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GK SOFTWARE AG
GK SOFTWARE AG
Taking a prudent road
28 Nov 16
As flagged in September, H1 2017 profit is indeed below LY; adj. PBT of £0.5m compares with £1.5m in H1 2016 as Trakm8 invests heavily in new technology and acquisition integration. Management remains confident in another very strong H2 performance and in particular is focused on closing a couple of large high-margin software-related sales which would see the group meeting the original FY 2017 expectations of £5.9m adj. PBT. However, should these fall outside the March year-end, profits are only likely to be in line with last year’s £3.9m, albeit on a growing revenue base. Prudence dictates we assume a worst-case scenario in our forecasts so that surprise is only in the upside – if the deals close in the year, the company will meet those original revenue and profit expectations.
N+1 Singer - Morning Song 30-11-2016
30 Nov 16
Sanderson has delivered full year results in line with expectations and the 19 October trading update after a strong finish to the year compensated for a slower start. A healthy level of pre-contracted recurring revenue (50%), incremental sales to existing customers and new customer wins at higher average order values helped deliver solid revenue growth in both the Digital Retail (+9%) and Enterprise (+12%) divisions. A decent order book and good sales momentum suggest that the company is on track to deliver on unchanged profit expectations for the current year. We continue to view the valuation (FY17 EV/EBITDA 8.6x) as undemanding given an attractive combination of accelerating growth potential, strong cash generation and growing dividends.
A data-driven H1 raises expectations
05 Dec 16
The first reporting period under the new D4t4 Solutions brand saw the group (previously IS Solutions) deliver good growth, leaving it well on track to meet PBT forecasts in FY 2017, and we now increase FY 2018 forecasts. The business continues to flourish from its focus on data management and analytics, enabling its international blue-chip client base to gather and gain advantage from the mass of customer data available, utilising the leading-edge Celebrus solution. Industry analysts predict 12% CAGR for the BI & Analytics market through to 2020, and D4t4 is riding this wave of demand.
N+1 Singer - Eckoh - In line interims, US secure payments gathers pace
29 Nov 16
Eckoh delivered interims in-line with expectations. UK growth was 11% whilst the US, reflecting a full period for PSS now accounts for 30% of sales. US Secure Payments wins gathered pace, with much larger contracts being won on SaaS-style pricing models and the pipeline at record levels. With contracts won in the first half feeding through strongly into the second half and given the group’s high level of recurring revenues (76%), the outlook remains positive for the rest of the year and we make no changes to forecasts. Eckoh has exceptional growth opportunities, particularly in the US, and we believe it can convert this to strong shareholder value.
N+1 Singer - Morning Song 05-12-2016
05 Dec 16
RTHM is acquiring a profitable Canadian listed mobile specialist for equivalent of US$42.5m consideration in shares (88.235m). This helps adds to two growth vectors RTHM is targeting; (i) adds unique exclusive audience (10m unique) and (ii) Exclusive demand Yahoo and Facebook. The business has 15 premium and owned and operated apps which provide users with rewards for activity. The business is expected to deliver c$9m of EBITDA in FY18 including $2m of cost synergies. This equates to just 4.7x EV/EBITDA. This marks what we see the first step in RTHM activity to scale the business and deliver on margin potential (see our initiation notes). Our initial estimates for EPS revisions are very significant - for FY18 are 2.3 cents (currently 0.6) and for FY19 4.3 (currently 2.5). There is a call at 830 for investors and we will revise post this.