Research, Charts & Company Announcements
Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on DELPHI ENERGY CORP. We currently have 30 research reports from 1 professional analysts.
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DELPHI ENERGY CORP
DELPHI ENERGY CORP
2Q16 Hit With Unplanned Outages, Improved Outlook for 2H16
12 Aug 16
Delphi reported 2Q16 results that were behind our production and cash flow estimates. Operations during the quarter were materially disrupted by a one month outage at the SemCAMs K3 gas plant. Operations are now on track in 2H16e with corporate volumes back in the 8,500 boe/d range. Ideally, the Company now expects to exit the year at a rate up 500 boe/d from prior guidance at the midpoint. While cash flow is up 20% on higher anticipated 2017e production, we have left our target price intact at $1.25 per share for the time being, reflecting multiple compression over our prior view as growth continues to remain hampered in the current commodity price environment due to a capitally constrained position, although remain constructive on the Company’s Bigstone Montney asset and the progress achieved to date.
2Q16e Quarterly Preview
26 Jul 16
Some Recovery on Segmented Cash Flow Generation Over Q1 Though Still Down 56% Y/Y. In aggregate, the Intermediate, Mid, and Small Cap groups are expected to generate 2Q16e cash flow of $1,281 mm, $183 mm, and $53 mm, or $1.517 billion in total, that while depressed relative to the same period last year (~$2.647 billion combined), is up 17% sequentially from the prior quarter, largely on the strength of crude oil price recovery in the period. Severely weak natural gas pricing picture markedly reversed into summer, market likely to ignore financials for natural gas producers and look ahead to winter and formalization of sell-side 2018e estimates in coming months. Spot AECO natural gas prices recently crested C$2.60/mcf, and with a reasonable alignment of previously distressed NE BC Stn2 differentials, augmented by a withdrawal expected next week, view the market psyche as constructive and looking ahead, with the analogy that this market is shaping up to mirror 2012 still holding. That said, with crude oil poised to retest support levels, combined with strong stock price performance broadly observed YTD, we would characterize sentiment as slightly pessimistic in the near-term which could reduce or unwind momentum-based investment strategies that have worked thus far in 2016.
ANNOUNCES INCREASE AND PRICING OF OFFERING
03 Jun 16
Impact - slightly positive as the increased offering will provided additional financial flexibility over the nearterm in the context of the Company's revised credit facility, although will result in a modest increase to our forecasted interest expense
Delphi Energy Announces Notes Offering, Reduction to Bank Line
02 Jun 16
Given challenging market conditions, Delphi’s bank line is being reduced and replaced with what we assume will be higher cost debt. In the event the senior notes offering does not close by the end of June then the Company will be in default of its senior credit facility. The Company is looking to issue $40 mm of senior secured notes, effectively terming out some of its debt structure, while the Company’s bank line will be reduced by ~35% to $85 mm leaving a limited amount financial flexibility going forward. With lower cash flow from higher interest costs and a reduced outlook for 2017e in order to stay within the Company’s revised borrowing base we have trimmed our target price to $1.25 per share and maintain our Market Perform ranking.
ANNOUNCES NOTES OFFERING, BANK LINE REDUCTION
30 May 16
Impact - negative as the Company's bank line is being reduced and replaced with what we assume will be higher cost debt, while if the senior notes offering does not close by the end of June then the Company will be in default of its senior credit facility
The Slide Rule
12 Jan 17
What is The Slide Rule? The Slide Rule has been designed to dramatically simplify the identification of the best companies in the UK small/mid-cap sector by making a quantitative assessment of the relative potential of each company. At its core, The Slide Rule aims to identify those companies that create genuine shareholder value through strong returns on capital and solid growth, but also present a value opportunity with the potential tailwind of earnings momentum. Companies are assessed within a Quality, Value, Growth and Momentum (QVGM) framework.
The Monthly January 2017
09 Jan 17
Despite all the hullaballoo of the Brexit vote and the subsequent election of Donald Trump as the next US President, the UK stock market prospered last year, especially in the latter few months of 2016. The combination of a depreciating currency – making $ earnings more valuable in relative terms - and the Trump emphasis on infrastructure expenditure drove the stock market higher
10 for 17
09 Jan 17
As always at the start of a year, there are significant uncertainties about the year ahead but I think in 2017, the level of uncertainly has decisively moved up a gear. In fact, a leading economist at the LSE, Ethan Ilzetzki, was recently quoted as saying “I view the current global economic environment as the most uncertain in modern history”. Wow.
Minor delay but lower cost and better visibility enhance the investment profile
13 Jan 17
First oil at Stella is delayed by about a month, reducing the contribution of Stella to FY17 production by the same period. While this has an impact on FY17e free cash flow, this is negligible to our valuation. More importantly, FY17 opex are estimated at only US$18/boe, below our estimates of US$20/boe. There are opportunities to reduce opex further. Harrier is expected to reach first oil in 2018, one year earlier than we expected and at a cost of US$40 mm lower than we anticipated. The overall development cost is less than US$6.0/boe. Ithaca holds numerous discoveries around Stella that would be developed with a similar cost structure to Harrier.
GMP FirstEnergy ― UK Energy morning research package
10 Jan 17
GeoPark (GPRK-NYSE) 1,6; BUY, US$6.50: 4Q16 operations update and production results | Northern Petroleum (NOP LN)1; SPEC. BUY, £0.10: Results of open offer | Serica Energy (SQZ LN) (not covered): Operations Update | Roxi Petroleum (RXP LN) (not covered): BNG Operational update in Kazakhstan | Tullow Oil (TLW LN); REDUCE, £2.90: Transaction in Uganda frees up cash for Kenya | Eco Atlantic (EOC CN) (not covered): Intention to list on AIM –