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Consensus eps falling…falling…falling…rising 2.0
29 Apr 16
In January we screened for companies with estimates that had been declining consistently since a year previously, but which had risen in the immediately preceding three months (see our note dated 22 January 2016). We have reviewed the performance of those companies and, given the overall strength of this selection, we have re-run the screen. In the c.3 months since selection, the unweighted average rise was c.34% against a c.11% rise in the main All-Share index. From the same universe as before (some 900 companies) we find 38 companies selected by the screen. We note a number of stocks in the list where we have a supportive stance including: Devro (DVO LN, Buy), James Fisher (FSJ LN, Corporate), Mattioli Woods (MTW LN, Buy) and Spirent Communications (SPT LN, Buy).
N+1 Singer - Vislink - $16m VCS sale restores balance sheet; Software strategy from here
20 Oct 16
It was announced today that xG Technology has entered into a binding agreement to acquire VCS, Vislink’s hardware division, for $16m. If the transaction completes, Vislink will be left substantially debt free and will be on course to execute its software transition strategy with Pebble Beach. On a standalone basis, we have forecast Pebble Beach revenues of £12.0m for the year to Dec 2016 and adjusted EBIT of £3.6m. We also forecast central overheads of £2.6m in Vislink, but with the disposal of VCS, there should be scope for this to come down. Assuming continued good trading for Pebble Beach, we see further upside to the shares reflecting the good growth, high margin nature of the business.
Positive trading update, forecasts increased
10 Oct 16
Amino has released a positive update on trading for the ten months ending September 2016. The business is benefitting from the twin effects of strong order intake, and favourable currency movements. Management believe the 2016E outcome will exceed current market expectations at the adjusted EBITDA and PBT levels. Following the release, we make upward revisions to forecasts. 2016E revenue and EBITDA increase by 5.1% and 7.7% respectively, 2017E by 4.7% and 6.8% respectively.
N+1 Singer - Amino Technologies - Strong momentum drives further upgrades
10 Oct 16
Amino has released a positive trading update for the ten months to September 2016. The strong trading seen in the first half of the year has continued, with the group receiving record orders in August. This trading momentum, combined with a robust order book and an FX tailwind is driving performance ahead of expectations for the full year. We upgraded our forecasts at the interim results in July and expect to put through a further c.10% PBT upgrade on the back of today’s announcement. Amino has embraced the transition to the cloud and is now well placed to benefit from current market trends. Post the upgrades the group is trading on c.11x FY’16 PER with a 4%+ dividend yield. We believe the shares are highly attractive and retain our Buy recommendation.