Research, Charts & Company Announcements
Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on NOKIAN RENKAAT OYJ. We currently have 8 research reports from 1 professional analysts.
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NOKIAN RENKAAT OYJ
NOKIAN RENKAAT OYJ
Nokian Renkaat will dispute the Finnish income tax claim
07 Nov 16
The Finnish tax authorities have argued, for the years 2007-10, that intercompany pricing between the Russian factory and the Finnish sales operation was too high, i.e. profits generated in Finland were ‘artificially’ lowered. The subsequent years have, up to now, not been audited by the tax authorities. The Board of Adjustment of the Finnish Tax Administration has now ruled that the total tax claim of €94m (including penalties and interest), which had been charged to the company’s 2015 P&L and paid in January 2016, has to be reduced by €5m. Management continues to regard the first decision as unfounded and is appealing against the remaining charge of €89m. If the decision is not annulled, the group’s future tax rate will increase from around 17% to a maximum of 22%. We are currently using a tax rate of around 18% for the next few years. Nokian Renkaat has a favourable tax regime in Russia, i.e. high Russian profits do not translate into a high tax charge in the country while high intercompany prices reduce the tax burden in Finland.
CEO steps down and leaves at the end of 2016
27 Sep 16
CEO Ari Lehtoranta intends to pursue new opportunities outside Nokian Renkaat. This is the justification given for this surprising move. He had joined the company only two years ago. Whether this is the reason or whether his February 2016 media interview is the reason, we do not know. At that time he had admitted that the tyre industry had developed special tyres for test purposes in the past. These tyres were different from the ones the industry had sold to end-customers. During the time of his reign, the company’s revenue and profit numbers have fallen considerably. However, this was almost exclusively the result of the Russian crisis, where the share of revenue fell from a good 30% in 2013 to probably less than 15% in 2016.
Fundamentals have deteriorated in Q2
09 Aug 16
Nokian Renkaat’s Q2 was clearly worse than Q1. While the group’s revenue was down by 1.9% to €276m in Q1 and EBIT was up by 4.6% to €51m, these two numbers were -2.4% to €337m and -3.7% to €78m in Q2. Both H1 numbers of €613m (-2.2%) and €128m (-0.6%), respectively, are below our expectations of €627m and €136m. Net earnings after minorities fell by 49% to €101m. However, last year’s Q1 profit number was supported by one-off retroactive tax income of €101m. Excluding this, the Q1 number is up by around 2%, but the Q2 net profit number is down by 5% to €61m. For the full-year, management expects revenue and operating earnings to match last year’s numbers, whereas we had expected a mild recovery in H2.
Q1 revenue poor, but good profits
04 May 16
Revenue fell by 2% to €276m in the last quarter but EBIT was up by 5% to €51m. We had expected €285m and €50m, respectively. At a glance, net profit (-71% to €40m) is a disaster. However, the company was burdened with retroactive tax charges in 2013. Some €101m of these charges were vindicated in Q1 15. Consequently, net profit is up by 16% when this one-off income item is excluded and it is above our projected €38m.
Nokian Renkaat apologises for having cheated in the past
26 Feb 16
According to the company’s CEO, this company has not produced specific tyres for tests run by the car media in recent years. However, it has apparently been common practice by tyre producers to provide the car media with products that were specifically made for the desired purposes. Management stresses that ‘the Board has never decided on such … schemes that would have encouraged cheating in tests …’. Nevertheless, the company apologises and regrets the mistakes that have been made in the past.
Panmure Morning Note 01-12-16
01 Dec 16
Consistent with the FY16 trading update/pre-close on September 14, today’s FY16 results are in line with our and consensus underlying PBT expectations of £12.5m (+22.5% YoY). The total FY16 dividend is up 36%, covered 3.4x, whilst net cash is £6.9m (+53%). FY16 represented another good year of execution, and FY17 has started well. The company's business mix is now more diverse across geographies (International accounted for 26% of total sales vs 21% in FY15) and we see CCT’s increasing diversity in retail distribution as both a further risk-mitigation and opportunity driver. We make no changes to our FY17 and FY18 PBT forecasts of £13.5m and £14.5m (albeit, we make some changes to the constituent parts) and introduce a FY19 PBT of £15.5m. We maintain our BUY and TP of 635p.
Strong H2 expected
30 Nov 16
H1 results were in line with expectations with PBT of £9.0m, EPS of 9.9p and DPS of 7.2p. The NAV / share is 253p. We expect the company to have a strong H2 based on its forward sales position and the timing of developments coming through. Telford has a strong balance sheet, a large development pipeline and impressive forward sales position, as well as good levels of demand for its product and geography from a diverse group of buyers. No change to forecasts at this stage.
US$500m to be invested in start-ups by 2026
28 Nov 16
BMW started a venture capital fund in 2011 with an initial investment of $100m. This is now to be expanded to $500m within the next ten years. The fund, called ‘BMW i Ventures’, has been moved from NYC to Mountain View, CA, to have closer access to the technology developed in the Silicon Valley. The investment focus will be on Enabling Technology and Digital Vehicle Technology, Mobility and Digital Services, Customer Experience, and Advanced Production Technology. According to BMW, the fund has closed 15 deals in ‘mobility-related’ technologies so far. It typically acquires a minority stake in start-ups which allows it to gain access to external innovations (so-called ‘outside-in’) that secure the company’s role as a technology pioneer. Simultaneously, it provides support for start-ups by offering internal resources (so-called ‘inside-out’) such as technical expertise and access to its own network of an established car producer.
N+1 Singer - Morning Song 29-11-2016
29 Nov 16
Vp has reported another impressive set of interims, confirming strong growth in most markets and a positive outlook. Recent acquisitions are bedding in well and the full year outturn is set to exceed previous expectations (5%/6% EPS upgrades in FY17/FY18). The recent Capital Markets Day provided a reminder of Vp’s qualities (specialist focus, high returns, strong cash generation) and its growth potential, which in our view are not reflected in a modest <11x P/E rating. We firmly believe the shares are due a re-rating and see intrinsic value in excess of 800p.
Joy of Techs
21 Nov 16
ICT evolution is driven by technological development as advances are made which both meet and shape customer requirements. Our 2011 note No such thing as a telco described the modern reality in that former ‘telcos’ now deliver varying elements of a range of managed services. We built on this theme last year, exploring in further detail their evolutionary paths, operating fundamentals, and cashflow yield similarities. In the consumer environment, demand for bundles of technology is complemented by demand for content. Across the pond, the mooted combination of AT&T and Time Warner typifies the bundled need of ‘pipe’ and content, since unbundled alternatives such as FaceTime and WhatsApp can be easier and clearer to chat over, and Amazon and Netflix are easier to watch anywhere. In the UK, BT’s defensive actions cover delivery, content and capabilities, acquiring EE yet also buying football rights. While TV was long ago added to triple play to become quad play, voice is now merely an app, and fixed and mobile seen as just dumb pipes: it's the content that will influence consumer choices. Growth of TV and film as well as music and gaming over IP leads to UK small cap opportunities. In context of the drive to maximise value from pipes and access by offering content and data, we look at some amongst the potential tech small cap beneficiaries: Amino*, Keyword Studios, ZOO Digital*, 7digital*, KCOM* and CityFibre*.
Small Cap Breakfast
29 Nov 16
Asia Pacific Investment Partner - the research-driven emerging and frontier markets real estate development business intends to float on AIM and conduct a placing in December RM Secured Direct Lending - The secured direct lending fund intends to float on the Main Market on 15 December raising up to £100m Diversified Oil & Gas— Schedule One now out. $60m to be raised. Expected admission 6 December. Creo Medical Group —UK based medical device company focused on surgical endoscopy, a recent development in minimally invasive surgery. Admission due 7 December. Fundraising details TBA.