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Reassuring LatAm outperforms despite FX, restructuring gains momentum, entering the fibre business

  • 23 Mar 16

Revenues remained relatively flat (-0.2% yoy), reaching €75.65bn, but still 3% above expectations, with EBITDA falling 3% yoy to €15.3bn, beating forecasts by 1.5%. Operating profit improved by 150%, but fell short of expectations by 14% mainly due to €909m of impairment charges (€295m linked to Slovakian assets, €408m to Russia, €91m on Romanian renewable assets and €115m on upstream gas). Net income improved by 325% yoy to €2.2bn while on an adjusted basis it reached €2.89bn, a 3.6% yoy decrease and 4% below expectations taking into account the negative effect of the Italian fiscal reform on deferred taxes (€182m); adjusted for this, net income would have reached €3.07bn. Proposed dividend in line with expectations of €0.16/share, a 15% yoy increase. In terms of guidance, the group maintains its objective of long-term growth, especially in renewables and networks, backed by the full integration of Enel Green Power, while, at the same time, confirming its 2016 objective: €14.7bn EBITDA, adjusted net income of €3.1bn and a minimum dividend payment of €0.18/share backed by a 55% payout. It also confirmed its ambitious objective of 4% CAGR on EBITDA over 2015-19, 10% on net income and 17% on the dividend. Moreover, the group has decided to enter the fibre business in 224 Italian municipalities gradually with an investment plan of around €2.5bn. The EBITDA contribution is expected to be €250m/year.