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Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on NOVOZYMES A S-B SHARES. We currently have 7 research reports from 1 professional analysts.
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NOVOZYMES A S-B SHARES
NOVOZYMES A S-B SHARES
Changed sales pattern drives a solid Q4; end-markets uncertainties to persist
23 Feb 17
After a string of disappointing results, Novozymes ended the year on a strong footing with both Q4 and FY 16’s numbers coming slightly ahead of ours as well as consensus estimates. After a poor Q3 (sales contracted 4% and 3% on a reported and organic basis, respectively), sales rebounded 8% (6% organic and a 2% positive currency impact) to DKK3.7bn driven by surge across segments, except for Technical & Pharma (-17% reported basis and -12% organically). The outperformance was primarily driven by a sturdy performance in Agriculture & Feed (+22% vs. -3% in Q3 16, organically) and a turnaround in Bioenergy (+7% vs. -8% in Q3 16, organically) segments. Healthy performances from the larger segments – Household Care (+5% vs. -5% in Q3 16, organically) and Food & Beverages (+4% vs. -2% in Q3 16, organically) also supported the quarterly uptick. Strong sales performance percolated down to profitability too with EBIT growing 10% to DKK1,062m. For FY 16, revenue inched up 1% (2% organic and -1% currency impact) while EBIT rose by c.2% (EBIT margin slightly up to 27.9% vs. 27.7% in FY 15). The dividend has been upped by 14% to DKK4 per share, while a new share buy-back programme of DKK2bn running over FY 17 has been announced. The FY 17 sales growth guidance of 3-6% (in DKK) and 2-5% (organically) is below its long-term ambition (6-7% organically). On the profitability front, management expects EBIT growth to range 3-6% (margin: c.28%) and net profit to expand 2-5%. Also, to ramp-up capacity and fuel innovations, management intends to increase investments in the next few years (DKK1.7-1.9bn guided for FY 17 compared to DKK1.2bn in FY 16).
Weak Q3 triggers another guidance downgrade
14 Nov 16
Yet another disappointing quarter for Novozymes – in fact, it witnessed a decline at both the organic and reported level for the first time in a long period. Both sales and net income were below (all ~ 6%) our, as well as consensus, expectations as all the segments turned negative organically, except for the smaller Technical & Pharma (+16%). The reported sales decline of 4% at the group level was a function of 3% organic contraction and 1% negative currency impact, to DKK3.4bn. Segment-wise, Household Care and Food & Beverages fell by 5% and 2% (all sales growth rates in organic terms, unless otherwise specified), respectively, after 4% growth in Q2 16. Moreover, as expected, the Bioenergy segment contracted at an accelerated pace (-8% vs. -6% in both Q2 16 and Q1 16) while the Agriculture & Feed segment again turned negative (-3% vs. 13% (including the impact of deferred income) in Q2 16 and -8% in Q1 16). Lower sales translated into an adjusted operating profit decline of c.4% to DKK973m. Lower net financial expenses (DKK14m compared to DKK53m in Q3 15) and the tax burden (DKK205m vs. DKK216min 3Q 15) rendered some support to net income, which was up by c.1% to DKK750m). In effect, management has materially (for the fourth time in the year) downgraded its guidance. Organic sales are now expected to expand by c.2% from the previous 2-4% while in DKK terms it is 0-1% from the previous 1-3%, EBIT to grow by 1-2% from the previous 1-3%, net profit to increase by 8-9% from the previous 8-10%). However, the EBIT margin expectations remain unchanged at c.28%.
BioAg weakens, Household Care and Food & Beverages continue their growth momentum
06 Oct 16
Novozymes reported unsatisfactory Q2 16 results, below both consensus as well as our expectations, primarily on lower than expected sales from the Agriculture & Feed segment. After successive growth in multiple quarters, sales contracted 1% in reported figures to DKK3.4bn following a negative currency impact of 5% (pervasive across all the segments) that more than eclipsed the 4% organic sales expansion. On the positive side, both Household Care and Food & Beverages segments grew moderately at 4%. Technical & Pharma also expanded robustly, albeit at a slower pace qoq (+9% vs. +37% in Q1 16) while Bioenergy continued its deceleration (-6%). However, the major disappointment stemmed from Agriculture & Feed which, although it grew ~5% organically (excluding the impact of deferred income), reflected a substantial slowdown from last year (+19% in FY 15) and dented the expectations of solid growth for the year (now moderate growth expected). On the profitability metrics, adjusted operating profit declined c.2% to DKK961m (margin down by 40bp to 28%) while a lower net financial expense of DKK6m compared to DKK48m in Q2 15 augmented attributable net profit by 10.0% to DKK750m (margin up by 2.1ppt to 21.9%). Factoring in the Q2 sales performance and the unexpected weakness in BioAg resulting from uncertainties in the end-markets, management has downgraded its guidance for the third time this year (organic sales growth range decreased to 2-4% from the previous 3-5%). However, the sales growth range in DKK (1-3%) and other profitability forecasts (EBIT margin: ~28%, EBIT growth in DKK: 1-3% and net profit growth: 8-10%) remain unchanged.
Household Care recovering but no respite for Bioenergy
13 May 16
Novozymes’ Q1 16 top-line number came in slightly below our expectation (although largely in line with consensus estimates), while profitability remained strong. Sales grew 2% yoy (sales growth rates in organic terms, unless otherwise specified) and 1% in DKK (following waning currency tailwinds) to DKK3.6bn, driven by the Household Care and Technical & Pharma segments, offset partially by weakness in the Bioenergy and Agriculture & Feed segments. The adjusted EBIT margin (excluding the reorganisation costs of c.DKK70m) was up c.90bp to c.28.3% (including the DKK70m reorganisation costs, it declined c.100bp to 26.3%) led by productivity improvements and a slightly favourable product mix. Hedging gains and a lower effective tax rate allowed net profit to improve 5% to DKK745m. Following the unfavourable movement in exchange rates, the company has downgraded its FY 16 reported sales and EBIT growth guidance to 1-3% (down from the earlier 3-5%). However, organic sales growth, EBIT margin and net profit growth expectations remain unchanged at 3-5%, 28% and 8-10%, respectively. Management expects Q2 16 organic growth to be higher than in Q1 16, mainly on account of easier comps. Amid the challenges being faced by the company, it has announced major organisational and leadership changes (in February 2016), in an effort to streamline operations and become more customer centric. It has consolidated its earlier structure of five divisions into three (Household Care & Technical Industries, Agriculture & Bioenergy and Food & Beverages), appointing new heads for the three new divisions. In addition, it has formed a central Research, Innovation & Supply centre, with COO Thomas Videbæk as its head. While Thomas Nagy, Head of Supply Operations, has left the company, Per Falholt stepped down as head of R&D but is continuing to serve the company in a consulting role.
Crude reality check triggers FY 17-20 downgrade
25 Jan 16
Novozymes ended a turbulent FY 15 on an expectedly soft note with Q4 15 results coming in boardly in line with the muted market and our expectations. Q4 sales were up 2% yoy (organic growth rates, unless otherwise specified) to DKK3.5bn (Q3: +3%), as continued momentum in Agriculture & Feed (+18%; Q3: +20%) and Food & Beverages (+4%; Q3: +6%) as well as recovery in Technical & Pharma (+21%; Q3: -8%) partially offset the weak performance of Bioenergy (-15%; Q3: -6%). Forex benefits contributed 7ppts to the top-line (Q3: 8ppts), catapulting reported growth to 9%. Profitability, on the other hand, remained resilient, with reported EBIT witnessing growth of 14% (in DKK) to DKK962m, driven by productivity improvements, lower raw material costs as well as tight cost control in the R&D and Administrative divisions. A DKK50m write-down reversal in the quarter was fully offset by the DKK54m net write-down in intangible assets related to the Beta Renewables partnership. For the full year, while sales grew by 4% to DKK14bn (+12% in DKK), EBIT and net profit increased by 15% and 12% (in DKK) to DKK3.9bn and DKK2.8bn, respectively (lower end of the revised FY 15 guidance announced in Q3 15). The chief dampener, however, came from the conservative FY 16 guidance along with the lowering of the sales outlook for FY 17-20. For FY 16, management expects (all in DKK) both sales and EBIT growth of 3-5%, and net profit growth of 8-10%. Furthermore, it revised down its FY 17-20 organic sales growth outlook to 6-7% from the earlier 8-10%, citing low commodity prices and weaker emerging market growth. It is worth noting that the company slashed its long-term organic sales growth rate target from above 10% to 8-10% at the time of the FY 14 results. On the positive side, it continued to reward shareholders by proposing a FY 15 dividend of DKK3.5 per share (vs. DKK3.0 in FY 14) and announcing a new DKK2bn share buyback program (to be completed in FY 16).
Margin benefits temper underlying weakness
23 Nov 15
Novozymes, not surprisingly, reported another weak quarter, although slightly better than market expectations, which were tepid at best, thanks to a disappointing Q2 15. In Q3, organic sales were up 3% yoy to DKK3.5bn (better than the 1% seen in Q2, but lower than the 9% recorded in Q3 14) primarily driven by the recovery in Agriculture & Feed (+20% vs. -3% in Q2) and sustained momentum in Food & Beverages (+6%; +4% in Q2), offsetting further sluggishness in Bioenergy (-6% vs. -4% in Q2) and an unexpected decline in Technical & Pharma (-8% vs. +7% in Q2). Household Care continued to face a challenging environment, but showed a slight sequential improvement (+3% vs +2% in Q2). Currency gyrations continue to play a significant role, adding 8% to topline growth, but the impact seems to be moderating (+12% in Q2 and +11% in Q1). Profitability, on the other hand, remained resilient, driven by productivity improvements, slightly lower raw material costs, excellent cost control in R&D and Administrative divisions, as well as positive forex. While EBIT jumped 22% to DKK1.0bn (the margin improved 266bp), hedging losses limited growth at the net profit level to 17% to DKK743m (margin improved 109bp). Considering the worsening environment in Bioenergy and the slight depreciation of the US$, management has narrowed its FY 15 guidance downwards – organic sales growth is now expected to be 4-5% (vs. previously 4-7%), 12-13% reported (vs. 13-16% earlier). The company maintains EBIT margin guidance at 27-28%, but sees EBIT growth at c.15% (vs. previously 15-17%) and net profit growth at c.12% (vs. earlier 11-13%).
N+1 Singer - Morning Song 21-03-2017
21 Mar 17
accesso Technology (ACSO LN) Full year results in line, but key trading months still ahead | Augean (AUG LN) Double digit growth in ’16, good start to ‘17 | Earthport (EPO LN) Interims show continued top line strength | Goals Soccer Centres (GOAL LN) Good momentum under new team. It’s now all about delivery | IQE (IQE LN) FY’16 results prompt further upgrades | Microsaic Systems (MSYS LN) Challenges in 2016, strategy remains in place | mporium Group (MPM LN) Funds raised to help execute strategy | RhythmOne (RTHM LN) Dawn of the independents | ScS Group (SCS LN) Strong progress on key growth initiatives albeit comps now toughen | Sinclair Pharma (SPH LN) FY results: EBITDA ahead, Instalift™ gaining pace | Vectura Group (VEC LN) FY (9-month) results
N+1 Singer - EKF Diagnostics - Final results & potential buy back
20 Mar 17
FY16 prelims are slightly ahead of our latest expectations, those having been increased materially over the course of H2’16 as the strength of the recovery in trading became apparent. In order to maximise shareholder value, the directors are currently examining a potential break up of the group. This would also involve a delisting from AIM. A buy back offer at 21.5p would therefore be made to those investors that wish to exit now rather than holding their shares for the two years plus it would likely take to achieve a potentially higher realisation value for the businesses.
N+1 Singer - N1S Trend spotting - Strategy update
08 Mar 17
In this new product we present some strategy theme updates arising out of our latest analysis of macro trends and economic data and our innovative Quant work. We also look at upcoming events and suggest topping up on some of our Best Ideas for 2017.
Good results, but further restructuring complex for investors
20 Mar 17
EKF Diagnostics FY 2016 results are slightly ahead of expectations, with both higher revenue and better EBITDA. Management has also announced plans to split the company into two separate companies, Point of Care and Laboratory Diagnostics, with the prospect of a delisting to manage the process. The primary metric for valuation of the two businesses is different consequently we believe that the separation is likely to generate significant value. However, in anticipation of the volatility likely given the restructuring announced this morning, despite the strength of the results, we reduce our recommendation to HOLD and maintain our 21p target price.
N+1 Singer - Morning Song 22-03-2017
22 Mar 17
Carador Income Fund (CIFU LN) Premium rating restored, high levels of refinancing activity | Cello Group (CLL LN) Outlook getting brighter – watch Pulsar | Eckoh (ECK LN) Largest ever US secure payments win | eg solutions (EGS LN) Full year results in line | Futura Medical (FUM LN) Licensing deal for CSD500 in Portugal | Verona Pharma (VRP LN) Global agreement with QuintilesIMS to support development of RPL554 | Xaar (XAR LN) 2016 results slightly ahead, reduced visibility in 2017