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    SAVO-SOLAR OY

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    SAVO-SOLAR OY

  • 20 Jan 20
The Industrial Revelation

US factory output rises in Dec better than expected, Schlumberger sees continued weakness in North America, Fastenal saw a continued slowdown in Q4

Companies: HEAD HILS HTG JHD RNO SCPA TRI ZTF SOM

  • 20 Jan 20
Hurricane Energy - Updated drilling campaign for 2020–21

In December 2019, Hurricane Energy provided a trading and operational update on its activities, announcing a strong ongoing performance of the Lancaster early production system (EPS), with well tests supporting guidance of 20,000bopd for FY20 (before operational downtime). Hurricane was also granted a five-year extension to its P1368 licence, covering Lancaster and Lincoln, which resulted in changes to its near-term work programme. One or more sub-vertical wells will be drilled on both Lincoln (in 2020) and Lancaster (in 2021) to determine the maximum vertical extent of each reservoir. Hurricane estimated FY19 revenue of c $165m and year-end unrestricted cash of c $150m, relatively in line with our estimates for the year. Our risked valuation stands at 109.9p/share (from 102.8p/share) as we roll forward our NAV, adjust our short-term oil price assumptions and update forecasts to reflect Lancaster EPS performance and the 2020–21 work programme.

Companies: Hurricane Energy
  • 23 Jan 20
The Industrial Revelation

UK industrial trends improves in Jan, South Korean GDP rises at fastest pace since Q3 17, Japan's exports miss but chip-making bounces in Dec

Companies: HEAD HTG JHD OXIG RSW GHH

  • 20 Jan 20
Cenkos: Trinity Exploration and Production Plc -- Strong Cash flow Generation

Trinity has ended 2019 on a high, increasing year-on-year cash balances whilst continuing with its onshore drilling programme. Year-on-year production increased by 5%, with the full impact of the 2019 drilling campaign only being realised during Q4/19, with an exit production rate c3,400 bopd. Through SCADA and the Company's hedging programme Trinity has put in place measures to protect bottom-line free cash flow generation and ensure a resilient financial performance, with the impact of oil price and tax take mitigated. We update our model, maintaining our 37p buy target and our BUY recommendation

Companies: Trinity Exploration & Production
  • 20 Jan 20
Cenkos: Oil & Gas Sector -- Falcon Oil & Gas, ConocoPhillips, Lekoil, Tullow Oil, PetroTal, Serica Energy, China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC), Cairn Energy, Africa Oil Corp, Genel Energy, RockRose Energy, Egdon Resources

General News: Norway The Norwegian Government has awarded 28 oil and gas companies a total of 69 offshore blocks as part of the APA 2019 licensing round. 33 blocks were awarded in the North Sea, with 23 in the Norwegian Sea and a further 13 in the Barents Sea. Equinor received the most licences with 23, followed by Var Energi with 17 and Aker BP with 15. PE backed firms, Neptune Energy and Chrysaor received eight and thirteen blocks respectively. Norway. Senegal's 2020 Licensing Round will be launched on the 28 January 2020 at the King Fahd Hotel in Dakar. The licensing round comprises 12 blocks in the MSGBC Basin, offshore Senegal. The Round officially launches on the 31 January 2020, with applications to be delivered by the 31 July 2020. Petrosen, along with TGS, GeoPartners and PGS have provided 14,000km of 2D seismic, 10,000km of 3D seismic and 50,000sqkm of multibeam data. Further investment events are planned in London on 19-20 February and in Houston 24-25 February. Senegal.

Companies: FOG PVR DGOC EME TRIN 88E

  • 20 Jan 20
First look

Trinity has released a positive 4Q19 operational update, with average FY19 production up 5% yoy to 3.01kb/d and an exit rate of c.3.4kb/d. The company’s first High Angle Well has also been successful, reaching daily production rates in excess of 80b/d, and the development team will prioritise identifying similar HAW locations for its 2020 capex programme. We reiterate our BUY recommendation given Trinity’s compelling valuation, strong balance sheet, efficient execution and visibility on production growth.

Companies: Trinity Exploration & Production
  • 23 Jan 20
Pantheon Resources*

Alkaid resource report

Companies: Pantheon Resources
  • 02 Sep 19
LIBERUM: Sylvania Platinum* - Results beat, Grasvally disposal but light on dividend

Sylvania has reported FY19 results (June Y/E) of $6.37/sh versus expectations of $5.95/sh due to a lighter tax expense than assumed. They have entered into a binding agreement to sell Grasvally for R115m ($7.6m at current FX), which should be settled in the next eight months.

Companies: Sylvania Platinum
  • 21 Jan 20
WHI First Light: Caledonia Mining, Pennant International & Oriole Resources

Caledonia today announced it has finalised the transaction to purchase a 15% holding in the Blanket mine in Zimbabwe taking its total holding in the mine to 64%. This was first announced in November 2018 and comprised the cancelling of a loan between Fremiro and Caledonia and the issuance of 0.73m shares in Caledonia (valuing the 15% stake at $16.7m). Fremiro will now own 6.3% of the enlarged share capital of Caledonia. PEN's announcement this morning appears well-aligned to its strategy of lifting recurring earnings while also intensifying its focus on software products and related services as part of the product mix. This approach is expected to free PEN to exploit to the fullest extent its technical advantages in the specialist field of integrated logistics support software for the aviation and other sectors, while increasingly limiting its exposure to large, lumpy contracts. The intended acquisition of Absolute Data Group (ADG) adds a complementary new product suite, gives PEN a step up in key global markets, and adds both high margin licences and expanded maintenance services. Completion, expected by the end of February, is contingent on contractual conditions being satisfied by the vendors as well as on the conclusion of financing agreements. The acquisition is small, but looks potentially meaningful all the same, and we expect it to be modestly earnings enhancing (allowing for investment and integration costs) as early as FY2020E. Oriole, the West-African focussed gold explorer, today announces that its tenure in Senegal has been extended for up to 10 years (plus a potential 2 years special extension), with the former Dalafin licence now designated Senala.

Companies: CMCL ORR PEN

  • 21 Jan 20
Gulf Keystone Petroleum#

Operational update

Companies: Gulf Keystone Petroleum
  • 23 Jan 20
Q4/2019 Trading Update

Petropavlovsk PLC (LSE: POG) have released their Q4 trading update this morning. Not only are the results for 2019 impressive with a 28% increase in sales from the company’s three operating gold mines to 471.6koz, plus another 42.4Koz from third party concentrates (comfortably in line with estimates), the guidance for 2020 is literally on another level. The company is guiding to 620koz to 720koz of production including third-party concentrate sales. We were previously assuming 565koz including 80koz of third party.

Companies: Petropavlovsk
  • 21 Oct 19
Quarterly Research Outlook Autumn 2019

Following continued delays of a Brexit agreement, few sectors within the UK market have remained attractive to investors despite low valuations. One sector which has continued to outperform despite the political drama has been the UK video gaming sector (henceforth UK gaming), which we are fans of. We believe a combination of sector-leading growth, strong cash conversion and timely cyclical positioning support our positive view on the UK video gaming sector.

Companies: ABBY AMS ANX ARS ATYM AVON BLVN PIER BUR CGS CAML CDM CSRT TIDE CYAN DTG DEMG ELM EMR FPO FDEV GTLY GENL GHH GRI GEEC GKP HMI HAYD HEAD HILS HTG HUR IBPO IOG INDI JHD JOG KAPE KEYS KWS KCT KGH LAM LIT LOK MACF MANO MOD OXIG PCA PANR APP SRE PHC PMO RBW RMM RBGP REDD RSW RNO ROR SUS SCPA SEN SHG SOLG SOM SUMO TM17 INCE TWD TRAK TRI VNET VTC ZOO ZTF

  • 20 Jan 20
Cenkos: 88 Energy Ltd -- Quarterly Update

This morning, 88 Energy released its quarterly update ahead of the spudding of the potentially transformational Charlie-1 well in February. Charlie-1 will appraise BP's 1991 Malguk-1 well, which encountered oil shows across multiple horizons but was not tested due to operational complications. Charlie-1 will intersect seven stacked targets, with a total gross mean prospective resource of 1.6bnbbls (480mmbbls net to 88 Energy). As part of farm-out to Premier Oil, Premier will fund the cost of the well up to a cap of US$23m. With everything on track for a February spud, we look forward to one of the most anticipated onshore wells in 2020. We maintain our 4.8p price target and our BUY recommendation.

Companies: 88 Energy
  • 24 Jan 20
WHI First Light: Getech (GTC) & Norman Broadbent (NBB)

Getech (GTC) – Corporate – Strong order book, forward sales and cash growth but FY 2019E outturn anticipated below expectations Getech provides geoscience and geospatial products and services to companies and governments to de-risk exploration programmes and improve their management of natural resources. This morning, the group has announced that whilst it has seen strong growth in both its new forward sales and order book at +41% and +48% respectively (New forward sales totalling £2.4m and an Order book of £3.1m), a number of anticipated substantial orders did not close by the end of December 2019. As such, FY 2019E revenue is now expected to be c.£2m lower than the prior year, whilst lower costs and the continued focus on driving efficiencies across the business has cushioned the impact to a degree at the EBITDA level. Norman Broadbent (NBB) – Corporate – Full year update – Breakthrough milestone with return to profit in FY2019 – confirms H1 trajectory This morning's update from NBB highlights positive momentum with, we believe, further upside as the turnaround continues. Having generated a small profit in the first half, NBB has now achieved the further feat of making a profit in the whole of 2019, confirming the encouraging trajectory which has taken the company from a £1.6m loss in 2017 to profitability. Revenues are up substantially at £11.5m (+22%); Net Fee Income ahead by a similar degree (£7.6m, +15%). PBT is not specified but has clearly built on the modest but promising £0.016m generated in the first half – this despite NBB generally being a first half-weighted company and indeed H2-19 an uncertain period generally due to political and economic uncertainty.

Companies: Getech Group Norman Broadbent

  • 21 Jan 20
Oil & Gas flash note

Union Jack’s bullish position on Wressle has been validated by the recent grant of planning consent for the project, and represents another key share price catalyst for the Company ahead of a potentially transformational year ahead in our view. Wressle is slated to come onstream this Summer contributing c.US$3m of annualised revenues net to the Company. After taking operating costs into consideration, SPA est. US$8-10/bbl, such revenues would propel Union Jack into a material cash generating oil production company. We reiterate our STRONG BUY rating and 0.70p TP.

Companies: Union Jack Oil