Upgrading on guidance

YPB Group (YPB) combines patented anti-counterfeiting technology with security packaging solutions, consulting and forensic services to help businesses protect their brands from the risks of counterfeiting and product diversion. The company recently completed a A$4.54m share placement and provided guidance to the market for FY17 profit before tax of A$5m. We have incorporated this guidance and the effect of the share placement into our forecasts, resulting in a 24% upgrade to our FY17e PBT to A$

Raises A$4.5m via an institutional placement

YPB Group (YPB) has completed an institutional placement of 18.75m shares at A$0.24/share raising A$4.5m. The placement was oversubscribed and brought six new institutions to the register. The company plans to use the net proceeds to accelerate conversion of its business opportunity pipeline into recurring revenues, expand into new markets and enhance its solutions suite through R&D investment. The placement follows an announcement by YPB last week that it expected to breakeven by Q117 and deliv

FY17 PBT guidance of A$5m

YPB Group (YPB) combines patented anti-counterfeiting technology with security packaging solutions, consulting and forensic services to help businesses protect their brands from the risk of counterfeiting and product diversion. YPB has announced that it expects to reach cash flow break-even by end Q117 and to deliver profit before tax of A$5m for the year ending 31 December 2017. This is the first time the company has given guidance for FY17 and follows a spate of successful contracts for the gr

Connecting in the Americas

YPB Group has secured a three-year contract to provide its invisible supply chain authentication solution to a major US casual footwear brand, with its tracer technology set to be incorporated in 70% of the brand’s entire production. The contract, believed to be with Crocs, is the second major transaction secured by YPB in the Americas this quarter. It follows further support for YPB’s product in China with Beijing Sandun Card Technology choosing YPB’s anti-counterfeit technology for security pa

Connecting to protect and detect

YPB Group has completed the acquisition of privately-held proximity marketing company nTouch for A$4.5m in shares at 35c/share. The acquisition extends its anti-counterfeiting expertise in B2C and positions it as one of the only companies globally to offer end-to-end counterfeit protection solutions. We have incorporated nTouch into our forecasts and included some recent contract wins. This has resulted in both an upgrade to our CY15e and CY16e forecasts and an increase in our DCF valuation to A

Detecting and protecting its future

YPB Group (YPB) is in the early stages of commercialising its patented, non-destructible, anti-counterfeiting technology used for brand protection and product authentication. YPB raised A$3.7m at IPO (A$0.20 per share) and a further A$6.3m (A$0.30 per share) by way of placements. The company has three contracts expected to generate total revenue of CN¥318m (A$66m) over four and a half years. Our DCF valuation of A$0.37 per share assumes that the current contracts are rolled over. Further value s

Morning Note – 26 January 2023

Upgrades on the horizon

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 25 Jan 23

25 January 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment object

Encouraging signs

H1 numbers convince us that cons. numbers are likely to get gently nudged up over the coming 12 months. H1 revs growth of 9% compares to cons. FYJun23 forecasts of 8%. H1 adj. PBT is tracking in line at present but FCF looks ahead. DOTD expresses confidence in H2 demand and strategic direction. We suspect H222 was the nadir. Buy. PT 115p.

Trading Update

TPXimpact has announced a Q3 update which indicates that trading was below expectations and it has lowered its guidance for the full year.

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 17 Jan 23

17 January 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment object

FY22 Trading Update

Cambridge Cognition has released a strong FY22 update which indicates that revenues were ahead of expectations and from this higher base we raise our FY23 revenue forecast by +6%.

Record FY22 revenues despite supply chain challenges

FireAngels year end update highlights record revenues of £57.4m (+32%, 2021: £43.5m), with an adj. LBT of £3.5m (2021: £3.5m), which is in line with our forecasts. The result would have been higher at £2.1m had the Group not incurred £1.4m of additional procurement costs due to supply chain challenges. Related to this, longer lead times resulted in a higher year end stock position, increasing net debt to £4.8m pre-leases (SCME: £3.6m). Encouragingly, there are early signs of supply chain challen

FY22 Trading Update

National World has reported a strong Trading Update, we increase our PBT/EPS estimates by +11% for FY22 and +7% in 2023, with higher interest income, digital revenue & cost estimates.

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 23 Jan 23

23 January 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment object

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 26 Jan 23

26 January 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment object

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 30 Jan 23

30 January 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment object

Cenkos: Brave Bison Group Plc -- The Next Link in the Chain

Brave Bison has raised £4.75m of equity capital at 2.3p, to help fund an acquisition of a complementary business, called Social Chain. The target will bring significant brand recognition and cross-selling opportunities to blue-chip clients. We forecast an increase in FY23E revenues of £12.4m to £42.9m, a £1.0m increase in Adj EBITDA to £4.1m and an 11% increase in Adj EPS from 0.22p to 0.25p. Post-acquisition, Brave Bison would trade on a discount to the peer group median across EV/Sales, EV/EBI

FY22 solid ARR and strong FCF growth

Microlise has delivered FY22 EBITDA slightly ahead of our forecast £8.0m (we assume £8.1m) and FCF substantially ahead (£5.5m vs. SCMe £3.0m). ARR growth of 10% is in line and we suspect recurring revenue growth is similar. This is despite a shortfall in lower margin hardware revenues of some £2m in H2 as supply chain issues continued to weigh. On the back of a record order book Microlise is confident about the FY23 outlook, if indeed expecting supply chain issues to persist for a few more month

SHORE CAPITAL - FireAngel Safety Technology Group+ (FA) - House Stock at 8p