Research, Charts & Company Announcements
Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on PARAMOUNT RESOURCES LTD -A. We currently have 31 research reports from 1 professional analysts.
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PARAMOUNT RESOURCES LTD -A
PARAMOUNT RESOURCES LTD -A
Partially Monetizes Seven Generations Equity Stake, Liquidity Facilitates Accelerated Growth Outlook
26 Sep 16
Paramount monetized 74% of its Seven Generations equity stake for gross proceeds of $735 mm (weighted average sale price of $29.76/share). The first well result from its re-focused efforts at Karr yields a solid IP rate averaging 7.0 mmcf/d plus 1,288 bbl/d of liquids (2,454 boe/d) over the initial 16 days of production. With a great initial results and bountiful cash on hand, the Company will be drilling a total of 25 wells at Karr over the next 9-12 months. Based on accelerated capital spending and a meaningful boost to production estimates in 2017e, we are increasing our target price to $15.50 per share while maintaining our Market Perform ranking.
ANNOUNCES THE MONETIZATION OF PART OF ITS SEVEN GENERATIONS ENERGY LTD. (VII) SHARES AND PROVIDES OPERATIONAL UPDATE
23 Sep 16
Impact: Positive. The monetization of Paramount's VII shares lays the foundation for an accelerated growth profile over the next 12-18 months that would take corporate production significantly over our current 16,000 boe/d 2017e exit target. Further, while we remain cautious initial test results, preliminary rates from Paramount's first Karr-Gold Creek extended reach well appear to be in-line to slightly ahead of our type curve and reasonably consistent with offsetting competitor well results.
2Q16 Results Miss Expectations, Proforma Outlook Virtually Unaffected
09 Aug 16
Disappointing 2Q16 volumes and higher than expected cash costs led to cash flow that was surprisingly negative during the quarter, missing both FirstEnergy and consensus expectations. With the one-time operating items in 2Q16 and Musreau commitments expected to be out of the way when the Musreau sale is successfully closed around August 18th, our forward outlook is little changed. Updating our RENAV methodology for the proforma entity leads us to an increased value which is the principal driver for our target price being elevated to $13.50 per share.
PARAMOUNT'S 2Q16 RESULTS MISS EXPECTATIONS
05 Aug 16
Impact: Negative. While the Company has subsequently divested its primary asset at Musreau, the softer than expected production and cash flow in 2Q16 is likely to surprise the market as we await the next operational catalysts from its Karr/Gold Creek Drilling program later in 3Q16.
2Q16e Quarterly Preview
26 Jul 16
Some Recovery on Segmented Cash Flow Generation Over Q1 Though Still Down 56% Y/Y. In aggregate, the Intermediate, Mid, and Small Cap groups are expected to generate 2Q16e cash flow of $1,281 mm, $183 mm, and $53 mm, or $1.517 billion in total, that while depressed relative to the same period last year (~$2.647 billion combined), is up 17% sequentially from the prior quarter, largely on the strength of crude oil price recovery in the period. Severely weak natural gas pricing picture markedly reversed into summer, market likely to ignore financials for natural gas producers and look ahead to winter and formalization of sell-side 2018e estimates in coming months. Spot AECO natural gas prices recently crested C$2.60/mcf, and with a reasonable alignment of previously distressed NE BC Stn2 differentials, augmented by a withdrawal expected next week, view the market psyche as constructive and looking ahead, with the analogy that this market is shaping up to mirror 2012 still holding. That said, with crude oil poised to retest support levels, combined with strong stock price performance broadly observed YTD, we would characterize sentiment as slightly pessimistic in the near-term which could reduce or unwind momentum-based investment strategies that have worked thus far in 2016.
Enters Into Transformative Agreement to Sell Musreau/Kakwa Assets to Seven Generations Energy Ltd. for $1.9 billion
19 Jul 16
Paramount disposed of its core asset at Musreau/Kakwa for $1.9 billion to Seven Generations.As a result, near-term liquidity concerns have been quelled with greatly reduced debt levels and strategic investments now worth in excess of $1.2 billion.Paramount continues to retain a diverse portfolio of assets in attractive, Montneycentric, areas, which we estimate helps present a RENAV out look of ~$12.70 per share ($10.00 per share, forward strip).Our target price increases to $11.50 per share (previously $9.00 per share) with a commensurate upgrade to a Market Perform ranking.
20 Feb 17
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The Slide Rule
12 Jan 17
What is The Slide Rule? The Slide Rule has been designed to dramatically simplify the identification of the best companies in the UK small/mid-cap sector by making a quantitative assessment of the relative potential of each company. At its core, The Slide Rule aims to identify those companies that create genuine shareholder value through strong returns on capital and solid growth, but also present a value opportunity with the potential tailwind of earnings momentum. Companies are assessed within a Quality, Value, Growth and Momentum (QVGM) framework.
Opuama production restarts
21 Feb 17
Eland has confirmed the successful restart of exports from OML 40 through the new shipping alternative that it has implemented. Sales from the export terminal are expected imminently, re-establishing cash generation for Eland. Cash at YE16 was US$11.1m which has since reduced to US$5.9m, mainly reflecting initial operating expenses for the shipping alternative. While it is early days, Eland has demonstrated its ability to restart exports and production from OML 40 following the shut-down of the Forcados terminal a year ago. Production to date is averaging around 7kbd and we expect that to ramp up as Opuama operational performance improves. At US$55/bbl Brent, we estimate Eland is generating a net cash margin of around US$25/bbl. We reiterate our Buy recommendation and 95p per share Target Price.
Small Cap Breakfast
24 Feb 17
GBGI—Schedule One update from integrated provider of international benefits insurance. Raising £32m at 150p. Admission expected tomorrow. Anglo African Oil & Gas— Admission expected early March. Acquiring stake in producing near offshore field in the Republic of the Congo. Guinness Oil & Gas Exploration—Publication of prospectus. Seeking to raise £50m and invest in 15 exploration companies at launch, with plans to grow the portfolio to 30 positions during its lifetime. Issue closing 23 Feb.
Operating update and shareholder activism
15 Feb 17
December and January have seen the emergence of shareholder activism at Bowleven (BLVN), bringing its strategy and management into greater focus. Its largest shareholder (Crown Ocean Capital, COC) evolved from being a supportive shareholder to voting against a number of resolutions at the December AGM, to recently calling for the widespread removal of the board and a radically different company structure. Operationally, the company reports that a new development concept is under review by the stakeholders in Etinde, where production would be piped to existing gas processing facilities in Equatorial Guinea. Such a solution would (if approved) require significantly less capex and could be brought online relatively quickly vs other solutions (fertiliser, FLNG, gas to power). We leave our valuation largely unchanged, save for a revision to cash holding to reflect the recent operational update. Our new core NAV is 49p/share.