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Panmure Morning Note 19-01-2017
19 Jan 17
Today’s H1FY17 pre-close is more than just solid; it demonstrates FIF’s resilience. As flagged at September’s FY16 results and, as demonstrated by both November’s reassuring AGM trading statement and today’s encouraging H1FY17’s pre-close, FIF is both well-prepared and well-equipped to offset considerable input cost pressures and maintain its progress on multiple levels, whilst the scope for accretive M&A in a highly fragmented market remains an added attraction. We maintain our BUY.
The Monthly January 2017
09 Jan 17
Despite all the hullaballoo of the Brexit vote and the subsequent election of Donald Trump as the next US President, the UK stock market prospered last year, especially in the latter few months of 2016. The combination of a depreciating currency – making $ earnings more valuable in relative terms - and the Trump emphasis on infrastructure expenditure drove the stock market higher
Agriculture starts FY2017 ahead of expectations
10 Jan 17
Carr’s Group’s (CARR LN, HOLD, T/P 175p) issued a statement today which confirmed that the company continues to trade in line with the Board’s expectations for the current financial year. The announcement refers to 18- week period which ended on 7th January and is the first pre-AGM statement since the disposal of the flour milling business for £36m.
10 for 17
09 Jan 17
As always at the start of a year, there are significant uncertainties about the year ahead but I think in 2017, the level of uncertainly has decisively moved up a gear. In fact, a leading economist at the LSE, Ethan Ilzetzki, was recently quoted as saying “I view the current global economic environment as the most uncertain in modern history”. Wow.
FY trading update: strategic goals kept despite challenging environment
17 Jan 17
Sales grew organically by 6% (H2: 7.6%, in line with our forecast and slightly better than consensus of 5.7%) and 6.8% on reported figures (in line with consensus, FX: 0.8%). Excluding Russell Stover, sales grew organically 7.4%. FY OG by region: Europe +7.4%, NAFTA +3.4% and ROW +10.2% (driven by Japan and Brazil). Global Retail recorded double- digit growth.