TXT e-solutions has expanded its Italian IT services business with the acquisition of HSPI for €11.6m in cash and equity. The deal adds public sector, energy and utilities to TXT’s existing fintech and industrial verticals and broadens the services offered to management consulting. On a pro forma basis, we estimate the deal adds c 18% to FY20 revenue and c 22% to FY20 EBITDA.
Companies: TXT e-solutions S.p.A.
TXT reported flat organic revenues in Q220 and 6% organic growth for H120, despite the disruption caused by COVID-19. Normalised EBIT was 44% higher y-o-y in Q220 and 51% higher for H120. The company took its first step to internationalise its fintech business with the €5m acquisition of a Swiss IT services business in July. We have revised our forecasts to reflect the acquisition and lower underlying operating costs, resulting in upgrades to our normalised EPS forecasts (+29% FY20, +6% FY21).
Companies: TXT e-solutions S.p.A. (0NLD:LON)TXT e-solutions S.p.A. (TXT:MIL)
TXT reported a strong performance in Q120, with 37% revenue growth and 52% EBITDA growth year-on-year. Despite COVID-19 disruption, the company signed several material contracts post quarter-end and acquired a start-up business focusing on supply chain finance software. We have revised our forecasts to reflect the stronger than expected outturn in Q1. The company is trading at a discount to peers on EV multiples despite its growth and profitability profile.
TXT e-solutions reported exceptional growth in 2019, with organic growth of 24% and normalised EBIT growth of 90%. Recent acquisitions have put the Fintech division in a stronger position and the company continues to search for new acquisition targets. Measures to contain coronavirus are likely to have an impact on the business, particularly as it is exposed to the airline industry (6% of revenues), but a net cash position of €41m provides more than adequate liquidity for the company to manage its way through the crisis.
TXT e-solutions reported a strong performance in Q319, with double-digit organic revenue growth in both divisions boosted by the contribution from Assioma and TXT Risk. For 9M19, normalised operating profits doubled year-on-year with margin expansion of 230bp. We have raised our FY19 and FY20 EPS forecasts to reflect Q3 performance. Recent fintech acquisitions have been integrated and are helping to accelerate the growth and profitability of the Banking & Finance division. With a significant amount of cash remaining on the balance sheet, we expect the company to make further targeted acquisitions.
TXT reported strong organic revenue growth in both divisions in Q219, which combined with the contribution from recent acquisitions, translated into strong growth in EBIT and improved EBIT margins year-on-year. Recent acquisitions have been integrated and provide the potential for cross-selling in the banking & finance division, while the aerospace business has seen significant contract wins in North America. We have revised our forecasts to reflect stronger revenues, higher operating costs and higher tax rates in FY19 and FY20.
With the acquisition of Assioma, TXT continues to deploy its substantial cash pile. The deal doubles the size of its financial institution-focused software testing business and is earnings accretive. The company announced strong Q119 revenue and net income growth, with a particularly good performance from the Aerospace, Aviation & Automotive business. We have revised our forecasts to reflect the acquisition and Q1 results, with EPS upgrades of 31% and 22% in FY19 and FY20 respectively.
Group organic revenue growth in FY18 was driven by double-digit growth of the aerospace business. TXT started to invest some of its substantial cash pile in H218, acquiring two Italian businesses in the fintech space. This investment should provide growth opportunities for the Banking & Finance business. Increased investment in sales and R&D in FY19 reduces our normalised EPS forecast by 15.5%; we introduce a forecast for 21% EPS growth in FY20. The company continues to assess targets in both business lines and has net cash of €60m available to fund acquisitions.
Strong organic revenue growth in Q318 combined with the recent Cheleo acquisition resulted in revenue growth of 18.6% y-o-y, a normalised EBITDA margin of 10.0% (+80bp y-o-y) and a normalised EBIT margin of 5.8% (down 240bp due to higher depreciation from the capitalisation of leases). The company has started deploying the proceeds of the TXT Retail disposal, with the first two deals adding software solutions to the services-led Banking and Finance business. We expect the company to make further accretive acquisitions across both businesses.
TXT reported H118 revenue growth of 6% y-o-y; investments in R&D and sales and marketing ahead of this growth rate resulted in margin pressure in H118. TXT has completed the acquisition of a majority stake in Cheleo and we have factored this into our forecasts from 1 August. The combination of slightly lower growth forecasts for TXT Next, a one-off tax credit and the higher margin growth of Cheleo results in normalised EPS upgrades of 16% in FY18e and 24% in FY19e. After paying for Cheleo, we estimate the company has funds of more than €70m to invest in accretive acquisitions in the transportation and fintech markets.
TXT has announced an agreement to acquire an Italian financing software company for an enterprise value of €7.6m. This marks the first acquisition since TXT Retail was sold and diversifies the offering for the banking and finance business, adding software to what is predominantly a services offering. We estimate the deal should be earnings accretive (+11% FY18e EPS, +23% FY19e) and will revise our estimates on completion.
TXT reported year-on-year revenue and EBITDA growth in Q118, with a particular boost to software licence sales. The change in the largest shareholder has prompted changes to the board, and is likely to mark the start of a series of acquisitions to accelerate the growth of the TXT Next business.
TXT’s FY17 results confirmed that the remaining TXT Next business is showing solid growth. Profitability has been supressed by efforts to widen the customer base as well as the effect of spreading central costs over a smaller revenue base, but we expect margins to improve as the business grows revenues in FY18 and FY19. The company has confirmed a €1 per share dividend for FY17, leaving the majority of TXT Retail disposal proceeds within the business to invest in accretive acquisitions.
TXT has reported its first set of results showing TXT Next as a standalone business. We have revised our forecasts to reflect the new structure of the group. The group is now focused on growing the TXT Next business organically and through targeted acquisitions of niche software solution and specialised engineering service providers in the aerospace and aviation market. Of the €85m proceeds from selling TXT Retail, we expect the company to retain funds for acquisition as well as paying a special dividend next year.
Companies: TXT TXE TXT
TXT reported H117 revenue growth of 8.9% y-o-y, with a small decline in Q217 revenues of 1.1%. The company has agreed to sell the TXT Retail business for €85m with completion expected by the end of October. While we continue to include TXT Retail in our forecasts until the deal completes, we provide an illustration of the TXT Group income statement taking into account the disposal.
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GB Group (GBG) expects to report underlying revenue growth of 10% y-o-y for H121, with a one-off contract in the US making a material contribution to revenues. Combined with strict cost control this resulted in adjusted operating profit growth of 26% y-o-y and a £32m h-o-h reduction in net debt. With management guidance for revenue well ahead of our and consensus forecasts for FY21, we have upgraded our revenue and EPS forecasts for FY21–23. Despite COVID-19 related pressure on new business in the short-term, we view GBG as well placed to benefit from the accelerated shift in the digitalisation of business processes.
Companies: GB Group PLC
This new Q3 update is a welcome addition to QTX reporting calendar, particularly as it reveals impressive resilience through the pandemic; far better performance than originally thought. Management expects FY 2020 revenue and FCF to be in line with consensus forecasts but with earnings substantially ahead. There is a caveat on the impact of the second wave of COVID-19, but so close to YE the risk is relatively low and we raise our forecasts appropriately. Fleet is the driver; despite the impact of lockdowns on new subscriptions in Q2, the subscription base has grown 11% YoY across the 9 months to 168k, fuelling 7% YoY growth in Fleet revenue. The annualised subscription base has risen 5.3% from £20.8m at YE to £21.9m in September, comfortably underpinning our FY 2021 forecast.
Companies: Quartix Holdings Plc
Gamesys Group’s Q320 trading update is ahead of expectations with pro forma revenue growth of 31% and an improved financial position. As in previous quarters, the company increased the active player base responsibly and benefitted from new game launches. We increase our revenue forecasts for FY20–22 by 5.7–7.0%, and EBITDA forecasts by a slightly lower 2–3% as management further invests in growing a sustainable and repeatable business, while ensuring revenue growth is done responsibly. This follows an EBITDA upgrade of 7.8% for FY20 at the time of the interim results. For FY21e, the free cash flow yield is 9.2% and the dividend yield is 2.9%.
Companies: JP7 GYS JKPTF
Expected profitability in H1E will be consistent with the level delivered in the interim period last year, albeit at a substantially higher margin. Order flow had seen some disruption from COVID-19 in fiscal Q1E and into Q2E but the September cycle for RFPs and order wins has been encouraging. Our FY21E forecasts are unchanged, and with the stock at the bottom of its trading range, we maintain our buy recommendation.
Companies: Shearwater Group plc
LoopUp has announced a very strong H1 period, in line with the previous trading update and reflecting a number of months of exceptional performance. This is allowing the business to invest in the major identified new opportunity, to provide telephony within Microsoft Teams, where the early signs are extremely positive. We look forward to further detail on the Teams pipeline and sales levels over time.
Companies: LoopUp Group PLC
AGM statement as expected; Resume with a Buy
Companies: CloudCall Group PLC
Benefiting from the pandemic-driven surge in sofa shopping, Asos has released strong FY20 results. However, the strong trading performance in FY 20 and a good start to FY21 were not enough to relieve management’s cautious view on the outlook.
The recent return rate has started to climb back from the bottom in April and the macro-economic consequence of COVID-19 may start to weigh on consumer demand. We should see the sales growth pace and profitability normalising in the coming months.
Companies: ASOS plc
H1 results were ahead of our estimates. However, excluding select factors, profits were well above our expectations. Sumo’s strong underlying results positions it to outperform current market expectations. In addition, Sumo announced the acquisition of Pipeworks, which we estimate could drive 18% earnings accretion even based on conservative forecasts. Given the relatively modest share price reaction, Sumo now trades at a lower multiple than prior to the acquisition.
Companies: Sumo Group Plc
Gamesys Group’s interim results reporting pro forma adjusted EBITDA growth of 17% exceeded consensus expectations, demonstrating the strength of its strategy of growing the player base responsibly, while aiming for a high player retention rate. The improving financial position has resulted in the introduction of a new dividend (company commentary implies 36p/share for FY20) earlier than anticipated by us and consensus. We have increased our FY20 EBITDA forecast by 7.8%.
Companies: GYS JP7 JKPTF
CAP-XX Ltd* (CPX.L, 4.5p/£19.9m) | Gfinity plc* (GFIN.L, 3.8p/£28.9m) | MTI Wireless Edge Ltd* (MWE.L, 44p/£38.7m) | Newmark Security plc* (NWT.L, 1.175p/£5.5m)
Companies: CPX GFIN MWE NWT
Gaming Realms is a creator and licensor of innovative games for mobile, with operations in the UK, U.S. and Canada. Flagship brand Slingo® is a highly popular and unique game genre which combines elements of slot, bingo and table gameplay. These games are licensed by some of the biggest online gaming operators in the world, including DraftKings, Sky Betting & Gaming and GVC, and distributed directly to operators or via global partners such as Scientific Games & Relax Gaming using the company's proprietary Remote Game Server platform.
Companies: Gaming Realms PLC
essensys’ FY’20E prelims highlighted strong US performance. Group sales rose 9% y/y to £22.5m (recurring: +19% to £19.4m) underpinned by the US, were 59 new site adds drove recurring sales up +45% y/y to £8.1m. Lockdown saw some sales cycle elongation, yet Group recurring sales were stable h/h, 19 new sites were added in H2 and pipeline includes 47 new contracted Connect sites to deploy. Outlook remains positive, and reintroduced N1Se numbers forecast 15% CAGR in recurring sales to FY’22E. We also explore the adjacent addressable opportunity presented by the essensys STEP product which we estimate to be worth £90m pa in London alone (US market many multiples of that). Valuation at 2.9x EV/sales is at a c.50% discount to peers exhibiting similar attractive SaaS metrics and top-line visibility.
Companies: essensys PLC
Nanoco is now focused on generating value from three core areas: nanomaterials for the sensor market, where it has a framework agreement with STMicroelectronics; quantum dots for TV displays where a number of development projects are underway; and pursuit of the patent infringement litigation against Samsung. Noting that net cash consumption is now c £0.3m per month, which management, led by Brian Tenner, estimates gives a cash runway to December 2022, we have reinstated our estimates.
Companies: Nanoco Group PLC
Audioboom plc* (BOOM.L, 177.5p/£24.9m) | Starcom plc* (STAR.L, 0.85p/£3.0m)
Companies: Audioboom Group PLC (BOOM:LON)Starcom Plc (STAR:LON)
Interims reveal a particularly strong trading period for the group, with underlying organic sales growth accelerating to +20% c/c (previously mid-single digit), underpinned by both strong trading in the US (+c.50% u/l) and the UK (+11%). Additionally, Eckoh benefitted from a large perpetual Coral licence deal, bringing reported sales growth to +37%. In our view, these results speak to the strong proposition, opportunity and momentum Eckoh across its markets. We leave FY u/l forecasts unchanged but acknowledge they look more than achievable. Currently trading on a 5% FCF yield, rising to 6% in FY21E, we think Eckoh offers a unique investment opportunity.
Companies: Eckoh plc