Research, Charts & Company Announcements
Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on ALMONTY INDUSTRIES INC. We currently have 6 research reports from 2 professional analysts.
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ALMONTY INDUSTRIES INC
ALMONTY INDUSTRIES INC
Tough as tungsten
16 Aug 16
Operating against persistently low tungsten prices, Almonty has continued to grow its business and has raised two-thirds of the capex required, as debt, for its flagship South Korean Sangdong project, with the remainder likely via equity-linked instruments. We consider development of Sangdong as key to the company managing its gearing levels and the current low tungsten price environment. Aside from growing its production capabilities, Almonty plans to take over Vietnamese ferro-tungsten producer ATC Alloys, thereby diversifying into downstream processing.
APT price rebound key, finances bolstered
11 Mar 16
The present weakness in tungsten (APT) prices continues to be reflected in Almonty’s financial results, against a backdrop of steady production, improving costs and corporate efforts to strengthen its balance sheet. Alongside its corporate activity, Almonty is progressing optimisation of its Wolfram Camp Mine (WCM) to bring costs in line with Los Santos’s, as well as progressing development of its Sangdong asset (commissioning is expected in 2017). With APT prices at 10-year lows, it is clear a rebound in prices is the key for Almonty emerging as the pre-eminent global tungsten producer and maintaining itself as a going concern.
Robust Q315 results despite weaker APT
17 Sep 15
Almonty reported solid Q315 financial results, with an adjusted EBITDA loss narrowing to C$0.9m compared to C$1.0m in Q215 and C$1.5m in Q115, against the backdrop of a falling APT price. The results were supported by the continuing strong performance from Los Santos, which benefited from improved plant recovery and higher processed grade. Having incorporated Sangdong, the reported results and updated tungsten price assumptions into our model, we revise our valuation of Almonty from C$1.00/share to C$1.26/share.
Woulfe transaction implications
31 Jul 15
Following the recent transaction to acquire Woulfe Mining’s equity and debt, Almonty has proposed a merger of the companies, which would give Woulfe shareholders c 40% share in the combined entity. Woulfe’s main asset is the past-producing Sangdong tungsten project, which boasts low opex, capital intensity and a relatively short lead time. We have attempted a preliminary valuation of the project, estimating its NPV10 at C$0.7 per Almonty share on a funded and fully diluted basis, using a US$300/mtu APT price and assuming the IMC JV goes ahead.
20 Feb 17
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The Slide Rule
12 Jan 17
What is The Slide Rule? The Slide Rule has been designed to dramatically simplify the identification of the best companies in the UK small/mid-cap sector by making a quantitative assessment of the relative potential of each company. At its core, The Slide Rule aims to identify those companies that create genuine shareholder value through strong returns on capital and solid growth, but also present a value opportunity with the potential tailwind of earnings momentum. Companies are assessed within a Quality, Value, Growth and Momentum (QVGM) framework.
Opuama production restarts
21 Feb 17
Eland has confirmed the successful restart of exports from OML 40 through the new shipping alternative that it has implemented. Sales from the export terminal are expected imminently, re-establishing cash generation for Eland. Cash at YE16 was US$11.1m which has since reduced to US$5.9m, mainly reflecting initial operating expenses for the shipping alternative. While it is early days, Eland has demonstrated its ability to restart exports and production from OML 40 following the shut-down of the Forcados terminal a year ago. Production to date is averaging around 7kbd and we expect that to ramp up as Opuama operational performance improves. At US$55/bbl Brent, we estimate Eland is generating a net cash margin of around US$25/bbl. We reiterate our Buy recommendation and 95p per share Target Price.
Small Cap Breakfast
24 Feb 17
GBGI—Schedule One update from integrated provider of international benefits insurance. Raising £32m at 150p. Admission expected tomorrow. Anglo African Oil & Gas— Admission expected early March. Acquiring stake in producing near offshore field in the Republic of the Congo. Guinness Oil & Gas Exploration—Publication of prospectus. Seeking to raise £50m and invest in 15 exploration companies at launch, with plans to grow the portfolio to 30 positions during its lifetime. Issue closing 23 Feb.
E&P projects ramp-up and disposals to support 2017
20 Feb 17
After the publication of the annual results, we have updated our model and highlight the key points. Q4 16 key highlights As a reminder, the company reported results of $1.8bn, $0.5bn below expectations for Q4 16. One-offs were $763m for the quarter mainly driven by the integrated gas division related to the weakening Australian dollar and the deferred tax position in Malaysia. By division: 1) Integrated gas’s clean earnings came in at $907m, down 27% yoy. The decrease is driven by the step-up in depreciation resulting from the BG acquisition and the increase associated with the start-up of Gorgon. Other items related to the BG Group consolidation impacted the division. The impact of higher oil prices was more than offset by the decline in LNG prices. Q4 16 production was 908kbpd, up from 633kbpd a year ago thanks to the integration of BG. For the full year, the integrated gas division reported $3.7bn of clean earnings, -27% compared to the previous year. 2) The upstream division showed a small profit of $54m, compared to a loss of $1bn a year earlier. Higher oil prices and increased volumes thanks to the BG integration supported the results driven by an improved operational performance. For the full year, the upstream division reported a loss of $2.7bn compared to a loss of $2.25bn in 2015. 3) Downstream’s earnings came in 12% lower yoy to $1.34bn, impacted by lower trading and refining margin and higher taxation. The results are split between oil products ($823m, down 39% yoy) and chemicals ($516m, up 184%). In oil products, refining trading came in at $77m, down from $771m a year ago. Marketing came in at $746m compared to $631m a year ago on lower operating expenses. Chemicals came in higher on stronger industry conditions driven by the tight supply in Asia and an improved operating performance. For the full year, the results came in at $7.2bn, down 26% yoy. Cash flow position Cash flow from operating activities for Q4 16 was $9.2bn, capex $6.9bn, the dividend $2.3bn, and disposals of $2.7bn which helped to reduce debt to $73bn. Gearing at the end of 2016 was 28%. The dividend was $0.47. The company is close to selling assets for $5bn, which is good news as the group still has to sell $20bn to remain on track with its deleveraging. Capex totalled $26.9bn for the full year 2016, lower than expected and it plans to reduce this in 2017 to $25bn, in the low end of the 2017-20 range of $25-$30bn. The CEO highlighted: “Production and LNG volumes included delivery from new projects, with the ramp-up continuing in 2017 and 2018. Meanwhile the company operates at an underlying cost level that is $10bn lower than Shell’s and BG’s combined only 24 months ago. Shell is gaining momentum on divestments, with some $15bn completed in 2016, announced, or in progress, and we are on track to complete our overall $30bn divestment programme as planned. Strategy is starting to pay off and in 2017 we will be investing around $25bn in high quality, resilient projects. I’m confident 2017 will be another year of progress for Shell to become a world-class investment”