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AGRANA BETEILIGUNGS AG
AGRANA BETEILIGUNGS AG
Using their loaf
30 Nov 16
Finsbury Foods has been transformed by a series of acquisitions that has contributed to revenue and earnings nearly doubling over the last three years. Record levels of capital investment continue to improve the Group’s competitive position, whilst exposure to growth segments of the food market is helping likefor-likes. Profit growth is expected to slow in the current year in the absence of acquisitions but underlying trading remains resilient despite some cost headwinds, whilst debt reduction is accelerating. The rating is undemanding and the recent share price weakness has created a buying opportunity.
Joy of Techs
21 Nov 16
ICT evolution is driven by technological development as advances are made which both meet and shape customer requirements. Our 2011 note No such thing as a telco described the modern reality in that former ‘telcos’ now deliver varying elements of a range of managed services. We built on this theme last year, exploring in further detail their evolutionary paths, operating fundamentals, and cashflow yield similarities. In the consumer environment, demand for bundles of technology is complemented by demand for content. Across the pond, the mooted combination of AT&T and Time Warner typifies the bundled need of ‘pipe’ and content, since unbundled alternatives such as FaceTime and WhatsApp can be easier and clearer to chat over, and Amazon and Netflix are easier to watch anywhere. In the UK, BT’s defensive actions cover delivery, content and capabilities, acquiring EE yet also buying football rights. While TV was long ago added to triple play to become quad play, voice is now merely an app, and fixed and mobile seen as just dumb pipes: it's the content that will influence consumer choices. Growth of TV and film as well as music and gaming over IP leads to UK small cap opportunities. In context of the drive to maximise value from pipes and access by offering content and data, we look at some amongst the potential tech small cap beneficiaries: Amino*, Keyword Studios, ZOO Digital*, 7digital*, KCOM* and CityFibre*.
25 Nov 16
Sound Energy (SOU): Completion of fundraise (BUY) Following yesterday’s announcement relating to the fundraise on the Primarybid platform the company has successfully completed the transaction. Analyst: Dougie Youngson Ithaca Energy (IAE): Inspection delay (BUY) During the final stages of commissioning faults were identified in some junction boxes. Consequently start up of production has been delayed until early January whilst the situation is remedied. Analyst: Dougie Youngson Zambeef* (ZAM): Good performance in a challenging year (CORP) Zambeef has reported FY2016 results which we feel are commendable given an extremely difficult twelve months which saw the collapse of the Kwacha, high local inflation, drought, power cuts and the requirement for a large-scale refinancing of the business. In this context double-digit underlying progress in revenue and gross profit is a significant achievement. FY2017 should be a far more 'normal' year and we are not materially changing our FY2017 forecasts or target price. Analyst: Raymond Greaves Gresham House Strategic* (GHS): Attractively priced (CORP) On a 26% discount to NAV of 1,025p yet targeting a 15% annualised return and having made a clear statement on dividend distribution (distributing 50% of net realised profit as a dividend, with 15p indicated from net realised profit YTD for a 2% yield), GHS shares present an attractive investment opportunity. The management objective remains the construction of a concentrated portfolio of mainly quoted smaller companies acquired on compelling multiples, with a three- to five-year holding period and significant engagement envisaged to maximise returns. Analyst: Duncan Hall
Small Cap Breakfast
25 Nov 16
i3 Energy Investment—According to its investor Glenwick (GWIK.L) i3 will seek an AIM admission once its license has been approved by the UK Oil & Gas Authority Walls & Futures REIT — Has raised £1m at £1 to acquire, refurbish or develop residential properties in the UK . Due to arrive on ISDX on 29 November Diversified Oil & Gas— Schedule One now out. $60m to be raised. Expected admission 6 December. Creo Medical Group —UK based medical device company focused on surgical endoscopy, a recent development in minimally invasive surgery. Admission due 7 December. Fundraising details TBA.
04 Nov 16
Breaking with convention, this Quarter we take the temperature of the expanding non-listed casual dining and bar operator sector. Looking at the top 50 operators, it appears that the £80bn market for eating and drinking out in the UK is alive and well. The AlixPartners Growth Company Index (October 2016) shows that 2-year profit CAGR has improved over the last few years, and recent surveys from Greene King, Coffer Peach and Deloitte highlight elevated spend on out-of-home occasions.