Aura announced a JV with Chilean Metals (TSXV:CMX) to advance the exploration of its highly prospective (in our view) gold and base metal licences in Mauritania. Some early geological work (including shallow drilling) highlights the gold enrichment in the area and the potential for nickel-copper-(cobalt) mineralisation as well. Nearology – along strike from Kinross' giant Tasiast deposit (7Moz gold in Proven and Probable Reserve) – only adds to the prospectivity we see. Aura's other project in Mauritania, Tiris uranium project, is at an advanced stage and has many competitive advantages – not least its low-capital intensity (per lb of U3O8), its low operating cost (compared with global peers), its scalability and the fuller area potential. Häggån is Aura's other project – a larger-scale proposition in Sweden with a defined resource and under PEA to prioritise the production of vanadium. For now, attention will focus on due diligence and signing the definitive agreement with Chilean before the work on the gold and base metals exploration in Mauritania can begin in earnest, as Aura looks to deliver exploration success into a rising gold price environment. We see fair value at 1.9p/sh.
Companies: Aura Energy Ltd.
Aura Energy* - (AURA LN) – Term sheet on Mauritanian gold, base and battery metals projects | Pure Gold Mining (PUR LN) – Positive initial results from drilling at Red Lake mine
Companies: Aura Energy Ltd. Pure Gold Mining, Inc.
Gold JV to explore Aura's gold licences in Mauritania
Aura has announced a JV with Chilean Metals (TSXV:CMX) to advance the exploration of its highly prospective (in our view) gold and base metal licences in Mauritania. Some early geological work (including shallow drilling) highlights the gold enrichment in the area and the potential for nickel-copper-(cobalt) mineralisation as well. Nearology – along strike from Kinross' giant Tasiast deposit (7Moz gold in Proven and Probable Reserve) – only adds to the prospectivity we see. Aura's other project in Mauritania, Tiris uranium project, is at an advanced stage and has many competitive advantages – not least its low-capital intensity (per lb of U3O8), its low operating cost (compared with global peers), its scalability and the fuller area potential. Häggån is Aura's other project - larger-scale proposition in Sweden with a defined resource and under PEA to prioritise the production of vanadium. For now, attention will focus on due diligence and signing the definitive agreement with Chilean before the work on the gold and base metals in Mauritania can begin in earnest, as Aura looks to deliver exploration success into a rising gold price environment.
Companies: Aura Energy
Gold – Robust pricing, improved returns and increased interest
The robust gold price, currently sitting comfortably above $1,700/oz, has been one of the bright spots of the current COVID crisis, although the roots of the price increase were seen well before from mid-2019 on geopolitical and trade concerns. Gold mining companies have been reaping the rewards of the higher price with forecast profits and cash expected to grow significantly. The increase in gold price has been reflected by share price appreciation for most of the gold-mining sector; gold miners, those companies developing gold projects and even gold explorers have all seen an uptick in share prices. Those companies in production should see considerably higher profits and we expect the level of dividends back to shareholders to rise.
The rate of M&A in the sector might also increase, as in previous high price periods, with some companies assuming that these prices can be sustained – however, they will have to be careful as a rash of M&A in previous cycles has shown that there may be a price to pay later on and the industry can ill afford a return to eye-wateringly large write-downs on the other side of this cycle. Gold miners will also have to behave prudently as there will, of course, be a temptation for higher throughput and production, regardless of grade, to generate more cash – a decreasing profit margin perhaps, but a lengthening mine life; as in everything there is a balance to be made to ensure sensible returns.
We are most heartened by a renewed interest in the previously (seemingly) ignored junior explorers which we think is a theme that will develop and continue.
Companies: AEE CMCL CNG GDP JLP
Anglo Asian Mining* (AAZ LN) - BUY – Strategy update | Aura Energy* (AURA LN) – General meeting rejects proposed new directors | Bluejay Mining plc (JAY LN) – Chairman’s statement highlights work with Rio Tinto and near-term ilmenite (titanium) production | Chaarat Gold* (CGH LN) - BUY – Quarterly production increases, costs come down, FY20 target reiterated at 55koz | Strategic Minerals* (SML LN) – Draft environmental programme submitted for Leigh Creek
Companies: AAZ AEE JAY CGH SML
Arc Minerals* (ARCM LN) –- Arc Minerals raises £2.37m at 1.7p per share | Asiamet Resources (ARS LN) – Progress on permitting the BKM copper project \ Aura Energy* - (AURA LN) – Further issue of shares | Ormonde Mining* (ORM LN) – Covid19 measures | Serabi Gold* (SRB LN) – Q1 results | Sibanye-Stillwater (SSW JSE) – CEO calls for South Africa to allow underground mines to run at full capacity | Sunrise Resources Plc (SRES LN) – CS Project environmental assessment
Companies: ARCM ARS AEE ORM SRB SRES
Atalaya Mining (ATYM LN) – Copper price weakness blunts Q1 results | Aura Energy* - (AURA LN) – Further issue of shares | KEFI Minerals* (KEFI LN) – Finalisation of the Tulu Kapi funding due in Oct/20 and Hawiah maiden resource in mid-20 | Tertiary Minerals* TYM –– Pyramid project drilling results
Companies: ATYM AEE KEFI TYM
Where are we now?
Aura holds two development projects (Tirius uranium in Mauritania and Häggån vanadium
in Sweden) plus some very prospective base metal and gold exploration licences in
Mauritania. Tiris will be first off the block and has a Feasibility Study prepared, with Aura
looking to fund this into a rising uranium price environment. Tiris has many competitive
advantages – not least its low-capital intensity (per lb of U3O8), its low operating cost
(compared with global peers), its scalability and the fuller area potential. Häggån is largerscale
proposition and has a drilled resource and is undergoing a PEA to update a previous
study carried out a few years ago – now to prioritise the production of vanadium. Early
work on the gold/base metal licences has shown the evident potential– especially
considering the geology and its location along strike from Kinross's giant Tasiast gold mine
and adjacent to AlGold's properties. We see fair value in Aura at 3.2p/sh - with much of
that value in the Tiris uranium deposit.
Aura Energy* - (AURA LN) – Quarterly report highlights Tiris uranium and corporate developments | Conroy Gold & Natural Resources (CGNR LN) – Gold in outcrop at Glenish | European Metal Holdings (EMH LN) – Cinovec Preliminary Mining Permit | Glencore (GLEN LN) –- Q1 production report highlights strength of trading operations and restoration of mining | Greatland Gold (GGP LN) – Havieron project drilling results | Vast Resources* (VAST LN) – Issue of shares to Atlas
Companies: AEE CGNR EMH GLEN GGP VAST
Nokia joins partnership to improve mining communications in underground mining operations | Aura Energy* - (AURA LN) – Further issue of shares | Erris Resources (ERIS LN) –Targets identified at Scottish gold project | European Metal Holdings (EMH LN) – CEZ investment completed | Metals Exploration (MTL LN) SUSPENDED – Updated mineral reserve | Phoenix Copper* (PXC LN) – Second phase of drilling at Red Star | Sunstone Metals (STM AU) – Placing for A$1.73m
Companies: AEE ERIS EMH MTL
Aura Energy* - (AURA LN) – Issue of shares | Altus Strategies* (ALS LN) – Tabakorole geophysical survey identifies new targets | Caledonia Mining* (CMCL LN) – AGM Procedures | Chaarat Gold* (CGH LN) - BUY – Completion of a $13.8m placing | Empire Metals* (EEE LN) (formerly Georgian Mining GEO LN) – Acquisition of control in Australian Palladium Deposit | Mkango Resources* (MKA LN) - COVID-19 safety measures for Malawi | Scotgold Resources* (SGZ LN) BUY – 119p – Earnings update: delivering gold at Cononish | Serabi Gold* (SRB LN) –– Appointment of non-executive director | Vast Resources* (VAST LN) – Baita Plai parts and equipment shipment update
Companies: AEE ALS CMCL CGH GEO MKA SGZ SRB VAST
Aura Energy* - (AURA LN) - EGM schedule | BHP (BHP LN) – Quarterly production report leaves guidance largely unchanged | Gem Diamonds (GEMD LN) – Q1 trading update | Power Metals* (POW LN) - Alamo gold project expansion and extension | Tertiary Minerals* TYM – Pyramid Gold project
Companies: AEE BHP GEMD POW TYM
Anglo Asian Mining* (AAZ LN) – Production maintained amid escalating state COVID-19 containment measures | Adriatic Metals* (ADT1 LN) – Gravity data reveals additional targets | Ariana Resources* (AAU LN) – Subsidiary pays Ariana £1.6m dividend | Aura Energy* (AURA LN) – Postponement of EGM | Caledonia Mining (CMCL LN) – Virus mitigation measures in place | Gem Diamonds (GEMD LN) – Letseng placed on care and maintenance | Polymet Mining* (PLM N) - Minnesota Supreme Court will hear appeal on three PolyMet permits | Sunstone Metals Limited (STM AU) – Identification of high-grade gold-copper porphyry targets at Bramaderos | Serabi Gold* (SRB LN) –– Higher gold prices and falling Brazalian real
Companies: AAZ ADT1 AAU AEE CMCL GEMD POM SRB
Amur Minerals* (AMC LN) – £1.5m convertible loan note | Aura Energy* (AURA LN) – Issue of shares | Bushveld Minerals* (BMN LN) – Agreement with redT energy plc to supply electrolyte for Vanadium Redox Flow
Batteries | Condor Gold* (CNR LN) – Looking ahead to production at La India | MC Mining (MCM LN) – Interim results highlight a drop in earnings reflecting weak coal prices
Companies: AMC AEE BMN CNR MCM
Bushveld Minerals* (BMN LN) – Agreement with redT energy plc to supply electrolyte for Vanadium Redox Flow Batteries | Aura Energy* (AURA LN) – Issue of shares | Greatland Gold (GGP LN) –Havieron project update | Metals Exploration (MTL LN) – Unable to extend the Standstill Agreement, stock suspended | Oriole Resources (ORR LN) – Thani Stratex Djibouti | Orosur Mining* (OMI LN) – Orosur receives US$0.5m from Newmont as part of Anzá project earn-in agreement
Companies: BMN AEE GGP MTL ORR OMI
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Jersey Oil & Gas has announced that it has selected a greenfield four-legged platform to develop the Greater Buchan Area which will utilise existing export pipeline infrastructure. We see near-term scope to increase materially our fair value estimate from 268p. We believe that today's news is price material and that it sets the scene for a near-term catalyst rich outlook for the company. It is an opportune time, in our opinion, to gain exposure to the Jersey Oil & Gas investment opportunity.
Companies: Jersey Oil & Gas Plc
In H1, 2020 and the period directly following (Q3, 2020), EQTEC has made substantial operational progress, significantly boosting its project pipeline and strengthening its balance sheet with an over-subscribed £10m fund raising in July 2020. Revenue generation in H1, 2020, however, was constrained due to the impacts of Covid-19 and severe fires in California. We now forecast revenue of €2.4m in 2020E, compared with our previous forecast of €7.0m. Importantly, no projects have been cancelled. Delayed revenue is expected to flow into 2021E. Select new projects, having been secured in 2020, are expected to reach financial close in 2021E and 2022E, in addition to those existing projects under development in those years. As a result, we are increasing our 2021E and 2022E forecasts.
Companies: EQTEC Plc
H1 2020 results; progress on concept selection
Central Asia Metals (CAML LN) reported robust interim results in the context of the H1 2020 backdrop; solid production and the company’s fundamentally low cost base meant that CAML remained profitable despite the sharp pullback in commodity prices during the period which led to a 17% YoY decline in revenue to US$70.8m. Consequently, EBITDA was down 25% YoY to US$42.5m despite a decline in unit costs of 6% YoY at Kounrad and 9% YoY at Sasa to US$0.48/lb and US$0.43/lb respectively which cushioned the impact of the weaker the top line. With no significant one offs in the period, EPS of US$0.10/sh. was 33% lower YoY.
Companies: Central Asia Metals Plc
Another set of record results from Iofina, with H1 2020 benefiting from improved iodine pricing, solid cost controls and robust operational performance. Some of the shine will be taken off by the cautionary tone over the impact of COVID-19 on current iodine demand and pricing. Nevertheless, these results on top of the recent debt refinancing again demonstrate the continued improvements Iofina is delivering both operational and financially. It now has a solid platform of diversified low cost iodine production from five plants, a range of iodine and non-iodine specialty chemicals products, an improved balance sheet and a new lending partner with which to deliver its ‘prudent growth’ ambition.
Companies: Iofina Plc
Talitha Shelf Margin Deltaic LKA resource report
Companies: Pantheon Resources Plc
The stock was up 12% on Friday, 25/09, sparked by the positive outcome on Vodafone’s dispute with the Indian tax authorities. This is encouraging for Cairn, but note that both cases differ. While the tax authorities simply erased Vodafone’s tax bill, they owe up to $1.4bn to Cairn, and could offer more resistance.
Companies: Cairn Energy Plc
H1/20 has been a highly successful period for United Oil & Gas, during which time it has successfully transformed into a full-cycle E&P company. Key to this success has been the Abu Sennan acquisition, with net production increasing to 2,700boepd at the end of June. The significant production and reserve additions delivered as part of the 2019-20 drilling campaign emphasises the considerable upside that still remains in the block. Post period, United were granted a 100% operated working interest and an 18-month extension to the Walton-Morant licence, offshore Jamaica. At 229mmbbls, the Walton-Morant licence has the potential to have a major impact on United, which we value at US$724.3m or 76.8p/share unrisked. We update our valuation, increasing our price target to 19.1p/share, a 549% premium to the current share price and reiterate our BUY recommendation.
Companies: United Oil & Gas Plc
Adriatic Metals* (ADT1 LN) – Annual results and review of exploration | AfriTin (ATM LN) –– H1 report highlights production ramp-up at the Uis mine | Ariana Resources* (AAU LN) – US$30m partial disposal of Turkish Assets | Anglo Asian Mining* (AAZ LN) – BUY – Gedabek continue unaffected by the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict | Cornish Lithium (Private) - Cornish Lithium looking to bring the EV supply chain closer to home | IronRidge Resources* (IRR LN) – FY20 results: well positioned to continue de-risking portfolio projects with A$7.3m in the bank | Kavango Resources (KAV LN) – Resuming field exploration of the Kalahari Copper Belt, Botswana | Power Metal Resources (POW LN) – Exploration gets underway on Botswana joint-venture | Rambler Metals and Mining* (RMM LN) – Interims and refinancing of debt and planned restoration of mine production at higher copper grade | Renascor Resources (RNU AU) – Offtake agreement with Chinese anode manufacturer highlights China’s dominance of supply chain | Trans-Siberian Gold (TSG LN) – 8c interim dividend declared reflecting robust FCF and strong outlook | Versarien* (VRS LN) – New Advisory Panel brings together global leaders in graphene within Versarien
Companies: ADT1 ATM AAU AAZ IRR KAV POW RMM RNU TSG VRS
EQTEC announced (last Friday afternoon) an extension of the exclusivity period of the Billingham MOU until 22 November 2020. The extension of the MOU exclusivity period is with the aim of finishing the preparation of a legally binding option agreement with Scot Bros. which, if agreed, will grant EQTEC and its partners the right, but not the obligation, to purchase the entire issued share capital of Billingham EFW Limited (the project SPV) from Scott Bros. subject to an agreement on consideration and other terms.
West Newton B-1 drilling update
Companies: Union Jack Oil Plc
Chariot’s interims represent something of a line in the sand for the new management team, with historic oil-focussed deepwater exploration spend written-off, demonstrating its recent corporate and strategic ‘reboot’, which has ushered in a more entrepreneurial approach. Strategy has shifted away from higher-risk frontier exploration in favour of opportunities that better fit the energy transition. With the annual cash burn cut 45% to US$2.5m, no remaining work commitments and period-end cash of US$5.8m, management has a clear path ahead to deliver on its ambitions.
Companies: Chariot Oil & Gas Ltd.
Hargreaves’ FY20 results are very solid indeed. As previously reported, the only noticeable impact from COVID was in the slippage of Blindwells’ land sales, which were due to conclude during the lockdown period. Site activity has resumed and sales remain on track to conclude in the current year. A final dividend of 4.5p has been declared and the outlook statement is measured but confident. We reintroduce forecasts today, effectively reinstating our pre-COVID expectations. Hargreaves is well positioned to deliver a period of significant, renewed growth with the prospect of a double digit dividend yield from FY22 as HRMS profits are distributed.
Companies: Hargreaves Services Plc
Ready to steppe it up – initiating coverage
Companies: Enwell Energy Plc
Despite a lack of update on the Indian tax dispute (with the panel expecting to give an award after the end of the summer), the results are decent. Production averaged 22.4kboed, at the higher end of the 19-23kbpd guidance and the full-year guidance is also raised to 21-23kbpd. The sale of Senegal to Woodside has been approved by shareholders and remains subject to government approval.