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    UBS ETF MSCI PACIFIC SRI

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    UBS ETF MSCI PACIFIC SRI

  • 15 Jan 20
Cenkos: 1pm plc -- Sustainable business in difficult markets

1pm's interim results are robust but slightly weaker than expected with revenues of £15.6m (-2% YoY) and adj EBIT of £3.2m (-21%). Originations growth remained healthy through difficult macro conditions, with the hybrid model allowing 1pm to generate income without taking on unnecessary risk. Consequently, in combination with the costs in running a long-term sustainable business, 1pm is encountering some profit headwinds. We have updated our forecasts accordingly. The shares remain materially undervalued on most metrics.

Companies: 1PM
  • 10 Jan 20
THE MONTHLY January 2020

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) is due to publish its most up-to-date survey on share ownership in mid-January, which identifies the beneficial owners and decision- makers of the stock market. Hardman & Co has worked together with the share analysis service, Argus Vickers, to jointly produce its own survey, which anticipates the conclusions of the ONS survey but goes into much greater detail. Our work does not use a sample of 200 quoted companies as the ONS historically has, but rather includes everyUK quoted company. The ONS samples share registers every two years; our study uses six-monthly data points. Our survey also extends to shareholders on NEX; the ONS does not.

Companies: AVO AGY ARBB BUR CMH CLIG DNL FLTA GDR MCL NSF PCA PIN PHP RECI RMDL SCE SIXH SHED VTA

  • 16 Jan 20
LIBERUM: Non-Standard Finance - FY trading in line and medium-term targets unchanged

Trading update is in line, with several metrics ahead of our expectations,while guidance is unchanged. Quantification of the new funding is a major advance.

Companies: Non-Standard Finance
  • 17 Jan 20
LIBERUM: Non-Standard Finance - CMD: Business as usual, but with less expensive funding

In December, NSF reduced its loan book growth targets for all three divisions. We believe that anyone who attended the Capital Markets Day will now be certain that this was a discretionary choice taken in order to allow profitability and returns to rise, and so, logically, to correct a very low valuation.

Companies: Non-Standard Finance
  • 14 Jan 20
FuM leaps to over $6bn

CLIG’s Funds Under Management (“FUM”) rose 11.6% to US$6,014m; Sterling strengthened 3.9% against the US dollar to £1 = US$1.32 and Emerging Market Index (MXEF) rose 5.7% to 1,115. CLIG’s Emerging Market, International Developed and Opportunistic Value strategies outperformed with good NAV performance and narrowing discounts.

Companies: City Of London Investment Group
  • 17 Jan 20
Cenkos: Record Plc -- Upgrades arising from a positive update

Record achieved +8% growth in AUME to $65bn over Q3/20E. Favourable FX movements, further Passive inflows and a temporary inflow in the higher margin, multi-product strategy all underpinned the rise. These, combined with the delivery of the year's first performance fee of £1.8m, ahead of expectations, leads to material EPS upgrades in FY20E & FY21E.

Companies: Record
  • 08 Jan 20
UK Housebuilding Sector: 2020 vision: Sharpness and clarity for industry prospects

For fighter pilots, it is a minimum requirement. But having 20/20 ‘visual acuity’ (correct term) does not necessarily mean you have perfect vision (as convention assumes); instead, it indicates sharpness and clarity of vision at a distance. It is measured by a Snellen Chart, which displays letters of progressively smaller size and whereby 20/20 means that the test subject sees the same line of letters at 20 feet that a person with normal vision sees at 20 feet (or 6 metres; but 6/6 simply didn’t catch on).

Companies: ABBY BDEV BWY BKG BVS CRN CSP CRST GLE GLV INL MCS PSN RDW SPR TW/ WJG

  • 13 Jan 20
Allenby Capital TMT Update - 13.01.20 (ECSC.L, TERN.L, MWE.L)

ECSC Group plc* (ECSC.L, 145p/£13.0m) | Tern plc* (TERN.L, 9.5p/£27.0m) | MTI Wireless Edge Ltd* (MWE.L, 39p/£33.8m)

Companies: ECSC TERN MWE

  • 08 Jan 20
LIBERUM: Ramsdens Holdings* - Comfortably ahead - another positive trading update

The company has announced that following strong trading over Christmas, PBT will be comfortably ahead of expectations. In addition, the non-recurring profit of £0.6m which was announced in October has grown to £0.8m.

Companies: Ramsdens
  • 07 Jan 20
Burford Capital

Positive corporate governance developments

Companies: Burford Capital
  • 16 Jan 20
WHI Morning Comment: Digital Box (DBOX) - FY Trading Update – Strong end to the year yields upgrades

Digitalbox is an AIM-quoted digital publishing company, currently owning two distinct digital media assets but with a scalable platform to grow through acquisition. This morning's FY2019E year end trading update reveals that the company has experienced a strong end to the financial year. Revenue is expected to be marginally ahead of our proforma estimate of £2.3m, but adjusted profit is expected to come in circa 10% ahead at £0.7m (from £0.6m) due to better than expected margins. The company is currently trading on a prospective 7.8x EV/EBITDA multiple, but this falls to 4.8x in FY2020 given anticipated rapid profit expansion and strong cash generation. With a peer group trading at ~15x, assuming a 10x FY2020E EV/EBITDA multiple, we see fair value at 11.7p.

Companies: Digitalbox
  • 14 Jan 20
Earlier delays overcome to deliver in line FY outturn

Today’s FY update indicates that Sigma expects to report an in line FY19e outturn (N+1Se adj. PBT £13.5m), implying that adj. PBT has more than doubled in H2 vs H1. Proactive measures addressed delays experienced in H1 to ensure that development activity in The PRS REIT (“PRSR”) was maintained – completing another >840 units and with >3,300 homes in development at the year end. Sigma expects that the balance of PRSR’s capital will be contracted in Q1’20. We make no changes to our forecasts in light of the in line update.

Companies: Sigma Capital Group
  • 15 Jan 20
Secure Trust Bank - Positive pre-close

Secure Trust Bank’s (STB) pre-close trading update indicates that FY19 results should be in line with expectations, despite the economic slowdown dampening loan demand in the second half of 2019. STB highlighted its strong control over risk while interest margins have been stable. The bank is cautiously optimistic about 2020 and is well positioned, with healthy capital, good liquidity and new business pipelines. STB does not envisage material changes to 2020 guidance, and we are maintaining our estimates and 2,428p per share valuation.

Companies: Secure Trust Bank
  • 15 Jan 20
Value-added, customer-driven expansion from core

MCL’s recent results (see our 21 October note, Interim FY’20 results: steady core, deal upside) highlighted the strength of Home Collect (HCC). The division showed operational efficiency improvements, the appropriate use of technology and improving credit. It also generated double-digit underlying profit growth, despite a stable market and without compromising the agent-driven model. In this note, we explore MCL’s strategy to expand from this strong core business. The strategy is driven by extensive customer surveys, and could see a doubling in both the number of customers and the share of wallet over the medium term. Investment is being paced to balance short- and long-term profitability.

Companies: Morses Club
  • 21 Oct 19
Quarterly Research Outlook Autumn 2019

Following continued delays of a Brexit agreement, few sectors within the UK market have remained attractive to investors despite low valuations. One sector which has continued to outperform despite the political drama has been the UK video gaming sector (henceforth UK gaming), which we are fans of. We believe a combination of sector-leading growth, strong cash conversion and timely cyclical positioning support our positive view on the UK video gaming sector.

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