Leucrotta announced second quarter financial and operating results which were in line to slightly behind GMPFE and consensus expectations (AFFO $0.01 vs. GMPFE $0.01 vs. consensus $0.01). Leucrotta invested ~$3 mm in the quarter, surpassing both GMPFE and consensus estimates of $0.00 mm and $1.65 mm, with the lion’s share of the expenditure being directed towards an infrastructure acquisition in the Two Rivers operating area. We have taken capex down in both 2019e and 2020e as management conveys
Companies: Leucrotta Exploration, Inc.
Leucrotta announced 1Q19 results which were in line with both GMPFE and consensus expectations (FFO $0.02 vs. GMPFE $0.02 vs. consensus $0.02) in what was a relatively quiet quarter operationally.
Leucrotta provided an update regarding its 8-22 (B08-22-081-14W6) Upper Montney test well at Mica.
Leucrotta announced its 2018 reserve results, which is similar to prior years. Conversion of resource to tangible production and cash flow continues to be secondary to preservation/expansion of large resource footprint, and the careful delineation of acreage position. As such, PDP based performance measures are underwhelming, undeveloped 1P/2P categories are better, though will still trial its peers to a degree in some efficiency aspects.
Leucrotta announced financial and operating results slightly behind our forecast, with lower liquids production, higher differentials and royalties cresting above a lower unit cash cost element which was a positive.
This morning, LXE announced the initial results of its 10-08 Upper Montney well at Two Rivers. The well was cleaned-up over a ten day period and on the last day recorded a rate of 1,842 boe/d, which included 685 b/d (42 degree light oil), 5.6 mmcf/d of natural gas (1.3% H2S) and an estimated 224 b/d of recoverable NGL’s. Management noted that the well was also producing significant water and frac fluid during the test period which was expected for the Upper Montney in the region.
LXE reported average 1Q18 production of 4,180 boe/d (27% liquids), which was comfortably ahead of the GMPFE estimate of ~3,567 boe/d which management attributed to flush production during the quarter. Production volumes were up ~10% QoQ. Cash flow of $6.4 mm ($0.03/share) was also ahead of our estimate of $3.3mm ($0.02/share) due to higher production and lower than forecasted operating costs. The company also had royalty credits that resulted in no royalties paid during 1Q18. During the quarter,
LXE reported average 4Q17 production of 3,802 boe/d (34% liquids). This was in line with pre-released volumes of ~3,802 boe/d (when reserves were released) and production volumes are up ~22% QoQ. Cash flow of $4.5mm ($0.02/share) was ahead of our estimate of $3.3mm ($0.02/share) due to higher liquids production and lower than forecasted operating and transportation costs.
Reserves were up 258% y/y on a PDP basis to 4.6mmboe, 47% on a 1P basis to 15.1mmboe and 63% on a 2P basis to 37.1mmboe. Increased bookings were due to ongoing delineation drilling on its Doe/Mica Montney core area and higher per well bookings (Lower Montney Turbidite oil window moved from 650mboe to 855mboe). Based on managements stated 4Q17 production volumes of 3,802 boe/d, this represents a 1P RLI of 10.8 years and a 2P RLI of 26.7 years. We calculate 2P Future Development Costs of $167.6m
The 9-33 oil well was drilled and completed late last year using 51 fracs compared to the previous design of 28 fracs. The well had a reported IP30 rate of 1,351 boe/d (45%), which is 131% above type curve and well ahead of previous Lower Montney Turbidite wells. Management also stated that its 4-12 liquids-rich gas well that was completed using 49 fracs had an IP90 rate of 685 boe/d (30% liquids), which is tracking below type curve of 845 boe/d (30% liquids). This was largely attributed to a me
LXE reported average 3Q17 production of 3,123 boe/d (27% liquids). This was in line with pre-released volumes of ~3,000 boe/d and production volumes are up ~19% QoQ. Management continues to expect volumes to rise and forecasts 4Q17 average production of 3,600 boe/d (30% liquids) vs previous GMPFE forecasts at 3,369 boe/d (28% liquids) and the street at 3,280 boe/d. CFPS (f.d.) of $0.01/share was slightly ahead of our estimate of $0.00/share due to lower than forecasted operating and transportati
This morning, Leucrotta released a Fall operations update focused on its ongoing Montney activity. The biggest news item from the release was an update on longer-term production data from its A8-22 Lower Montney well. This well had an IP90 rate of 838 boe/d (40% oil & liquids). Given that A8-22 has both a higher IP90 rate (type curve of 521 boe/d) and a shallower decline (IP30 was 996 boe/d), we view these results as encouraging.
3Q17 production of ~3,000 boe/d (27% liquids) is largely in line
Some Recovery on Segmented Cash Flow Generation Over Q1 Though Still Down 56% Y/Y. In aggregate, the Intermediate, Mid, and Small Cap groups are expected to generate 2Q16e cash flow of $1,281 mm, $183 mm, and $53 mm, or $1.517 billion in total, that while depressed relative to the same period last year (~$2.647 billion combined), is up 17% sequentially from the prior quarter, largely on the strength of crude oil price recovery in the period. Severely weak natural gas pricing picture markedly rev
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With this publication we highlight forecast revisions associated with our commodity price update (Natural Gas Update; Crude Oil Update), reaffirming a view of commodity price recovery in 2017e. In the interim until then, 2016e Canadian oil price realizations are up ~11% in the synthetic and Edmonton Light streams, with heavy WCS crude up ~20% which is amplified by Canadian oilsands output curtailments. While 2016e Canadian natural gas prices are projected to be ~20% lower, we expect much of this
Companies: ARX CPG ERF TOU POU CJ PPY SRX LXE
Leucrotta’s first quarter results came in as expected, with little to no new operational information embedded in the release. Recall, during the period the Company announced encouraging results from its 8-22 light oil well at Mica along with a successful liquids-rich delineation well at East Doe, both in the Lower Montney turbidite play. With no material changes to our forecast, we have maintained both our Outperform ranking and target price of $2.00 per share.
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Companies: Sylvania Platinum Ltd.
We are initiating coverage of VAST Resources (VAST), which has wholly-owned Baita Plai and Manaila polymetallic mines plus an interest in two exploration projects, all located in Romania. At this stage, Baita Plai is the main driver for our valuation as it is currently being ramped up to 14kt per month. As such, we expect Baita Plai’s Cu eq output to reach c 2.4ktpa in FY23F followed by 3.3ktpa in FY24F. This, coupled with Manaila’s potential re-start of an additional 3ktpa of Cu eq over the sho
Companies: Vast Resources plc
Phoenix copper today provides an update on its ground geophysical survey over the Red Star prospect near its Empire copper project in Idaho. The Red Star skarn mineralisation (lead and silver ± copper, zinc) is associated with magnetite; the survey just undertaken was to better understand the distribution and orientation of magnetite to find potential mineralisation and to inform the location and direction of a further drilling programme.
Companies: Phoenix Copper Ltd. (United Kingdom)
We see the UK Government’s Net Zero Strategy as being overall helpful but not especially definitive. Amongst our coverage group, Drax Group (DRX LN) and Velocys (VLS LN) benefit from the Humberside CCS cluster prioritisation and Velocys from SAF support. The amount of renewables is likely to boost the need for flexibility solutions where Drax, Gore Street (GSF LN) and SIMEC Atlantis (SAE LN) can benefit. Hydrogen companies ITM (ITM LN) and Powerhouse Energy (PHE LN) are likely to find support. T
Companies: ADN DRX GSF ITM NESF PHE SAE SIT STRLNG TLG VLS
Companies: Shanta Gold Limited
Today’s IPO of Tungsten West (TUN-LON) unlocks a valuable, long term revenue stream for Hargreaves. This comprises a £1m per annum fee (first payment next month) as well as a mining services contract once the mine recommences production. The resulting EPS upgrades are 6% and 7% in FY22 and FY23 respectively, followed by 9% in FY24 with the first partial contribution from the mining services contract. This continues Hargreaves’ impressive recent run of forecast upgrades and reinforces our convict
Companies: Hargreaves Services plc
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Devolver Digital to join AIM, an award-winning digital video games publisher and developer in the indie games space. Recently awarded indie 'Publisher of the Year 2021' by GamesIndustry.biz. Offer TBA. Due early Nov.
Life Science REIT to join AIM raising up to £100m. This will be the first London listed real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on UK life science properties providing investors with exposure
Companies: SYS1 ARE SO4 SNG TMG TMT OHG IDE KIBO MRL
Shanta Gold (AIM: SHG) has, this morning, announced its production and operational results for the quarter ended 30th September 2021 – see Fig 1. Operationally this was a slightly weaker than expected quarter but very promising from the corporate side with a new five-year plan announced, an 0.10cps interim dividend announced and a resource update at the West Kenya Project (WKP).
QoQ production was flat at 14,194 oz and AISC rose to $1,480/oz caused by a temporary drop in grade as well as hig
Oil posted the longest stretch of weekly advances since 2015 as OPEC+ producers only modestly supply the market and as US crude supplies shrink.
Crude futures rose 1.5% Friday in New York, up for a ninth straight week. President Joe Biden said Thursday night that Americans should expect high gasoline prices to continue into next year because of supply being withheld by OPEC and other foreign oil producers. Stockpiles at the biggest US storage hub are draining to levels last seen when crude pr
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Trifast has released a good interim trading update ahead of its interim results due on 23 November. Overall trading has been in line with management expectations at “both revenue and profit levels” since the AGM update in July although this belies the strength of the Group's top line performance in our view. We remain buyers.
Companies: Trifast plc
Rio’s investors day was focused on two of the most critical mining industry thematics in today’s times, i.e. green and growth. The announced measures couldn’t have materialised at a better time, given the (recent) woes pertaining to governance and the iron ore market sell-off. Remember, considering Rio’s enviable balance sheet strength, it has the flexibility to pursue the targeted plans with rigorously and, at the same time, maintain ‘relative’ shareholder reward attractiveness. Hence, we reite
Companies: Rio Tinto plc
Anglo Asian Mining* (AAZ LN) - BUY – 180p – 4.5c special dividend
BeMetals (BMET CN) –– Drilling commences at South Mountain, Idaho
Condor Gold* (CNR LN) – BUY, valuation 102.5p – Progress of the La India feasibility study
Hochschild (HOC LN) - Hochschild to spin off rare earth assets
Rambler Metals and Mining* (RMM LN) – BUY, fair value 10.7p - Ming mine underground drilling programme demonstrates grade and width improvements at depth
SolGold* (SOLG LN) – Tandayama-America initial resour
Companies: BMET AAZ CNR HOC RMM SOLG
Tungsten West (TUN.L) has joined AIM. Tungsten West is the 100% owner and operator of the historical Hemerdon tungsten and tin mine located near Plymouth in southern Devon. Hemerdon represents the world's third largest tungsten mineral resource, with a JORC (2012) compliant Mineral Resource Estimate of approximately 325Mt at 0.12 WO3. Capital raised on Admission: £39m. Anticipated Mkt Cap: £106.2m.
Future Metals NL (ASX:FME, FME.L) (formerly named Red Emperor Resources NL) had joined AIM
Companies: SOLI RBD ALU ATQT BBI CWR DRV ORCP WATR
Adriatic Metals (“ADT”) announced on 13th October that it has raised a cumulative US$244.5m (~£178m) via a combination of equity, senior debt and a copper stream. A total of ~49m new shares were issued at a price of GBp 1.5174/sh, which was a discount of ~11% to the 10-day WVAP price to 12th October. The main use of the proceeds is for the construction and working capital requirements of Adriatic’s fully permitted flagship Vareš project, which has a capital cost of US$168m as outlined in the Def
Companies: Adriatic Metals Plc Shs Chess Deposit Interests Repr 1 Sh
With the recent acquisition of producing assets in the US, Canadian Overseas Petroleum (COPL) has started a new chapter in its existence and has already transformed its value proposition to investors. Following the recent operational developments, we are already seeing potential for a significant additional value accretion in the next 12 months, not only from the producing Barron Flats Unit (BFU), but from several other opportunities as well. The potentially better-than- expected production ramp
Companies: Canadian Overseas Petroleum Limited