Research, Charts & Company Announcements
Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on RENAULT SA. We currently have 19 research reports from 1 professional analysts.
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Carlos Ghosn steps down as Nissan's CEO
23 Feb 17
Renault’s CEO will remain Chairman of Nissan’s Supervisory Board and CEO of both Renault and Mitsubishi, in which Nissan bought a 34% stake in 2016. Carlos Ghosn successfully restructured Nissan late in the last century, but the company has taken over a minority stake in ailing Mitsubishi and, in late 2016, Renault acquired a majority stake in loss-making Russian Avtovaz. As Ghosn’s track record has been so positive, investors believe that he can also restructure these two latest ventures so that both will eventually generate positive earnings. While the Mitsubishi numbers are consolidated at-equity by Nissan and its results at-equity by Renault, the 2016 Avtovaz balance sheet has been consolidated on 31 December 2016, but the P&L will start to burden Renault’s operating earnings from this year onwards. The Russian car producer does not expect positive operating earnings before impairments and restructuring charges before 2018.
Good results also stemming from Avtovaz and a higher dealer inventory
10 Feb 17
Renault sold a total of 3.18m vehicles (+13%) in 2016 and, as the ASP was up by 0.3% to €15,395, revenue of the Automobile division increased by 14% to €49.0bn. Consolidated revenue increased by 13% to €51.2bn and both revenue numbers were some €1.5bn below our projections. The group shows an operating result of €3.28bn (+38%) and net earnings of €3.42bn (+21%) and these numbers are €230m and €370m, respectively, higher than we had anticipated. Consequently, management proposes a dividend of €3.15 (2015: €2.40) while we had expected €2.75.
Nissan’s profit fall accelerates with yen appreciation
07 Nov 16
Car deliveries increased by a good 3% in both the last quarter and H1 (FYE 31 March) to 1.05m and 2.05m units, respectively. However, as the yen’s appreciation accelerated (its average was up by 9% from April through to May and some 15% from July through to September), Nissan’s revenue fall accelerated from -8.4% in Q1 to -12% in Q2. The same holds true for profits. EBIT was down by 9% to Y176bn in Q1 and by 19% to Y164m in Q2, i.e. expressed in euros it also fell in the last quarter. The company’s respective net earnings were -11% to Y136bn and -16% to Y146bn. As the Q2 net profit fall expressed in yen was similar to the yen’s appreciation against the euro, the at-equity contribution to Renault’s Q3 accounts should have been in the vicinity of last year’s €524m. It had been down by 23% to €749m in H1 16. Nissan’s deliveries fell by 20% to 201,942 in H1 in Japan and 0.3% to 355,466 in Europe but they were up by 8.3% to 1.06m in Nafta and 50% to 203,144 in Asia. Sharply rising volume in Asia has allowed at-equity profits (overwhelmingly from China) to increase by 32% to Y75bn. Simultaneously, exchange losses (including gains and losses from derivatives) fell from Y28bn in H1 15/16 to Y22.6bn. In spite of higher at-equity profits and lower exchange losses, net earnings were down as the operating result was lower (see comment above).
Mercedes-Benz starts pick-up production, but not for Nafta and Asia
30 Sep 16
Daimler’s CEO Dieter Zetsche stated at the Paris Motorshow that the cooperation between Daimler and Renault-Nissan has been expanded during the course of 2016. He focused on four topics: Smart cars will eventually also be available as full-electric cars using Renault’s engines and Daimler’s batteries. The Smart fortwo is to continue to be produced in Daimler’s Hambach/Alsace factory while the forfour is to be produced in Renault’s Slovenian plant along with the Renault Twingo. Daimler and Nissan have laid the foundation for a car plant in Mexico in 2015. Starting in 2017, this plant will produce premium compact cars for the Infiniti brand and from 2018 for the Mercedes-Benz brand. An all-new Mercedes-Benz pick-up will be produced in Renault’s Argentine plant and in Nissan’s Spanish plant. The car will be based on Nissan’s NP300 but, according to Daimler, will look different. It intends to sell the pick-up in all markets outside North America and Asia. We believe that this limitation is a Nissan request and wonder how many of these cars can be sold outside these two regions. A Nissan engine plant in the USA has been producing 2L, 4-cylinder gasoline engines for Daimler since 2014. This plant is currently being expanded to increase capacity. During the last two years, it has produced some 250,000 engines for Daimler and these are used in cars for the Nafta market as well as for Africa. Additionally, engine components are shipped to Germany.
Root & branch review – early margin positive
23 Feb 17
Unilever (ULVR LN, HOLD, T/P 3800p) announced yesterday that it will publish the findings of a root and branch review in April 2017. This is stated as being a result of the recent approach made to them by KraftHeinz (KHC US, N/RO), an offer which quickly lapsed.
A compelling global brand roll-out story
22 Feb 17
We believe that SuperGroup remains one of the most undervalued global brand roll-out stories within the UK retail sector. The stock trades at c20% discount to its UK peers on a 1YF EV/EBITDA basis despite best-in-class revenue growth and profit margins. SuperGroup operates a leading multi-channel proposition, has strong sales momentum across each channel and forecast risk remains on the upside. We initiate coverage on the shares with a buy recommendation and price target of 1898p, implying upside of 27.8% over the prevailing market price.
The Slide Rule
12 Jan 17
What is The Slide Rule? The Slide Rule has been designed to dramatically simplify the identification of the best companies in the UK small/mid-cap sector by making a quantitative assessment of the relative potential of each company. At its core, The Slide Rule aims to identify those companies that create genuine shareholder value through strong returns on capital and solid growth, but also present a value opportunity with the potential tailwind of earnings momentum. Companies are assessed within a Quality, Value, Growth and Momentum (QVGM) framework.
Rolls out NGP, sees another good year of performlance at constant FX
23 Feb 17
FY update: sales are up +6.9% at constant FX (cons. +6.3%, Q4: +3.3%) and +12.6% at current FX (helped by weaker sterling). Group cigarette volume was up +0.2% (cons. +0.8%, Q4: -1.9%) with a 0.8% decline on an organic basis outperforming the industry, which was down by around 3%. Price mix was above 6%. Global Drive Brand (GDB) portfolio volume was up 7.5% with the market share increasing 100bp (GDB now accounts for 49% of the group’s cigarette volume). The operating profit was up +4.1% at constant FX, and the operating margin contracted by 90bp on reported figures on unfavourable transactional headwinds. The net profit is up 8.3%. The FY dividend is up +10% to 169.4p. For FY17, the group remains focused on the integration of Reynolds (deal expected to close during Q3). The company awaits another good year of growth at constant FX with profit growth skewed to H2.
All 2017 deliveries now forward sold confidence in FY18 forecasts increasing
06 Feb 17
This morning’s announcement that Watkin Jones has forward sold the student accommodation element of a development in Bournemouth takes to six the number of developments since the end of FY16 that have been forward sold. Importantly it also now means that all ten developments due to complete in FY17 have been forward sold. Combining the FY17 deliveries with the five projects forward sold, out of the eleven planned deliveries, in FY18 and one in FY19, visibility on gross profit coming from Student Accommodation in current year forecasts is high at c. 80%. This is ahead of the level achieved at the same point in the previous year and increases the visibility for FY18. Despite the recent rally in the share price, Watkin Jones trades on an attractive 10.1x earnings and yields 4.6%.