspection delay (BUY) | Zambeef* (ZAM): Good performance in a challenging year (CORP) | Gresham House Strategic* (GHS): Attractively priced (CORP) |Joy of Techs: Analyst interview | Support Group: Analyst interview