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AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Chariot (CHAR LN)C; target price of £0.50 per share: Receiving EIA approval for onshore drilling in Morocco – Chariot has received approval for its EIA for a total of 20 well at Loukos, onshore Morocco. The approval covers the initial drilling campaign of two exploration wells (Gaufrette and Dartois) as well as 17 further well locations and the re-entry of an existing gas discovery. Operations are expected to start at the end of 1Q24 a
Companies: EQNR OKEA ALV WDS AKRBP ALV TXP DNO BP/ SQZ DELT UKOG BLOE CHAR TETY AOI TTE CNE HE1 EQNR VAR TETY DNO OKEA
Auctus Advisors
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$0.65 per share: Drilling rig on location of high impact well by the end of January – A rig is expected to be mobilised to the high impact Welchau-1 drilling location during the last week of January. Drilling is expected to last for 6-8 weeks. The total vertical depth of the well is only 1,800 m with a dry hole cost estimated at ~EUR5.1 mm. Welchau gross prospective resources have been independent
Companies: PEN EQNR ADX KAR WDS IVZ AKRBP TAL BCOW AKERBP TLW BP/ UOG R4Y GENL GTE TTE BWEFF PEN SNM EQNR VAR BCOW
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$0.80 per share: On Track to start drilling in early November - 3Q23 production of 324 boe/d and cash of A$5.7 mm at the end of September were near our expectations. This includes 101 bbl/d gross production for Anshof that was shut-in on 19 September after reaching the regulatory limit for test production. Until that date the Anshof-3 well produced at a stable rate of 114 bbl/d, which is above the
Companies: TCFF XOM CVX OMV ADX CE1 IVZ OMV SOU BP/ CASP ZPHR SDX CHAR SEPL XOM GTE CVX
Unlike its peers, bp posted a big miss versus estimates as the company’s quarterly profits remained 13% below the consensus figures. A strong oil trading result was offset by weaker gas trading in the quarter due to subdued volatility. The overall operational performance was supported by increased hydrocarbon production. Despite the consolidation trend in the US, bp is focusing on organic growth for its oil and gas portfolio at high prices while looking at inorganic growth in the energy transiti
Companies: BP p.l.c.
AlphaValue
In an unexpected move, bp announced CEO Bernard Looney’s resignation over his failure to disclose transparently the number of past relationships with colleagues. He will be replaced by CFO Murray Auchincloss on an interim basis. Looney took over the job in early 2020 and immediately introduced a strategic overhaul that should drive the company through the energy transition and towards a net zero path. While the overall strategy of the company may not change, the CEO’s surprising departure (shoul
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$0.10 per share: Growing production. New Anshof well to be spudded in September - 2Q23 production was 317 boe/d reaching 366 boe/d in June and including ~115 bbl/d at Anshof. Anshof-3 production performance continues to exceed expectations with strong pressure support and deliverability with no water production. Work-over activities at Zistersdorf and Gaiselberg (Vienna basin) in mid-August are ex
Companies: PEN ENI TCFF ADX CE1 MAHAA JSE PXT BP/ CASP CHAR GENL PRD GTE TTE CNE PEN ENI MAHAA
Among its peers, bp reported the biggest annual decline in profits (c.-70%). Across the business segments, refining and products suffered the most with low margins and prolonged costly maintenance, and weaker oil trading. Despite the negative surplus due to a 46% drop in operating cash flow, bp committed to returning $1.5bn in buybacks in Q3 and announced a 10% increase in the quarterly dividend. Disclosure in the energy transition businesses as of the next quarter is a welcome development.
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; target price of £0.50 per share: Zone at Carrizales Norte with no booked reserves has flowed >1 mbbl/d – The Ubaque horizon at the Carrizales Norte-1 (CN-1) exploration well was put on three tests, the last of which tested at 1,134 bbl/d of 13.5 API oil on pump. The flow rate was stabilized with a 28.3% water cut (completion fluid). The water cut has been decreasing throughout testing. This is a very go
Companies: EQNR TCFF COP AXL SOU ITH TAL BP/ EME TRIN LBE UOG CEG EQNR GTE VLE COP KIST
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C: Target price of A$0.100 per share: 1Q23 in line with expectations. Growing production at Anshof – 1Q23 production was 299 boe/d including 88 bbl/d for Anshof. In March net production from Anshof has increased to 94 bbl/d. Overall net production in March including the Zistersdorf & Gaiselberg fields (Z&G) was 336 boe/d. Additional site storage is planned to be installed at the Anshof-3 well location in June which
Companies: REP REP OKEA OKEA GTE FEC EQNR EQNR ENW CNE CNE BP/ AOI PEN PEN ALV ALV VLE LBE HHR CHAR CE1 ADX AXL
Strong oil and gas trading lifted the results for another quarter, enabling bp to book $5n in the Q1 and beat the consensus by 16%. The adjusted EBIT at $9.2bn was broadly in line with the Q4 FY22 and higher than ENI and TotalEnergies. Surplus cash flow significantly dropped (54%) qoq due to lower operating cash flow, down 44% qoq, on the back of declining commodity prices. Accordingly, bp announced a lower share buyback program at $1.75bn, which disappointed the markets.
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN) C; Target price of £0.45 per share: Adding reserves in Colombia – Arrow’s 1P, 2P and 3P reserves were estimated at respectively 3.4 mmboe, 7.7 mmboe and 11.7 mmboe at YE22. This includes 2.1 mmboe 2P reserves and 4.3 mmboe 3P reserves at the company’s core assets in Colombia (Tapir and Oso Pardo). Even after deducting 6 months of production (~0.18 mmbbl), the 2P and 3P reserves at the core assets have increas
Companies: TXG CE1 GKP AXL SOU ITH TAL DNO TXG BP/ UKOG JOG STAR GENL CNE SNM DNO
BP had a mixed quarter and its revenues were significantly above Wall Street expectations. The management’s emphasis on cost performance as well as operational reliability underpinned robust financial delivery. Despite the fact that its costs are being controlled, the company missed out on meeting the earnings estimates of analysts. BP saw a sharp decline in both spots as well as futures prices. Global margins decreased modestly, consistent with trends in seasonal demand. The company is planning
Companies: BP p.l.c. Sponsored ADR
Baptista Research
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Criterium Energy (CEQ CN) C; Resources report in Indonesia – The Lengo gas field is estimated to hold 359 bcf (134 bcf net to Criterium). The contingent resources for the Lengo field are contingent on signing a Gas Sales Agreement (GSA) and securing financing and a final investment decision (FID). A Heads of Agreement was signed in August 2022 with a credible gas offtaker and the partners are now progressing to a formal GSA. It is ant
Companies: EQNR APA ALV GPRK HHR AKRBP MAHAA ALV FEC APA DNO AKERBP BP/ SQZ DELT DEC TETY GPRK TTE CNE EQNR TETY DNO
A more-than-doubling in FY2022 profits and an impressive increase in cash flow from operations have led bp to increase its quarterly dividend by 10% and continue its buyback spree with $2.75 in Q1 FY2023. The updated outlook highlights increased EBITDA from the energy transition business of around $10-$12bn by 2030, with double-digit returns across the EV charging, hydrogen, and bioenergy businesses while “resilient hydrocarbons” will still contribute 75%-76% of the EBITDA at an assumed oil pric
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU) C; Target price of A$0.070 per share: Anshof Reserves estimate well above expectations – RISC estimates that the Anshof field holds 5.2 mmboe of 2P gross reserves (4.2 mmboe net to ADX). This is well ahead of our expectations of ~1.8 mmboe. 85% of the previously estimated mid-case recoverable resources are now classified as 2P reserves. The 2P reserves estimate is based on an assumption of a water oil contact at 1,
Companies: TTE TOU TCFF R4Y PXT MAHAA AEX AXL CE1 CASP CHAR GTE GENL FEC DNO DNO CEG BP/ ZPHR TAL LBE ADX
Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on BP p.l.c.. We currently have 0 research reports from 10 professional analysts.
Alien today reports intraday that the Western Australian Government has granted a mining licence for the Hancock iron ore project for a 21-year term. The granting of the mining licence is the latest milestone delivered by Alien as it advances the project towards development and production.
Companies: Alien Metals Ltd
WHIreland
Companies: A4N ARS ANTO RIO TYM AAZ AAL SRB EEE
SP Angel
Companies: CLA STM GLN FXPO KAV GWMO CEY BHP THX EEE
NextSource is uniquely positioned to build a leading vertically integrated position, ex China, in the supply of Lithium-ion battery anode material which is essential for the Energy Transition. The company is commissioning phase 1 of its world-class Molo graphite mine in Madagascar and is in the final permitting process for its first Battery Anode Facility (BAF) to be located in Mauritius. The company is backed by Vision Blue, established by Sir Mick Davis, former CEO of Xstrata. On our calculat
Companies: NextSource Materials Inc
Capital Access Group
I3 has announced the sale of the majority of its royalty interests in Canada, for US$24.8m cash. This allows the company to fully repay amounts drawn on its debt facility and create a working capital surplus, giving I3 significant additional funding flexibility going forward
Companies: i3 Energy Plc
Zeus Capital
Jubilee today reports its Q3 and third quarter operational results from its expanding operations in Zambia (copper) and South Africa (chrome and PGM). South Africa is on a growth trajectory with record chrome production of 409kt in the quarter (Q2 FY2024 381kt) and a monthly record in March of 145kt and production YTD of 1.13Mt (0.94Mt). Jubilee is well underway to its annual target capacity of 2,1Mt/yr especially with the new 300kt/yr chrome plant at Thutse expected to be operational in August
Companies: Jubilee Metals Group PLC
DEC reported FY23 results which were in line with expectations and announced the acquisition of joint venture assets from Oaktree along with an updated capital allocation framework.
Companies: Diversified Energy Company PLC
Dowgate Capital
Companies: AURA G6M PDL HUM KAV JAY RBW CUSN AFP GMET
On 9 January last year, we set out our ten top stock picks for 2023, for what turned out to be another relatively poor twelve months for UK equities due to two wars, stubbornly high inflation and further tightening of monetary policy. This was even as other major markets, such as the US, largely recovered in the year. In the 2023 calendar year, the AIM All-Share index fell 8.2% and is still 42% off its 2021 high. From the release of our 2023 top picks note, the average total return (assuming div
Companies: PTAL GHH IGP MSLH PINE NXQ EQLS NXR AXL
GMS has announced a new contract award, at improved day rates, adding to order book and overall revenue momentum.
Companies: Gulf Marine Services PLC
Challenger has announced a £1.5m investment in the company from investor Charlestown Energy. This now allows Challenger to be fully funded for the foreseeable future as it works towards closure of its significant Uruguay farm out to Chevron, and the US$12.5m cash payment to be received once this is achieved.
Companies: Challenger Energy Group PLC
• The South Lahan area on Block 58 is estimated to hold 55-523 mmbl prospective resources (P90-P10 case) with a mean case of 251.8 mmbbl prospective resources across six prospects in the Ara Carbonate. • Combined with the previously disclosed prospective resources of the Fahd area in the north-eastern part of Block 58, Tethys Oil’s unrisked recoverable prospective resources on the block are estimated to be 435.9 mmbbl (Pmean). • The geological chance of success ranges from 6% to 11% for the six
Companies: Tethys Oil AB (TETY:OME)Tethys Oil Ab (TETY:STO)
We note that this morning’s announcement by Aminex for a significant potential resource increase in the Ruvuma basin. We believe that the recent pullback in the share price (likely due to delays in the first gas production schedule) provide a good risk/reward opportunity, especially given the future potential in next 12-24 months, highlighted by today’s announcement.
Companies: Aminex Plc
Shard Capital
What you need to know: • JEV announced that it has commenced a strategic process to explore the spin-off of its hydrogen portfolio. We view this as a strong positive for shareholders. • Over the past month, JEV also closed a $2.2M private placement and amended the terms on its debentures, setting up the Company for this transaction. Yesterday after market close, Jericho Energy Ventures Inc. (JEV:TSXV, JROOF:OTC) announced that it has commenced a strategic process to explore the spin-off and s
Companies: Jericho Energy Ventures Inc
Atrium Research
Companies: GHH PHC GETB DEC LORD GELN
Cavendish
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