Research, Charts & Company Announcements
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T&G GLOBAL LTD
T&G GLOBAL LTD
New Product Development Enhances the Mix
17 Mar 17
Fever Tree’s (FEVR LN, HOLD, T/P 1250p) announces preliminary 2016 results on Tuesday 21st March. We forecast revenue to increase 72.6% to £102.2m in line with the 24th January trading update, and adjusted diluted EPS to continue its positive momentum to 25.2p (23.7p FY2015). Current consensus appears to be 24.0p (Source: Bloomberg).
21 Mar 17
Fever Tree’s (FEVR LN, HOLD, T/P 1250p) preliminary 2016 results this morning included in line EBITDA and diluted EPS. The company reported £35.8m of EBITDA – marginally ahead of our own £35.6m estimate and in front of £34.9m consensus forecast. Adjusted diluted EPS was 23.7p (+104%), consistent with our estimate (23.7p) but slightly below the 24.0p predicted by consensus (source: Bloomberg). Fever Tree holds an analyst presentation at 9.30am.
Panmure Morning Note 20-03-2017
20 Mar 17
Today’s H1FY17 results are in line with our and consensus expectations, and we are therefore maintaining our FY17 and FY18 PBT estimates. We regard this as a resilient performance given the turbulent backdrop. We leave our BUY rating and 150p TP unchanged to reflect our positive view on FIF’s long-term prospects predicated on; (1) FIF’s broad-based business spread across channel, customer and product providing diversification of opportunity and risk; (2) FIF is wellpositioned in the fast-growing areas (e.g. artisan breads, celebration cakes, “food-to-go”/foodservice) of the UK bakery market; and (3) FIF’s market leading position and size to deliver scale advantage to develop its stated growth opportunities (including targeted accretive acquisitions), further supported by FIF’s sound financial position (H1FY17 net debt/EBITDA of 0.8x).
10 for 17
09 Jan 17
As always at the start of a year, there are significant uncertainties about the year ahead but I think in 2017, the level of uncertainly has decisively moved up a gear. In fact, a leading economist at the LSE, Ethan Ilzetzki, was recently quoted as saying “I view the current global economic environment as the most uncertain in modern history”. Wow.
Small Cap Breakfast
21 Mar 17
First Sentinel—Investment company expecting NEX admission/introduction on 24 March. £636k raised pre-IPO. BioPharma Credit—Expected Gross Initial Acquisition Proceeds now c.$338m. Gross Cash Proceeds capped at $423m with placing and open offer. Results expected 23 March with admission now due 30 march. Tufton Oceanic Assets- The Company intends to invest in a diversified portfolio of second hand commercial sea-going vessels where the Investment Manager believes that an attractive opportunity exists in shipping. $150m raise. Admission 3 April.
N+1 Singer - Devro - We see 3 key sentiment drivers for FY17
16 Mar 17
We see 2017 as a critical year for Devro. Ultimately it needs to demonstrate sales growth at least in line with market growth, reduced leverage and China investment proving successful. With H1 shaping up to be down y-o-y, we will not get a proper handle on all 3 issues until H2. We identify 4 key catalysts in this note and issue updated forecasts. Given high leverage and forecast uncertainty, a P/E rating of 13x and 9x EV/EBITDA looks about right. We move from Under Review to Hold and set 200p as our new 12m TP. Shares are currently supported by a 4.5% yield.