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Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on GFT TECHNOLOGIES SE. We currently have 8 research reports from 1 professional analysts.
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GFT TECHNOLOGIES SE
GFT TECHNOLOGIES SE
Consolidation in FY17, acceleration in FY18
31 Mar 17
While GFT reported FY16 revenues and EBITDA slightly ahead of our forecasts, the shares fell in response to unexpectedly weak FY17 guidance and higher than expected debt. The guidance reflected the challenging investment banking backdrop, which has been holding back profits in the UK and North America. Nevertheless, GFT’s retail banking activities remain buoyant, benefiting from digital banking projects in continental Europe, and management expects group growth to return to trend levels from FY18 on digitisation strength and recovering investment banking markets. Hence, we believe the shares look attractive on c 14x our FY18 earnings.
Q3 organic growth remains robust at 12%
15 Nov 16
Q3 numbers were in line with expectations and management has maintained both its FY16 and long-term guidance. The backdrop remains broadly unchanged, with demand for IT projects (predominantly digitisation) in the European commercial banking sector outweighing weakness in the Anglo Saxon investment banking markets. A recovery in the latter is largely dependent on improvements in the financial performance of investment banks. However, we note the investment banking sector needs to invest in IT to remain competitive. Given that the outlook is sustained, we believe the shares are attractive on c 13x our FY18 earnings.
Q1 constant currency organic growth was 7.6%
06 Jun 16
GFT reported a solid Q1, with constant currency organic growth of 7.6%. This was slightly below the long-term trend, as the group saw some deferrals in Anglo Saxon regions due to poor results in the investment banking sector and uncertainty relating to the imminent UK vote on the EU. Nevertheless, management expects orders to pick up later this month and in Q3, regardless of the outcome of the BREXIT vote. We have edged our forecasts up with the inclusion of Habber Tec Brazil, which GFT acquired in early April. In our view, if management can continue to maintain the momentum, the stock looks attractive, trading on c 17x our FY17e EPS.
FY15 was another year of healthy growth
21 Mar 16
FY15 was another year of solid growth at GFT, with organic revenue growth of 18% at constant currencies. This was achieved in spite of the turmoil in the European investment banking sector, as participants needed to invest in compliance projects and outsourcing trends remain favourable. In our view, if management can continue to maintain the momentum, the stock looks attractive, trading on c 18x our FY17e EPS.
De-rating provides an opportunity
11 Feb 16
GFT's shares have fallen sharply recently, tracking a steep fall in Deutsche Bank’s shares, along with broad declines across the banking sector. We note that Deutsche Bank generates c 40% of GFT’s revenues. At the time of the Q3 results, GFT said it expects stable revenues from Deutsche in FY16, with the growth coming from other parts of the business. GFT is on Deutsche’s strategic partner list, and GFT handles complex IT projects for Deutsche, along with maintenance of its core business. Competition in this space is low. The IT area at risk in the case of cost-cutting is the commodity IT business, which GFT is not involved in, and is mostly handled by large IT service providers (including the India-based majors). GFT's shares traded at c €32 in early December and, in the wake of the share price de-rating, now look significantly more attractive, trading on c 15x our maintained FY17 earnings.
Strong Q3 with guidance increased
23 Nov 15
GFT continued to grow apace, with organic revenue growth (excluding Rule Financial) of 19% in Q3. Margins continued to expand with the adjusted operating margin rising by 100bp to 11.0% over Q2. While FY15 growth has mainly come from investment banking, the pipeline for 2016 is focused on several large retail banking projects. Given management’s increased guidance, we have upgraded our EPS by forecasts by 2% in FY15 and 4% in FY16 and FY17. In our view, if management can continue to maintain the momentum, the stock still looks attractive, trading on c 22x our FY16 EPS.
Recovery not reflected in the share price
25 Apr 17
Prelims for the year to January 2017 are in-line but more importantly they confirm the restructuring process is now complete, prove the commerciality of its cloud based platform and demonstrate a move towards higher margin services. PBT was £1.2m (against a loss last year), adjusted EBITDA grew 56% to £2m and cash from operations turned positive at £0.9m allowing a net cash position to be maintained. For this year, we expect PBT growth of 77% to £2.2m (previously £2.5m), implying a current PE rating of 15x. We reiterate our buy recommendation with a 2.2p price target as the turn around generated by Redstone has yet to be reflected in the share price.
N+1 Singer - Servelec Group - Calling the bottom
20 Apr 17
We are increasingly confident that Servelec’s travails are behind it and the business is returning to growth. Recent share price weakness looks unwarranted in this context and the valuation now looks compelling. Our forecasts are essentially unchanged, but we see medium term upside as the group’s markets improve. Servelec remains a key idea for 2017 and we reiterate our Buy recommendation and 325p Target Price.
Panmure Morning Note 25-04-2017
25 Apr 17
Blancco Technology, a leading provider of data erasure solutions and mobile device diagnostics, has issued a mixed Q3 trading update. On the positive side, revenue progression has been extremely strong, with a material acceleration in sales growth during the quarter: +48% CFX basis during 3Q17 vs +28% during 1H17. However, cash flow is weaker than expected and management has guided that year end net debt is expected to be £5.5m (previously we were looking for net debt of £3.6m). Due to the timing of cash flows management has identified the need for additional short term funding of £4m over the coming weeks.
19 Apr 17
Lombard Risk Management* (LRM): Beats demanding growth and profit forecasts (CORP) | Frontier Developments* (FDEV): Steaming ahead (CORP) | Tax Systems* (TAX): Right place, right time (CORP) | Acal (ACL): Stronger H2 and brighter outlook (BUY) | Fenner (FENR): Interim results signal upgrades (BUY) | Minds + Machines* (MMX): US and Europe domain sales (CORP)
N+1 Singer - Morning Song 24-04-2017
24 Apr 17
First Derivatives (FDP LN) FY slightly ahead as strong trading momentum continues | Goals Soccer Centres (GOAL LN) A potentially exciting corporate development | mporium Group (MPM LN) 2016 results: course set for exciting 2017 | Vectura Group (VEC LN) VR315 risk outweighs longer-term potential