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Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on VOLVO AB-B SHS. We currently have 19 research reports from 1 professional analysts.
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VOLVO AB-B SHS
VOLVO AB-B SHS
Truck delivery fall accelerates in Q3, but prices stabilise
21 Oct 16
The group’s consolidated accounts showed a Q3 revenue fall of 6.2% to SEK68.8bn which brought the ytd number to SEK219bn, a fall of 5.8%. Simultaneously, the EBIT numbers were SEK4.66bn (unchanged) and SEK13.8bn (-27%), respectively. While the 9M profit number is slightly ahead of our expectation (€13.35bn), the sales number is marginally lower (SEK221.8bn).
$75m disposal gain limited John Deere’s Q3 and 9M profit setback
19 Aug 16
The revenue decline of both the Agricultural and Construction Equipment divisions accelerated in Q3. The former division saw its turnover falling by 11% to $4.70bn in the last quarter (through to July) and by 7% to just above $14bn in the 9M. The respective numbers for Construction Equipment were -24% to $1.16bn and -21% to $3.7bn. In spite of this, Agricultural Equipment achieved a 21% EBIT gain to $571m in the last quarter but the operating result was down by 4% to $1.33bn in the 9M. However, these numbers include the above disposal gain from the listing of SiteOne Landscapes, in which Deere continues to own a 24% stake. Agricultural Equipment saw its EBIT falling by 58% to $54m in Q3 and by 58% to $197m in 9M. Finally, Financial Services suffered an operating profit setback of 20% to $191m in Q3 and of 26% to $545m in 9M. Management blames the lack of volume and negative currency impacts for the revenue and profit falls of the two manufacturing divisions. In addition, it blames less-favourable financing spreads, a higher provision for credit losses, and higher losses on lease residual values for the profit decline of Financial Services.
Continuously deteriorating Caterpillar numbers
26 Jul 16
The company saw its revenue falling by 16% to $10.3bn in Q2 which brought the H1 number to $18.4bn, a fall of 22%. The respective EBIT numbers were $785m (-41%) and $1.28bn (-58%). As these numbers are no better than management had expected in April, it is now seeing the full-year numbers coming in at the bottom end of the indicated range. The resources industries (-29% to $1.46bn) and energy & transportation (-20% to $3.75bn) have continuously been the weak spots in the last quarter whereas the revenue drop was more moderate from the construction industries (-8% to $4.43bn). In fact, divisional revenue started to recover in APAC (+12% to $892m) and was unchanged at just above $1bn in EMEA. In regional terms, Latin American revenue fell by another 31% to $884m while the rate of decline was in the vicinity of 15% in North America (to $5.0bn), EMEA (to $2.49bn) and APAC (to $1.94bn).
Rather poor H1 16 numbers might require further restructurings
19 Jul 16
Volvo showed accelerating rates of decline for Q2 compared to Q1 16 while we had expected a moderation. Consolidated revenue fell by 5.6% to SEK151bn in H1 which is marginally below our projected SEK155bn. However, EBIT of SEK9.1bn (-35%) is clearly lower than our anticipated SEK10.7bn. The truck division showed a 5.0% delivery fall to 98,780 vehicles while divisional revenue fell by 7.7% to just above SEK100bn. Consequently, the ASP fell by 2.9% to SEK1,016k. Finally, cash from operations (based on management’s definition) collapsed by 69% to SEK2.9bn which is the result of a very poor Q1.
Volvo adds another SEK2.3bn to provisions for having fixed prices
30 Jun 16
In the context of the EU investigation into price fixings of truck producers, the company had created a provision of SEK3.8bn in Q4 15 and it now adds another SEK2.3bn. Management seems to be worried that the previous provision is insufficient. The EU’s investigation is still ongoing and Volvo says that it is ‘fully’ cooperating. Hence, we are surprised that the number keeps going up.
Deere’s revenue and profits continuously under pressure
20 May 16
The group released Q2 15/16 numbers (FYE 31 October) and these show a continuing downward trend, in particular for its Construction & Forestry division and for Financial Services. While revenue of the Agricultural & Turf division was almost unchanged in Q2 (-0.4% to $5.74bn), revenue of Construction & Forestry fell by 16% to $1.37bn. Turnover of Financial Services was also almost unchanged (-2% to $117m). All of these variations were less strong in Q2 compared to Q1. However, divisional operating earnings deteriorated faster in Q2 in both Construction & Forestry (-61% to $74m) and Financial Services (-40% to $160m), whereas the profit slump was small at -4% to $614m in Agricultural & Turf. Management blames higher losses on lease residual values for the profit collapse of Financial Services, whereas the profit fall in Construction & Forestry is simply the result of falling volumes. For the full fiscal year, management expects retail sales of agricultural machinery to fall in all regions around the world. The rate of decline is expected to come in between 15% and 20% in both North and Latin America and to be unchanged or show a fall of up to 5% in both Western Europe and Asia. Volvo’s Construction Equipment division is expected to suffer a revenue fall of 5% and an EBIT drop of 14%. Taking a look at Deere’s numbers suggests that the expected profit fall is probably alright, but the revenue fall will possibly be sharper.
The Slide Rule
12 Jan 17
What is The Slide Rule? The Slide Rule has been designed to dramatically simplify the identification of the best companies in the UK small/mid-cap sector by making a quantitative assessment of the relative potential of each company. At its core, The Slide Rule aims to identify those companies that create genuine shareholder value through strong returns on capital and solid growth, but also present a value opportunity with the potential tailwind of earnings momentum. Companies are assessed within a Quality, Value, Growth and Momentum (QVGM) framework.
16 Jan 17
We take a look at the rankings of the various countries in Africa that have a significant exposure to mining. We take the Transparency International corruption rankings as our starting point and modify these for exceptional geology and for current UK government travel warnings. Ghana, Botswana and Namibia come out as our top three, with Eritrea, Kenya and Zimbabwe at the bottom of our rankings.
Small Cap Breakfast
17 Jan 17
Global Energy Development (GED.L) — To be renamed Nautilus Marine Services. Schedule 1 from developer and seller of hydrocarbons and related products. Reverse takeover. Raising $10.5m via a convertible. Expected 9 Feb. Eco (Atlantic) Oil & Gas—TSX-V listed oil and gas exploration has announced its intention to float on AIM. Assets in Guyana and Namibia. Proposed £2m-£3m fundraise. Diversified Gas & Oil—According to LSE website first day of trading on AIM now expected for 30 January.
N+1 Singer - St Ives - Downgrade
19 Jan 17
Marketing activation has been impacted by further decline in grocery retail impacting profit by c£5m. Strategic The Company is also taking this opportunity to revise its guidance for Strategic Marketing as its recovery pace is not running at the planned target rate. PBT falls from N1Se £31.9m to £25m. The Company expects dividend to be held based upon lowered guidance and the implied cash flow performance. There do not appear to be any covenant issues. Forecasts and TP under review and downgrade to Hold. We expect the shares to test the 100p level.
N+1 Singer - Northern lights - Shining prospects for 2017
16 Jan 17
As the birthplace of Stephenson, Armstrong and Swan, the North East of England has a proud history of industrial and technological innovation. Despite local economic challenges, the region’s industrial heritage lives on through continuing success in high end engineering and technology. The recent takeovers of private equity backed SMD (subsea robotics) and Nomad Digital (wi-fi on the railways) are testament to this. The North East has also emerged as a leader in genetics and genomics with an enviable life sciences and healthcare infrastructure. Against this backdrop, we expect the region to continue to throw up attractive IPO candidates to build on the six new listings in the past three years. We expect 2017 to be far kinder to the existing portfolio of North East plcs than 2016 (a year to forget) with recent management changes one important theme for the new year. Our top picks are Hargreaves Services, Quantum Pharma and Zytronic (all N+1 Singer Corporate clients) and we are Buyers of Northgate and Grainger.
N+1 Singer - Morning Song 19-01-2017
19 Jan 17
Actual Experience (ACT LN) 2017 – a milestone year for revenue | Bagir Group (BAGR LN) Independent NED appointment to strengthen Board composition | Bioquell (BQE LN) Reassuring pre-close statement | Carador Income Fund (CIFU LN) Q4 dividend increased to 2.75c, 0.5c higher than forecast | FreeAgent (FREE LN) Contract with Royal Bank of Scotland | Halfords Group (HFD LN) Excellent Q3 update, special divi and confidence in FX mitigations | N Brown Group (BWNG LN) Robust peak trading with reversal of drag from older titles | NCC Group (NCC LN) Interims confirm underlying business sound | St Ives (SIV LN) Downgrade | Summit Therapeutics (SUMM LN) Dr David Roblin appointed Chief Operating Officer and R&D President | Wilmington Group (WIL LN) Acquisition – Further scaling of Healthcare