Research, Charts & Company Announcements
Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on LONG RUN EXPLORATION LTD. We currently have 30 research reports from 1 professional analysts.
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LONG RUN EXPLORATION LTD
LONG RUN EXPLORATION LTD
ANNOUNCES RECEIPT OF INVESTMENT CANADA APPROVAL
22 Jun 16
Impact: Positive. Regulatory approval under the Investment Canada Act removes a significant hurdle for the deal and should serve to bridge part of the gap between the current market price and the cash bid price of $0.52 per share implied under the deal.
Domestic E&P Statistical Package and FD&A Review
12 Apr 16
With this publication we highlight various metrics and statistics forthcoming from yearend reserve books for our Domestic E&P coverage universe (Integrateds, Large Cap, Oilsands, Intermediate, Mid Cap, and Small Cap). Similar charts for YE2014 reserves can be found in our Statistical Package dated April 7, 2015.
Reports Year-End Results, Arrangement Set to Close by End of April
11 Mar 16
We view Long Run’s year-end results largely as a non-event in the context of the previously announced sale of the Company to Calgary Sinoenergy Investment Corp. Fourth quarter results saw production that was largely in line with our thinking, while cash flow was ahead primarily on lower royalties and production costs. Year-end reserves were down in all categories, reflecting lower commodity prices and a muted capital program in 2015. In light of the pending sale of the Company, Management has not provided any guidance for 2016e with little to no activity planned in the near term until closing of the Arrangement. We have maintained both our Tender ranking and $0.52 per share target price.
M&A coming to a company near you?
16 Mar 17
Markets have retained their relative strength over the last fortnight. We have seen a mixed reaction to the Budget last week, the passing of the Brexit Bill earlier in the week and the first interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve in the US yesterday. Against this backdrop, we have seen some notable M&A activity across a range of sectors which may move down the market capitalisation scale. We now face an extended period of heightened speculation but “no running commentary” regarding Brexit in the UK after Article 50 is triggered at the end of the month.
Strong trading leads to upgrades
22 Mar 17
On the back of today’s positive trading update and slightly upgraded profit forecasts for FY2017, FY2018 and FY2019 we have reviewed our DCF analysis. This has led to an increased DCF valuation per share of 1500p (from 1200p) which we have made our new target price (from 1200p). Both TFP and JC Paper have contributed to the upgrades shown in the table below as have favourable currency movements. With the potential for further upgrades due to capitalising 3DP costs to come we maintain our Add recommendation.
The Momentum Continues - 2017 to be a Good Year
16 Mar 17
Welcome to IIR’s second “Blue Book” for Junior Resource Companies. This publication covers over 60 resource companies that were present at the 121 Group’s 2017 Cape Town Conference, held at Welgemeende in the Gardens district on February 6-7, 2016. The summaries in the book have been prepared with the assistance of the 121 Group based in London/ Hong Kong and Gavin Wendt from Minelife in Sydney, with the introduction being prepared by Mark Gordon and Gavin Wendt. The company information is accurate as at the time of the conference – and further information on the companies can be provided upon request.
South Disouq spuds
20 Mar 17
SDX Energy announced this morning that it has spudded the South Disouq (SD-1X) well in Egypt, targeting gas and oil across a number of intervals. This is a high impact event for SDX Energy, as current company 2P reserves of 4.7mmboe (post acquisition) would be dwarfed by success at South Disouq (we model a 65mmboe field of which SDX holds 55% WI), which could be developed quickly due to existing pipeline infrastructure passing through the block. Our valuation for South Disouq is 6.8p/share, although on success we would expect notable de-risking. Our core NAV is 42p with a full NAV (including South Disouq) of 57p/share. The well is due to take 30-45 days, so we would expect a result in mid late April.
10 for 17
09 Jan 17
As always at the start of a year, there are significant uncertainties about the year ahead but I think in 2017, the level of uncertainly has decisively moved up a gear. In fact, a leading economist at the LSE, Ethan Ilzetzki, was recently quoted as saying “I view the current global economic environment as the most uncertain in modern history”. Wow.