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Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on LA DORIA SPA. We currently have 6 research reports from 1 professional analysts.
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LA DORIA SPA
LA DORIA SPA
A tough environment
21 Nov 16
As outlined at the time of the H1 results, La Doria’s operating environment remains tough, with significant deflation on the sales side and raw material inflation on the cost side. The effects of a difficult 2016 tomato campaign are still feeding through, and the devaluation of sterling is unhelpful as it may cause a loss of competitiveness in the vegetable line vis-à-vis British domestic producers. Management expects a recovery from mid-2017, when the new tomato campaign will start to come through.
A challenging environment
05 Oct 16
Following an exceptionally strong FY15, H1 16 brought a perfect storm of a weak macroeconomic backdrop in many end-markets, sterling devaluation, a weak tomato campaign and higher fruit and pulse costs. Management has therefore updated its rolling three-year plan for the more challenging environment and revised down estimates. Our DCF-derived fair value moves to €10.91/share (from €15.84) given the downgrades to estimates.
Weathering the storm
31 May 16
Following a tough tomato campaign in 2015, La Doria management has kept costs under control and delivered another quarter of results in line with expectations. The overarching strategy of shifting the production mix towards non-seasonal, value-added products with higher operating margins and lower volatility is paying off. La Doria continues to trade at a significant discount to its peers, and our DCF value of €15.84 (unchanged) suggests 26% upside to the share price.
Another strong year
02 Mar 16
La Doria has reported yet another strong set of results. The updated threeyear plan provides strategic continuity. As previously highlighted, due to the unfounded fears of tomato overproduction at the start of the campaign, lower sales prices were achieved for new contracts. Following the FY results and updated business plan, we have cut our sales forecasts to reflect the lower 2016 base, left our EBITDA forecasts broadly unchanged, and increased our PBT and net profit estimates in line with the new guidance.
Another strong quarter
20 Nov 15
La Doria reported another set of strong results. Its overarching objective is to reduce the volatility of the business and to improve visibility. To that end, the acquisition of Pa.fi.al is strategically very helpful. As disclosed at the H1 results, fears of an abundant tomato crop in the early part of the campaign resulted in lower sales prices being achieved for new contracts, and hence 2016 is likely to see a small reduction in EBITDA. We are leaving our forecasts unchanged.
Acquisition bearing fruit
22 Sep 15
Another excellent set of results confirms La Doria’s strategy is on track: the group is delivering on its overarching objective to reduce the volatility of the business and improve visibility. The Pa.fi.al business is being fully integrated and continues to perform well. The hot summer in Italy resulted in fears of an abundant tomato processing campaign, hence we now forecast a fall in sales in 2016, although lower costs should mitigate the EBITDA impact.
Using their loaf
30 Nov 16
Finsbury Foods has been transformed by a series of acquisitions that has contributed to revenue and earnings nearly doubling over the last three years. Record levels of capital investment continue to improve the Group’s competitive position, whilst exposure to growth segments of the food market is helping likefor-likes. Profit growth is expected to slow in the current year in the absence of acquisitions but underlying trading remains resilient despite some cost headwinds, whilst debt reduction is accelerating. The rating is undemanding and the recent share price weakness has created a buying opportunity.
Joy of Techs
21 Nov 16
ICT evolution is driven by technological development as advances are made which both meet and shape customer requirements. Our 2011 note No such thing as a telco described the modern reality in that former ‘telcos’ now deliver varying elements of a range of managed services. We built on this theme last year, exploring in further detail their evolutionary paths, operating fundamentals, and cashflow yield similarities. In the consumer environment, demand for bundles of technology is complemented by demand for content. Across the pond, the mooted combination of AT&T and Time Warner typifies the bundled need of ‘pipe’ and content, since unbundled alternatives such as FaceTime and WhatsApp can be easier and clearer to chat over, and Amazon and Netflix are easier to watch anywhere. In the UK, BT’s defensive actions cover delivery, content and capabilities, acquiring EE yet also buying football rights. While TV was long ago added to triple play to become quad play, voice is now merely an app, and fixed and mobile seen as just dumb pipes: it's the content that will influence consumer choices. Growth of TV and film as well as music and gaming over IP leads to UK small cap opportunities. In context of the drive to maximise value from pipes and access by offering content and data, we look at some amongst the potential tech small cap beneficiaries: Amino*, Keyword Studios, ZOO Digital*, 7digital*, KCOM* and CityFibre*.
04 Nov 16
Breaking with convention, this Quarter we take the temperature of the expanding non-listed casual dining and bar operator sector. Looking at the top 50 operators, it appears that the £80bn market for eating and drinking out in the UK is alive and well. The AlixPartners Growth Company Index (October 2016) shows that 2-year profit CAGR has improved over the last few years, and recent surveys from Greene King, Coffer Peach and Deloitte highlight elevated spend on out-of-home occasions.
Q1: a dull quarter
28 Nov 16
Aryzta’s Q1 update: underlying revenue is down 1.2% (cons. +0.4%) and -3.3% on reported figures. By division, Europe recorded a +1.4% OG, North America -4.7% OG (negative impact of contract renewals completed in FY16). The ROW recorded a strong +9.7% (both price- and volume-driven). The FY guidance is maintained: top-line growth is expected to be in the 1-2% range, whereas the EBITA margin should be in the 11.5-12.5% range.