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Breakfast Today

  • 11 Aug 16

"House prices, one of the UK's principal consumer confidence supports, have come under Brexit pressure. The Royal Institute of Surveyors confirmed yesterday that its members were reporting falling activity levels in all regions, with July prices growing at their slowest pace in three years, a sharp drop in sales and a record low number of properties being advertised. A survey of over 300 agents also suggests they expect key London prices to fall over the next year. This news, along with the sharp reversal in oil prices spurred by a reported spike in US crude inventories on the back of expanded production from Saudi Arabia, means equities in London will have a soft opening this morning, with the FTSE-100 seen down around 25 points in early trading. The US markets, not surprising, saw energy stocks lead the falls overnight; while continuing to trade in a narrow range, all principal indices closed modestly negative in the absence of other significant corporate or macroeconomic news. In Asia, the Nikkei was closed for Mountain Day public holiday, leaving the Chinese markets in Hong Kong and Shanghai to put in fractional gains, while the commodity-exposed ASX fell back quite sharply. UK investors will be keen to see this morning's Council of Mortgage Lenders arrears and repossessions report, while corporates expected to report half-yearly figures include Caledonia Mining Corp. (CMCL.L), Glencore (GLEN.L), Hastings Group (HSTG.L), Old Mutual (OML.L) and TUI (TUI.L)." - Barry Gibb, Research Analyst