Event in Progress:
Discover the latest content that has just been published on Research Tree
Aviva gave a Q3 update that confirmed the positive turnaround for the company. Beside that no material news was shared. Despite facing challenges from two major storms (Babet and Ciarán) during the quarter, the British insurer reiterated its targets and expressed confidence in its ability to exceed the Group’s medium-term goals, as previously indicated in the H1 release. Despite these weather-related events, the company asserted that the claims will fall within the annual long-term average weath
Companies: Aviva plc
AlphaValue
Aviva achieved solid results and looks poised to surpass the management’s 2024 targets. Substantial dividends are in prospect, contingent upon the company’s ability to sustain the growth and enhancements demonstrated in this quarter. Despite a mildly disappointing combined ratio, we anticipate a positive turnaround in the upcoming reports due to the favourable impact of price increases.
No change in the narrative. Aviva’s ship sails on as usual. The PRT business is still going well, inflation remains an impediment to a strong P&C improvement, retail customers seem more interested in the rising cost of living than savings’ products and Aviva investors see no real signs of an improvement. This is the same story as in recent quarters and, in that context, our thesis remains the same.
Strong FY 22 results reported by Aviva, and another layer of distribution, but doubts around the soft guidance provided. We confirm our case that Aviva is an M&A opportunity to offer scale while having a much less complex structure.
Aviva is slowly reverting to our investment case scenario. AS expected, the firm is strongly capitalized following the disposal of its non-core businesses and will announce an extra round of distribution at FY 23. Beyond the capital story, it is largely UK-focused and bound to its domestic country’s health while crucially lacking scale in asset management. We reiterate our view that, in addition to distribution story, Aviva would be the perfect M&A target for predators seeking scalability.
Aviva unveiled a fair operating result. While, in line with the insurance industry, Aviva saw a strongly negative impact from financial assets revaluation, the solvency position improved materially, yielding additional capital distributions. Once distributions cease, we believe that Aviva could be a takeover target.
Aviva’s Q1 22 trading update was slightly above our expectations although this remains very much tied to the top-line and profitability could be impacted as of H1. Do the operations really mean that much for the share price with high dividends as a back-up? The latter are expected to continue as the firm has stated that it will release capital above its 180% solvency ratio.
Aviva’s FY results yielded mixed feelings. On the one hand, the operating performance looks weaker than expected while, on the other, distributions are more lucrative than what had been guided…aligned with our expectations. Beyond, Aviva uncovers an interesting plan, but we believe it will have to deliver stronger profitability quickly.
Aviva’s trading update came with some satisfaction, albeit in line with what it had been guiding. All indicators are “on track” as communicated by the firm. The interesting area will come, in our view, from the pressure that activist Cevian is exercising on the firm to distribute more excess capital.
Encouraging set of results posted by Aviva for this H1 release. The core markets operations are satisfying but the most interesting, capital distributions from disposals, will be fruitful and immediately effective for some of it while the biggest chunk is expected by HY 2022.
Aviva’s Q1 2021 trading update was positive. While operations remain flat with positive and negative performances offsetting each other in Savings & retirement and Annuities & Equity respectively, the great news come from the speed at which Aviva has been able to implement its restructuring plan. An improvement in the Solvency ratio and juicy distributions are expected.
Aviva released its 2020 figures, with an operating profit of £3,161m and an IFRS profit after tax at £2,910m up 9.2% yoy. The Board will propose a final dividend of 14p/share. The insurer announced new financial targets with at least $5bn of cumulative cash remittance, £300m of cost reduction and a debt leverage ratio <30%. This update was expected regarding the sale of many operations in 2020. Aviva plans also to become a net zero carbon emissions company by 2040.
Aviva continues to execute rapidly its strategy, leaving France and Turkey. In the last few months, the insurer has realised six transactions. The cash will be used to improve business in the targeted markets (the UK, Ireland, Canada), reduce debt (£1.5bn in 2022) and to distribute a dividend to shareholders (14p per share to be proposed at the upcoming General Meeting).
With the sale of the Singaporean operations for £1.6bn, the new CEO, Amanda Blanc, shows her intention to focus rapidly on its preferred markets (the UK, Ireland and Canada). The next candidate for sale is the French unit. This transaction is more complicated than the previous one, with the necessity to obtain the agreement of Afer, its key partner in France. With potential proceeds of £2.9bn, Aviva could reduce its debts significantly and allocate more capital to the UK bulk annuity business.
H1 20 operating profit declined by 12% to £1,225m and the COVID-19 claims impact was £165m. Cash remittances from business units to the group was only £150m. The insurer said that it will focus on the UK, Ireland and Canada, which means an exit from other European and Asian markets. The Board has declared a second interim dividend in respect of the 2019 financial year of 6p/share and will inform shareholders about the 2019 final dividend in Q4 20.
Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on Aviva plc. We currently have 0 research reports from 6 professional analysts.
In the most difficult market conditions in more than a decade, Foxtons after adopting new strategic priorities, delivered an impressive turnaround in performance, and regained its position as London’s leading Estate Agent. Our analysis recognises the logic which underlies current consensus, see scope for upgrades and justifies valuations materially above current values.
Companies: Foxtons Group Plc
Zeus Capital
The focus of Hardman & Co Research is on the nine quoted Infrastructure Investment Companies (IICs) and on the 22 Renewable Energy Infrastructure Funds (REIFs): the stocks analysed are all members of the Association of Investment Companies (AIC). We are updating our publication of January 2023, assessing both the lacklustre share price performances during 2023 and the key issues, including interest rates, inflation and power prices. As a 31-strong group, its combined market capitalisation is no
Companies: AEIT ROOF DGI9 INPP GSF SEIT USFP HICL ORIT BSIF TRIG NESF SEQI HEIT GRP GCP FSFL 3IN AERI PINT RNEW BBGI GSEO DORE TENT GRID CORD HGEN AEET
Hardman & Co
Companies: PMG DUKE CMCL BOOM
Cavendish
Companies: Gore Street Energy Storage Fund PLC
Shore Capital
Companies: Duke Capital Limited
Canaccord Genuity
Today's announcement from JIM reflects a year which saw challenges both in underlying terms and in relation to the ongoing Section 166 process. Trading volumes have remained under pressure against a choppy economic backdrop. Voluntary requirement (VREQ) restrictions placed on “Model B” clients have led to a reduction in client numbers in this category, although numbers have remained stable since the Q3 completion of assessments. The company did benefit from rising interest rates, a significant p
Companies: Jarvis Securities plc
WHIreland
Companies: Vanquis Banking Group PLC
Gresham House Energy Storage Fund (GRID) is the largest UK fund investing in utility-scale battery energy storage systems (BESS). A recent sharp decline in gas prices, a ‘disappointing’ start to the Energy System Operator’s (ESO’s) new energy trading platform and systemic delays connecting completed projects to the national grid have raised concerns about the revenue generating capacity of the BESS sector. This has placed significant downward pressure on the share prices of GRID and others in th
Companies: Gresham House Energy Storage Fund Plc GBP
Edison
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$1.00 per share: Logging results at Welchau further derisk the discovery – The logging program has confirmed open fracture networks and vuggy porosity (matrix porosity) essential for well productivity coincident with hydrocarbon shows between 1346 m and 1702 m measured depth. This represents 356 m of gross interval across three interpreted lithological sequences. This compares with only 115 m of l
Companies: ENI XOM ADX AXL ITH BCOW EME CASP MEN PHAR ENQ CNE CORO I3E ZPHR PMG CRCL TETY GENL CNE XOM ENI TETY VLE BCOW EGY
Auctus Advisors
The new strategic vision set out by the CEO is gaining significant momentum, driven by investment in staff and in best-in-class bespoke IT and data platforms, and implies that medium-term targets are now coming into focus. Market share is being gained in all divisions, which is likely to be boosted if the sales market stabilises in 2024. We have modestly raised forecasts and our valuation to 132p/share and believe that if interest rates stabilise or ease further, there are upside risks to our fo
Companies: Real Estate Investors plc
Liberum
Companies: Secure Trust Bank Plc
ATT offers significantly discounted exposure to the technology sector…
Companies: Allianz Technology Trust PLC
Kepler | Trust Intelligence
Murray International Trust’s (MYI’s) managers are transitioning smoothly from a team of three to two, ahead of Bruce Stout’s retirement at the end of June 2024. The two remaining managers, Martin Connaghan and Samantha Fitzpatrick, have worked closely with Stout since 2001, so MYI’s shareholders can have confidence that it will be ‘business as usual’ in H224 and beyond. Regardless of the market environment, the managers strive to fulfil their objectives of generating income and capital growth hi
Companies: Murray International Trust PLC
HgCapital Trust (HgT) posted an 11.1% NAV total return in FY23 (based on final audited numbers), which allowed it to sustain strong five- and 10-year returns of 20.4% and 18.4% pa, respectively. This has been mostly driven by robust earnings momentum across its portfolio. HgT defied the tough private equity exit environment, generating £345.9m of total realisation proceeds excluding carried interest in FY23. Moreover, it has a healthy commitment coverage ratio of 73% (based on current pro forma
Companies: HGCapital Trust PLC
Share: