Research, Charts & Company Announcements
Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on OTTO ENERGY LTD. We currently have 4 research reports from 1 professional analysts.
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OTTO ENERGY LTD
OTTO ENERGY LTD
Focused on 2016
18 Dec 15
In 2015 Otto transformed from producer to pure explorer. With the drop in commodity prices, this was perfect timing. The first well under the new strategy was not successful – its fully carried Hawkeye-1 exploration well (offshore the Philippines) was declared uncommercial in October and it is seeking to exit the area. However, Otto has added to the portfolio with entry into the Alaskan North Slope, a recent deal in Louisiana and drilling in Tanzania in 2016, pointing to an exciting year ahead for shareholders. After some adjustments, our RENAV uplifts slightly to A$0.07/share, but we will revisit it in the new year following further clarity on the GoM options.
02 Sep 15
The Hawkeye-1 well has been completed and declared uncommercial. While encountering hydrocarbons, the volumes were at the very low end of expectations and were mostly water wet. The results will be built into the SC55 model and next moves there are being considered. Otto was fully carried for the well and so cash balances remain strong to develop the Tanzania and Alaska exploration prospects. Our core NAV remains A$0.04/share and RENAV, removing Hawkeye-1, adjusts to A$0.06/share from A$0.15/share.
More American pie
10 Aug 15
Otto’s A$1.2m in a share acquisition of 100% of Borealis follows swiftly on the recent further farm-out of Hawkeye-1 to Pryce Gases and rapid drilling of the initial stages of the well. Crucially, the acquisition gives Otto, in stages, a greater exposure to the Alaskan Great Bear exploration acreage and development. We see these moves as value accretive, with Otto utilising its cash wisely, giving shareholders exposure to a potentially very rewarding play.
31 Jul 15
With the spudding of the Hawkeye-1 well in the Philippines due imminently, Otto has announced a departure from its historic core operating areas to take a small working interest in the highly prospective North Slope of Alaska. Otto has signed an LOI and taken an equity stake (40%) with private Australian company Borealis Petroleum, which is currently farming into Great Bear Petroleum’s acreage. At the equivalent of US$342/acre and with three wells to be drilled in early 2016, newsflow over coming months has the potential to be very value-accretive. Adjusting for the Galoc sale and dividend, our RENAV is A$0.15/share.
20 Feb 17
Hayward Tyler Group* (HAYT): Trading update and financial position (CORP) | Petra Diamonds (PDL): Interim results (BUY) | Gemfields* (GEM): Interim results (CORP) | Premaitha Health* (NIPT): Middle East momentum (CORP) | Sound Energy (SOU): Acquisition update and TE-8 well spud (HOLD) | Proactis* (PHD): Interim trading on track (CORP) | 7digital* (7DIG): Automotive contract win (CORP)
The Slide Rule
12 Jan 17
What is The Slide Rule? The Slide Rule has been designed to dramatically simplify the identification of the best companies in the UK small/mid-cap sector by making a quantitative assessment of the relative potential of each company. At its core, The Slide Rule aims to identify those companies that create genuine shareholder value through strong returns on capital and solid growth, but also present a value opportunity with the potential tailwind of earnings momentum. Companies are assessed within a Quality, Value, Growth and Momentum (QVGM) framework.
Playing the long term, with short-term risks
16 Feb 17
After the publication of the annual results, we update our view and highlight the key points. Q4 16 key highlights As a reminder, the company reported results 30% below expectations at $400m for Q4 16. By division: 1) In upstream, underlying replacement costs profit came to $400m, vs. a loss a year earlier of $728m and a loss of $224m in Q3 16, reflecting the ongoing lower costs which have benefited from simplifications, efficiencies and lower exploration write-offs. In the US, the loss is still $147m. Production came in at 2.19mbpd, down 5.5% yoy due to disposals and up 1.8% on an underlying basis thanks to ramp-ups. One of the key events during the quarter was the renewal of BP’s onshore concession in the UAE with a 10% interest in the ADCO onshore oil concession. In terms of outlook, production should be higher in 2017 and will depend on the timing of project start-ups, acquisitions, divestments, and OPEC quota. Also the Abu Dhabi concession will be visible as from Q1 17. 2) In downstream, replacement costs profit came to $877m, down from $1.2bn a year ago and $1.4bn in Q3 16. The US division showed a loss of $371m vs a gain of $1.25bn. Non-US Fuel business earnings halved to $417m due to the weaker refining environment as well as the impact from the particularly large turnaround at the Whiting refinery. In lubricants, profit rose to $357m, reflecting the continued strong performance in its growth markets and premium brands as well as simplifications and greater efficiencies. The margin should remain unchanged for Q1 17. 3) Rosneft. Underlying replacement costs profit came to $135m, down from $235m a year ago, affected by the increased government take. Production was at 1.15mbpd, up from 1.03mbpd a year ago. This reflects the completion of the acquisition of Bashneft and Rosneft’s increased stake in the PetroMonagas venture. BP received a dividend of $322m after deduction of the withholding tax, in July 2016. On the Macondo oil spill, the charge taken for the Q4 16 pre-tax was $530m. This reflects BP’s latest estimates for claims including business economic loss. The pre-tax cash outflow on costs related to the oil spill for the full year 2016 was $7.1bn. Cash flow Excluding the Gulf of Mexico payment, the operating cash flow was $4.5bn. Underlying operating cash flow excluding the oil spill-related payment was $17.8bn for the full year. Proceeds during the year and the scrip dividend were not enough to cover capex and the cash dividend. Gearing at the end of the year increased to 27% ($35.5bn debt), in the high range of the group’s target of 20-30%. Organic capital was $16bn, below original guidance of $17bn to $19bn. Capex in 2017 should be close to $16-17bn. Divestment proceeds should be higher in 2017, close to $5bn and then reducing by $2-3bn per year after 2018. The total costs of the Deepwater payment should fall to $2bn in 2018 and then $1bn per year as from 2019. In 2017, this should be close to $5bn. All in all, including the latest acquisitions, cash flow break-even should be close to $60/bbl in 2017.
Small Cap Breakfast
16 Feb 17
Saffron Energy—Schedule One update. Raising £2.5m, expected Mkt Cap £7.7m. Admission due 24 Feb. Italian Oil & Gas Play Guinness Oil & Gas Exploration—Publication of prospectus. Seeking to raise £50m and invest in 15 exploration companies at launch, with plans to grow the portfolio to 30 positions during its lifetime. Issue closing 23 Feb. Arix Bioscience — Intention to float on the main market from the global healthcare and life science Company supporting medical innovation. Raised £52m in Feb 16 with investors including Woodford Investment Management
GMP FirstEnergy ― UK Energy morning research package
17 Feb 17
Enquest (ENQ LN): Speculative Buy, £0.65: Kraken FPSO in the field and hooked up in the North Sea | Ithaca Energy (IAE LN/CN)6: BUY, £1.40: Stella First Hydrocarbons in the North Sea | Bowleven (BLVN LN) (not covered): Denies claims made by Crown Ocean Capital