Research, Charts & Company Announcements
Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on PARAMOUNT RESOURCES LTD -A. We currently have 31 research reports from 1 professional analysts.
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PARAMOUNT RESOURCES LTD -A
PARAMOUNT RESOURCES LTD -A
Partially Monetizes Seven Generations Equity Stake, Liquidity Facilitates Accelerated Growth Outlook
26 Sep 16
Paramount monetized 74% of its Seven Generations equity stake for gross proceeds of $735 mm (weighted average sale price of $29.76/share). The first well result from its re-focused efforts at Karr yields a solid IP rate averaging 7.0 mmcf/d plus 1,288 bbl/d of liquids (2,454 boe/d) over the initial 16 days of production. With a great initial results and bountiful cash on hand, the Company will be drilling a total of 25 wells at Karr over the next 9-12 months. Based on accelerated capital spending and a meaningful boost to production estimates in 2017e, we are increasing our target price to $15.50 per share while maintaining our Market Perform ranking.
ANNOUNCES THE MONETIZATION OF PART OF ITS SEVEN GENERATIONS ENERGY LTD. (VII) SHARES AND PROVIDES OPERATIONAL UPDATE
23 Sep 16
Impact: Positive. The monetization of Paramount's VII shares lays the foundation for an accelerated growth profile over the next 12-18 months that would take corporate production significantly over our current 16,000 boe/d 2017e exit target. Further, while we remain cautious initial test results, preliminary rates from Paramount's first Karr-Gold Creek extended reach well appear to be in-line to slightly ahead of our type curve and reasonably consistent with offsetting competitor well results.
2Q16 Results Miss Expectations, Proforma Outlook Virtually Unaffected
09 Aug 16
Disappointing 2Q16 volumes and higher than expected cash costs led to cash flow that was surprisingly negative during the quarter, missing both FirstEnergy and consensus expectations. With the one-time operating items in 2Q16 and Musreau commitments expected to be out of the way when the Musreau sale is successfully closed around August 18th, our forward outlook is little changed. Updating our RENAV methodology for the proforma entity leads us to an increased value which is the principal driver for our target price being elevated to $13.50 per share.
PARAMOUNT'S 2Q16 RESULTS MISS EXPECTATIONS
05 Aug 16
Impact: Negative. While the Company has subsequently divested its primary asset at Musreau, the softer than expected production and cash flow in 2Q16 is likely to surprise the market as we await the next operational catalysts from its Karr/Gold Creek Drilling program later in 3Q16.
2Q16e Quarterly Preview
26 Jul 16
Some Recovery on Segmented Cash Flow Generation Over Q1 Though Still Down 56% Y/Y. In aggregate, the Intermediate, Mid, and Small Cap groups are expected to generate 2Q16e cash flow of $1,281 mm, $183 mm, and $53 mm, or $1.517 billion in total, that while depressed relative to the same period last year (~$2.647 billion combined), is up 17% sequentially from the prior quarter, largely on the strength of crude oil price recovery in the period. Severely weak natural gas pricing picture markedly reversed into summer, market likely to ignore financials for natural gas producers and look ahead to winter and formalization of sell-side 2018e estimates in coming months. Spot AECO natural gas prices recently crested C$2.60/mcf, and with a reasonable alignment of previously distressed NE BC Stn2 differentials, augmented by a withdrawal expected next week, view the market psyche as constructive and looking ahead, with the analogy that this market is shaping up to mirror 2012 still holding. That said, with crude oil poised to retest support levels, combined with strong stock price performance broadly observed YTD, we would characterize sentiment as slightly pessimistic in the near-term which could reduce or unwind momentum-based investment strategies that have worked thus far in 2016.
Enters Into Transformative Agreement to Sell Musreau/Kakwa Assets to Seven Generations Energy Ltd. for $1.9 billion
19 Jul 16
Paramount disposed of its core asset at Musreau/Kakwa for $1.9 billion to Seven Generations.As a result, near-term liquidity concerns have been quelled with greatly reduced debt levels and strategic investments now worth in excess of $1.2 billion.Paramount continues to retain a diverse portfolio of assets in attractive, Montneycentric, areas, which we estimate helps present a RENAV out look of ~$12.70 per share ($10.00 per share, forward strip).Our target price increases to $11.50 per share (previously $9.00 per share) with a commensurate upgrade to a Market Perform ranking.
Strong trading leads to upgrades
22 Mar 17
On the back of today’s positive trading update and slightly upgraded profit forecasts for FY2017, FY2018 and FY2019 we have reviewed our DCF analysis. This has led to an increased DCF valuation per share of 1500p (from 1200p) which we have made our new target price (from 1200p). Both TFP and JC Paper have contributed to the upgrades shown in the table below as have favourable currency movements. With the potential for further upgrades due to capitalising 3DP costs to come we maintain our Add recommendation.
Bang to rights
21 Mar 17
Tullow unexpectedly announced a US$750m rights issue on Friday at a 45.2% discount to the previous close. While this step confirms our investment thesis, the scale of the discount and the timing look like a slap in the face for investors and/or indicative of a weaker financial position than we are modelling. We publish revised estimates to reflect the impact of the issue and cut our Target Price to 215p per share (from 245p). We maintain our Hold recommendation.
Panmure Morning Note 22-03-2017
22 Mar 17
Acacia Mining and Endeavour Mining confirmed merger talks have now ended with Endeavour claiming an inability to “create adequate value for Endeavour shareholders”, most likely, we believe, given the disappointing ruling from the Tanzanian government on copper-gold concentrate sales. We were positive on the merger and believed a credible London listed Pan-African producer capable of challenging Randgold, would have been established. We make no change to our Hold recommendation today, and expect the shares to be marked lower in early trade.
South Disouq spuds
20 Mar 17
SDX Energy announced this morning that it has spudded the South Disouq (SD-1X) well in Egypt, targeting gas and oil across a number of intervals. This is a high impact event for SDX Energy, as current company 2P reserves of 4.7mmboe (post acquisition) would be dwarfed by success at South Disouq (we model a 65mmboe field of which SDX holds 55% WI), which could be developed quickly due to existing pipeline infrastructure passing through the block. Our valuation for South Disouq is 6.8p/share, although on success we would expect notable de-risking. Our core NAV is 42p with a full NAV (including South Disouq) of 57p/share. The well is due to take 30-45 days, so we would expect a result in mid late April.
GMP FirstEnergy ― UK Energy morning research package
17 Mar 17
Pacific Exploration & Production1,6 (PEN CN); BUY, C$72.00: 4Q16 results and improving outlook | Serinus Energy (SEN CN)1, 3; Speculative Buy, C$0.65: FY16 results | IGas Energy (IGAS LN) (not covered): Final terms of a previously announced proposed capital restructuring | Tullow Oil (TLW LN): HOLD, £3.10: Right Issue at a discount & CNOOC exercises pre-emption rights in Uganda