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Second "limited" warning in a row as China weighs

  • 29 Oct 15

Schneider reported its Q3 15 revenue of €6,594m, +4.9% reported growth, but corresponding to -1.6% organic growth (-1.1% working day adjusted). The Industry segment decreased 4.6% yoy on an organic basis, reflecting weak industrial investments, a further slowdown in China while North America declined due to weaker oil & gas and IT investments. Other segments (IT, Infrastructure, Buildings & Partner) were flat to slightly negative, also impacted by China. By region, Western Europe stabilised (-1% organic) while Asia Pacific (-5%) weakened due to China and North America (-4%) due to weak Oil & Gas and IT segments coupled with a strong dollar impact. ROW grew +9% due to continued infrastructure investments in the Middle East and project execution in Africa that drove strong growth in the region. Overall, Q3 15 revenue was up slightly outside China. The impact of FX fluctuations was +€420m, or +6.6% during the quarter, mainly due to the US dollar and Chinese yuan against the euro. However, given the euro’s appreciation against the US dollar, Chinese yuan, and several new economies’ currencies since the summer, Schneider now expects, at current rates, the positive FX impact on FY2015 revenues to be reduced by c. €0.2bn to c. €1.8bn with a c.-20bps impact on the 2015 adjusted EBITA margin rate compared to a neutral impact estimated previously. Schneider revised its FY15 targets down: slightly negative organic growth in revenue (vs "an around flat organic growth") and a moderate decline in the EBITA margin vs 2014 (vs a flat to moderate decline) is now expected.