Research, Charts & Company Announcements
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ALMA MEDIA CORP
ALMA MEDIA CORP
Back to Hold, See More Risk than Reward in the Near Term
17 Feb 17
Ahead of prelims on March 1st, we tweak estimates and move back from Buy to Hold. We do still see good long term value in ITV, based on a resilient structural position in UK TV viewing. However, after a 30% bounce from post-Brexit lows of c160p, we now see more negatives than positives looming in the near term. The risks include NAR weakness, studios trading, management change, and content acquisitions such as ETO. We do see possible upsides from retransmission costs and from bid vulnerability – but also a strong case for likely bidders to sit on their hands for now. We lower our Target Price from 265p to 225p, and travel cautiously into these prelims.
N+1 Singer - Small-cap quantitative research - New quality style screen + 11 quality focus stocks
09 Feb 17
We introduce our fourth and final style screen representing “quality”. This screens for stocks with the best combination of high returns on capital/equity, EBIT margins and operating cash-flow conversion rates. These criteria should help us monitor how strong underlying returns translate into share price performance over time and under varying market conditions. The screen selects the “best” 25 stocks from our universe of just over 500 stocks and, as usual, we focus on a shorter list of stocks we cover or otherwise know and believe to be particularly interesting. We provide brief investment summaries on these focus stocks on pages 4 – 9. We will monitor performance and refresh the screen in approximately 3-4 months time.
N+1 Singer - Morning Song 22-02-2017
22 Feb 17
CORETX (COR LN) Contract wins and new Lifestyle facility | Gooch & Housego (GHH LN) Solid Q1 trading plus earnings enhancing acquisition of StingRay Optics | NCC Group (NCC LN) Further issues in Assurance | PCI-PAL (PCIP LN) Strong H1 underpins positive outlook | UBM (UBM LN) Results | Verona Pharma (VRP LN) Phase IIa RPL554 add-on trial to tiotropium commenced
N+1 Singer - Morning Song 23-02-2017
23 Feb 17
Genus (GNS LN) Interim results: R&D step-up, disappointing ABS performance | Howden Joinery Group (HWDN LN) Prelims and net cash better than expected but conditions weaken | Oxford Pharmascience Group (OXP LN) Encouraging interim OXPzero™ Ibuprofen exploratory PK data | StatPro Group (SOG LN) Increased majority shareholding in Infovest Consulting | Wilmington Group (WIL LN) Interims slightly ahead, move to focus on 3 verticals
Share & share alike
14 Feb 17
The rally in the last fortnight, highlighted in the table, reflects a continued flow of positive updates and economic news. The FTSE 250, Small cap and Fledgling indices have reached record highs. We are in the lull ahead of results for those companies with a December year end, a welter of economic data regarding the UK economy, the State of the Union address in the US on 28 February and the UK Budget on Wednesday 8 March. We will learn at that stage the latest forecasts from the Office of Budget Responsibility. As highlighted previously, the reaction to corporate updates will continue to set the tone.