Research, Charts & Company Announcements
Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on ATHABASCA OIL CORP. We currently have 30 research reports from 1 professional analysts.
|10Mar17 21:00||MKW||Athabasca Oil Corporation Announces Final Results of the Cash Tender Offer for its Senior Secured Second Lien Notes due 2017|
|09Mar17 22:18||MKW||Athabasca Oil Corporation Announces 2016 Year-end Results and Reserves|
|24Feb17 18:54||MKW||Athabasca Oil Corporation Closes Balance Sheet Refinancing Transactions|
|09Feb17 22:32||MKW||Athabasca Oil Corporation Commences Cash Tender Offer and Related Consent Solicitation for Outstanding Canadian Dollar 7.50% Senior Secured Second Lien Notes due 2017|
|09Feb17 22:31||MKW||Athabasca Oil Corporation Announces Balance Sheet Refinancing and Strategic Update|
|31Jan17 21:48||MKW||Athabasca Oil Corporation Closes Transformational Acquisition of High Quality Thermal Oil Assets from Statoil ASA|
|11Mar16 03:38||MKW||Athabasca Oil Corporation Reports 2015 Year-end Results and Reserves|
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Research reports on
ATHABASCA OIL CORP
ATHABASCA OIL CORP
Commodity Price Update – Impact on Integrateds, Large Cap E&P, Oilsands
28 Sep 16
3Q16e WTI prices look set to average ~US$44.50/bbl vs. our $50.00/bbl prior estimate. We have also reduced our 4Q16e WTI forecasts by US$5.00 to US$50.00/ bbl, but left our 2016e+ oil & gas price deck largely unchanged. For the second time in three months we are increasing our forecasts for Canadian refined product premiums relative to New York Harbor.
RECEIVES FINAL PAYMENT FROM BRION (PETROCHINA)
29 Aug 16
Athabasca announced that it has received the final payment ($139 mm) from Brion Energy Corporation (PetroChina) for consideration of the sale of ATH's remaining 40% stake in Dover in 2014, thus bringing to a conclusion the relationship between Athabasca and PetroChina that began with the announcement of the $1.9 billion oilsands JV transaction in late 2009.
2Q16 Results, Increased Montney Spending
11 Aug 16
Recent transactions (Murphy JV, bitumen royalty sale, term loan repayment) improve ATH’s liquidity ahead of a $550 mm debt maturity next year, with possible partial repayment YE16e. Hangingstone appears on track to near nameplate capacity by year-end. The 2H16e budget increased $60 mm to drill 12 new Placid Montney wells. Our estimates have been updated in lieu of new Light Oil division guidance for 2016e and beyond. Upgrading to Outperform. The shares are being discounted due to uncertainty over debt refinancing, Hangingstone ramp up, and Light Oil deliverability. Delivering against these expectations will be key for ATH’s stock.
2Q16 RESULTS, UPDATED GUIDANCE
27 Jul 16
Market Impact: Neutral. Quarterly disclosures were highlighted by an additional $60 mm added to Light Oil capex for 2016e, while perhaps unsurprisingly, production guidance was lowered due to disruptions at Hangingstone from wildfires, but ATH continues to expect nameplate capacity to be hit by year end. 2Q16 production (11.1 mboe/d) was slightly ahead of our expectations and CFPS slightly below (-$0.07/share diluted).
Integrateds, Oilsands & Large Caps
20 Jul 16
The Fort McMurray wildfire took more than 1.2 mmbbl/d of oilsands production offline at one point, disrupting operations of many companies within our coverage universe. We expect production estimates for many oilsands producers (HSE, IMO, SU, ATH) to be more varied than usual with more variables to account for than usual (downtime, ramp up, sales volumes). SCO prices were boosted by the wildfire, with CNQ best positioned to have taken advantage, given the upgrader at Horizon was only mildly affected by wildfires. CVE, HSE and SU likely benefited from a positive FIFO impact. We estimate a positive FIFO impact of $4-5/bbl of throughput assuming a 30 day lag, with a larger positive FIFO impact on longer lags. We are generally close to consensus for most CFPS estimates, with the exception of Suncor, where we are estimating $0.34/share versus consensus at $0.44/share. There are no target price or ranking changes with this publication.
27 Mar 17
Elecosoft* (ELCO): Steadily building profits (CORP) | Bioventix* (BVXP): Interim results lead to upgrades (CORP) | Hurricane Energy (HUR): Halifax discovery (BUY) | KBT Business Technology* (KBT): interims and contract win (CORP) | Independent Oil & Gas* (IOG): Licence updates (CORP)
Strong trading leads to upgrades
22 Mar 17
On the back of today’s positive trading update and slightly upgraded profit forecasts for FY2017, FY2018 and FY2019 we have reviewed our DCF analysis. This has led to an increased DCF valuation per share of 1500p (from 1200p) which we have made our new target price (from 1200p). Both TFP and JC Paper have contributed to the upgrades shown in the table below as have favourable currency movements. With the potential for further upgrades due to capitalising 3DP costs to come we maintain our Add recommendation.
GMP FirstEnergy ― UK Energy morning research package
27 Mar 17
Amerisur Resources (AMER LN)6; HOLD, £0.30: Reduced 2017e production outlook and year-end 2016 reserves | Condor Petroleum (CPI CN)8 ; BUY, C$3.50: Reports 4Q16 results and remains on track for first production from Turkey in mid-2017e | Hurricane Energy (HUR LN) (not covered): Halifax well update in the UK | Cairn Energy (CNE LN): BUY, £2.90: Update on the VR-1 well in Senegal by Far (FAR AU) (Not covered) | Royal Dutch Shell (RDSA/B LN) (not covered): Divestment of Gabonese assets
Small Cap Breakfast
21 Mar 17
First Sentinel—Investment company expecting NEX admission/introduction on 24 March. £636k raised pre-IPO. BioPharma Credit—Expected Gross Initial Acquisition Proceeds now c.$338m. Gross Cash Proceeds capped at $423m with placing and open offer. Results expected 23 March with admission now due 30 march. Tufton Oceanic Assets- The Company intends to invest in a diversified portfolio of second hand commercial sea-going vessels where the Investment Manager believes that an attractive opportunity exists in shipping. $150m raise. Admission 3 April.