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    SAVO-SOLAR OY

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    SAVO-SOLAR OY

  • 25 Jul 17

Morning Note

Victoria* (VCP): FY17 results beat expectations (CORP) | Proteome Sciences* (PRM): Interims – organisational changes to benefit (CORP) | Acal (ACL): Strong organic progress (BUY) | Revolution Bars (RBG): FY17 earnings guided up (BUY) | Mortgage Advice Bureau (MAB1): In-line trading with a Buy to Let spike (HOLD) | Gem Diamonds (GEMD): H1 trading update (BUY) | GB Group (GBG): AGM statement reveals trading in line (BUY)

Companies: PRM ACL RBG MAB1 GEMD GBG VCP

  • 27 Jul 17

Morning Note

InnovaDerma* (IDP): Sun’s out (CORP) | Savannah Resources* (SAV): Portuguese lithium exploration update (CORP) | Keywords Studios (KWS): Pedal to the metal (BUY) | Lombard Risk Management* (LRM): A Smart move by Lombard Risk (CORP)

Companies: IDP SAV KWS LRM

  • 24 Jul 17

Morning Note

Nasstar* (NASA): Trading update (CORP) | Solid State* (SOLI): Initiation of coverage: Intention to double revenues in five years (CORP) | Mortice* (MORT): Further strong growth (CORP) | Petra Diamonds (PDL): Trading and guidance update (BUY) | The Mission Marketing Group* (TMMG): Positive trading update (CORP) | Connect (CNCT): In line but with a different mix (BUY) | Quixant* (QXT): Strong H1 performance underpins FY forecasts (CORP)

Companies: NASA SOLI MORT PDL TMMG CNCT QXT

  • 12 Jul 17

AIM – End of summer term report

We update this table which we first published in early January and highlight the continued progress of the biggest AIM companies so far this year and activity in general. The latest AIM Statistics show that there are 963 companies currently, with 28 new issues year to date raising £441m. What’s more, this momentum has been maintained since June. This demonstrates that despite, the uncertainty surrounding the UK economy, generally investors continue to be active in the AIM market. In Share News & Views we comment on Cohort, ECSC*, Porvair, Quarto*, SQS* and Xafinity.

Companies: BMS CRPR ECSC EUSP FDM PCF PPIX QRT SNX SPRP SQS TCN W7L

  • 26 Jul 17

Advanced Materials – the building blocks of Tomorrow’s World

Whether we know it or not, advanced materials are a core component in the everyday life of the everyday person. They are the key material in items we often disregard, such as printer inks and lotions, to objects which defy the laws of gravity like the Airbus A380 and London’s Shard. Furthermore, these materials are not only essential to many objects and structures, but, due to their superior qualities, are the key to the advancement of many industries. One such example is the use of carbon fibre which offers five to ten times more rigidness, stiffness, and strength than its aluminium counterpart. As a result of these impressive qualities, motorsport and athletics have improved ten-fold since their mainstream use and new records are broken every year.

Companies: AGM AUTG BIOM BOY CAR EKT EMH EXO GRPH HDD HAYD IKA ITX CRPR MGAM NANO OXIG PLA SCE SYM VCT ZEN

  • 05 Jul 17

Conviction List Q3 2017

Since its inception in 2010, the Panmure Gordon Conviction List has outperformed the market, returning 284% against a Small Companies index that would have returned 221% over the same period.

Companies: ALD AVON CTH GKN HVN HCM INF NOG OTB POLY SNR SQS STJ

  • 25 Jul 17

Share & share alike

A fortnight into the Brexit negotiations and we’re none the wiser. We have had comments from a number of smaller company funds in the last week regarding the ongoing uncertainty and the possible impact of Brexit. As we await some clearer indicators regarding it and the state of the UK economy, generally shares may well mark time. Among the likely developments is an “implementation phase” lasting possibly until 2020 that may give companies time to navigate the process. In Share News & Views, we comment on AdEPT, Bloomsbury, Manx Telecom, PCF Group*, ProPhotonix* and Synectics*.

Companies: BMS CRPR ECSC EUSP FDM PCF PPIX QRT SNX SPRP SQS TCN TRI W7L

  • 27 Jul 17

2Q17 results – Over the top

Shell has reported clean CCS attributable earnings for 2Q17 of US$3,604m, for EPS of US$0.44, up 238% YoY and down 4% QoQ. Cash flow from operations in the quarter was US$11.3bn, benefiting from US$2.3bn of positive working capital movement and the company also had total cash receipts from disposals of US$6.7bn which exceeded cash capex by US$848m. Gearing fell 1.9% QoQ to 25.3%. The dividend was US$0.47. These results exceeded our top of the range forecast, beating consensus by 16% and look to confirm that the company has established a new level of profitability and cash generating capacity at a ~US$50/bbl oil price level. Shell looks on track to be able to switch off the scrip dividend around the end of the year and restart buy-backs in 2018. That holds out the prospect of a ramp up in the cash yield, at least justifying our 2,500p per share Target Price. Buy.

Companies: Royal Dutch Shell
  • 21 Jul 17

2Q17 preview – Angola hit, gearing still rising

BP will release 2Q17 earnings on 1 August. We forecast clean replacement cost EPS of USc3.77, around 6% below the median consensus, down 2% YoY and down 51% QoQ. However, BP has pre-advised a ~US$750m pre and post-tax exploration write-off associated with the relinquishment its 50% interest in Block 24/11 offshore Angola which will not be treated as a non-operating item and is itself equivalent to around USc3.8 per share. We expect underlying cash flow generation, excluding the impact of Gulf of Mexico related payments of US$5.5bn, but expect the company to be overall cash negative after cash dividend, capex and Gulf of Mexico payments to the tune of around US$0.5bn in the quarter. As a result, we expect gearing to continue to increase, albeit modestly, to 28.2%. We forecast a maintained dividend of USc10 per share. We amend our FY17 EPS forecast to reflect our revised 2Q17 earnings forecast.

Companies: BP
  • 13 Jul 17

Small Cap Breakfast

Quiz—Sch 1 from the omni-channel and international own brand in the women's value fast fashion sector. Offer TBA. Expected late July. Last year Quiz posted sales of £87.4m while pre-tax profits grew by 17pc to £5.7m | Arena Events Group -provider of temporary physical structures, seating, ice rinks, furniture and interiors. Raising £60m. Mkt cap £63m. Expected on the Chef’s birthday. 25th July. | Altus Strategies—African focused natural resource Company. Offer TBC. Expected Mid July. | Harvey Nash Group— Provider of professional recruitment and offshore solutions moving to AIM from Main. No capital to be raised. Mkt Cap c. £57.8m. | AnimalCare—RTO of Ecuphar NV, a European animal health company. £30m raise. Ecuphar FY16 rev £68.4m, underlying EBITDA £8.9m. Due 13 July. | NEXUS Infrastructure—£35m vendor sale. Mkt cap £70.5m. Provider of essential infrastructure services to the UK housebuilding and commercial sectors. Expected 11 July. FYSep16 rev £135.7m. | Greencoat Renewables - Schedule 1. Targeting a portfolio of operating renewable electricity generation assets, initially investing in wind generation assets in Ireland. Offer TBC. Due Mid July. | I3 Energy –Schedule 1 Update. Independent oil and gas company with assets and operations in the UK. Offer TBC, Mid July admission. | Verditek— Sch 1 update. The Company's subsidiaries will be involved in advanced solar photovoltaic, filtration and absorption technologies specialising in providing environmental services. Issue price 10p. Admission late June | Rockpool Acquisitions—Northern Ireland based Company seeking strong NI acquisition with an international outlook. Raising £1.5m at 10p. Due 5 July. | Hipgnosis Songs Fund investment company offering pure-play exposure to Songs and associated musical intellectual property rights. Prospectus yet to be published. | Impact Investment Trust—Exposure to a diversified portfolio of funds providing SMEs across developing economies with the growth capital they need to have a positive impact on the lives of the world's poorer populations. Raising up to $150m at $1.00 | Residential Secure Income - social housing REIT raising up to £300m Admission due c.12 July. | Curzon Energy—Report on Proactive Investors of intended LSE float this year with acquisition of coal bed methane assets in Oregon. Looking to raise £3m plus. | NLB Group—financial and banking institution based in Slovenia, with a network of 356 branches. Seeking Ljubliana Stock Exchange listing with GDRs on the LSE. Expected mid June. | Kuwait Energy— has not been able to complete its initial public offering as announced in its Intention To Float of 3 May 2017. However, in light of positive feedback from potential investors, the Company remains committed to obtaining a London listing and continues to explore its options. | Supermarket Income REIT– Up to £200m raise to acquire a diversified portfolio of supermarket real estate assets in the UK, providing long-term RPI-linked income. Due 21 July.

Companies: EOG MERC EHP DTG FLK AGQ HAYD PROX ADT OPP

  • 23 May 17

Site visit: bright future for ‘dividend factory’

Our site visit to Central Asia Metals (CAML) confirmed that its Kazakh operations are a cashflow and dividend ‘factory’.

Companies: Central Asia Metals
  • 28 Jul 17

AIM Oil & Gas

Pace of new investment improves in June; the July figures will be better after Hurricane Energy completes a £234 million placing to pay for an early production scheme West of Shetland; but the sector continues to decline as oil prices remain subdued.

Macros: Commodities - Energy
  • 26 Jul 17

Increases Brasse range, we increase PT by 5%.

Faroe has confirmed a resource upgrade for the Brasse discovery off Norway. Management had already flagged that the DST was encouraging, but guidance has now been revised to 56-92mmboe from 43-80mmboe gross. We increase our resource number from 66 to 74mmboe, and derisk CoS from 80% to 90% as it will almost definitely get developed. The net effect is to increase our RENAV from 121p to 127p (based on an oil price deck of 2017-2019+ $54/bbl, $60/bbl, $70/bbl LT). As such our PT which is based off RENAV increases 5% from 115p to 121p.

Companies: Faroe Petroleum
  • 27 Jul 17

highlights from sales briefing

We had Cairn’s CEO and CFO come in to present to sales yesterday. Overall, the tone was very confident, with management clearly defining the different avenues for value creation over the next few years. We keep Cairn as our top pick in the E&P space, and expect news flow to ramp up in the coming months. Our RENAV is 281p (based on an oil price deck of 2017-2019 of $54, $60, $70/bbl+). We don’t include any value yet for Cairn’s prospective acreage off Mexico (drilling 2019) or for potential new wells to be added in Norway and the UKNS.

Companies: Cairn Energy
  • 14 Jul 17

2Q17 preview – Cash floods in

Shell is due to report results for 2Q17 on 27 July. We forecast clean CCS EPS of US$0.43, down 6% QoQ but more than treble the results from last year for what should be another set of results confirming the improvement in underlying performance properly evident in the 1Q17 results. Moreover, cash flow should benefit from some US$7.5bn of cash disposal receipts as the fruits of the disposal programme flood in. That in turn should help drive a significant reduction in gearing to 24.6%, we forecast, which would support our thesis that Shell should be in a position to turn off the scrip around the end of the year and restart buy-backs in 2018.

Companies: Royal Dutch Shell