Research, Charts & Company Announcements
Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on YPB GROUP LTD. We currently have 6 research reports from 1 professional analysts.
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YPB GROUP LTD
YPB GROUP LTD
Upgrading on guidance
10 Jun 16
YPB Group (YPB) combines patented anti-counterfeiting technology with security packaging solutions, consulting and forensic services to help businesses protect their brands from the risks of counterfeiting and product diversion. The company recently completed a A$4.54m share placement and provided guidance to the market for FY17 profit before tax of A$5m. We have incorporated this guidance and the effect of the share placement into our forecasts, resulting in a 24% upgrade to our FY17e PBT to A$5.4m. Our DCF valuation is A$0.43/share (A$0.44 previously) following the upgrade and after incorporating the additional 18.91m shares in issue.
Raises A$4.5m via an institutional placement
24 May 16
YPB Group (YPB) has completed an institutional placement of 18.75m shares at A$0.24/share raising A$4.5m. The placement was oversubscribed and brought six new institutions to the register. The company plans to use the net proceeds to accelerate conversion of its business opportunity pipeline into recurring revenues, expand into new markets and enhance its solutions suite through R&D investment. The placement follows an announcement by YPB last week that it expected to breakeven by Q117 and deliver a pre-tax profit of A$5m for FY17.
FY17 PBT guidance of A$5m
19 May 16
YPB Group (YPB) combines patented anti-counterfeiting technology with security packaging solutions, consulting and forensic services to help businesses protect their brands from the risk of counterfeiting and product diversion. YPB has announced that it expects to reach cash flow break-even by end Q117 and to deliver profit before tax of A$5m for the year ending 31 December 2017. This is the first time the company has given guidance for FY17 and follows a spate of successful contracts for the group, the latest being a memorandum of understanding to supply its technology to global packaging group Orora. YPB’s guidance is 16% ahead of Edison’s FY17 PBT forecast.
Connecting in the Americas
30 Mar 16
YPB Group has secured a three-year contract to provide its invisible supply chain authentication solution to a major US casual footwear brand, with its tracer technology set to be incorporated in 70% of the brand’s entire production. The contract, believed to be with Crocs, is the second major transaction secured by YPB in the Americas this quarter. It follows further support for YPB’s product in China with Beijing Sandun Card Technology choosing YPB’s anti-counterfeit technology for security passes for the People’s Procuratorate of Beijing Municipality. Our DCF valuation is A$0.44/share, having incorporated the recently completed A$7.8m capital raise.
Connecting to protect and detect
12 Nov 15
YPB Group has completed the acquisition of privately-held proximity marketing company nTouch for A$4.5m in shares at 35c/share. The acquisition extends its anti-counterfeiting expertise in B2C and positions it as one of the only companies globally to offer end-to-end counterfeit protection solutions. We have incorporated nTouch into our forecasts and included some recent contract wins. This has resulted in both an upgrade to our CY15e and CY16e forecasts and an increase in our DCF valuation to A$0.50/share from A$0.37/share previously.
Strong trading leads to upgrades
22 Mar 17
On the back of today’s positive trading update and slightly upgraded profit forecasts for FY2017, FY2018 and FY2019 we have reviewed our DCF analysis. This has led to an increased DCF valuation per share of 1500p (from 1200p) which we have made our new target price (from 1200p). Both TFP and JC Paper have contributed to the upgrades shown in the table below as have favourable currency movements. With the potential for further upgrades due to capitalising 3DP costs to come we maintain our Add recommendation.
Bang to rights
21 Mar 17
Tullow unexpectedly announced a US$750m rights issue on Friday at a 45.2% discount to the previous close. While this step confirms our investment thesis, the scale of the discount and the timing look like a slap in the face for investors and/or indicative of a weaker financial position than we are modelling. We publish revised estimates to reflect the impact of the issue and cut our Target Price to 215p per share (from 245p). We maintain our Hold recommendation.
Panmure Morning Note 22-03-2017
22 Mar 17
Acacia Mining and Endeavour Mining confirmed merger talks have now ended with Endeavour claiming an inability to “create adequate value for Endeavour shareholders”, most likely, we believe, given the disappointing ruling from the Tanzanian government on copper-gold concentrate sales. We were positive on the merger and believed a credible London listed Pan-African producer capable of challenging Randgold, would have been established. We make no change to our Hold recommendation today, and expect the shares to be marked lower in early trade.
South Disouq spuds
20 Mar 17
SDX Energy announced this morning that it has spudded the South Disouq (SD-1X) well in Egypt, targeting gas and oil across a number of intervals. This is a high impact event for SDX Energy, as current company 2P reserves of 4.7mmboe (post acquisition) would be dwarfed by success at South Disouq (we model a 65mmboe field of which SDX holds 55% WI), which could be developed quickly due to existing pipeline infrastructure passing through the block. Our valuation for South Disouq is 6.8p/share, although on success we would expect notable de-risking. Our core NAV is 42p with a full NAV (including South Disouq) of 57p/share. The well is due to take 30-45 days, so we would expect a result in mid late April.