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HEXAGON AB-B SHS
HEXAGON AB-B SHS
A data-driven H1 raises expectations
05 Dec 16
The first reporting period under the new D4t4 Solutions brand saw the group (previously IS Solutions) deliver good growth, leaving it well on track to meet PBT forecasts in FY 2017, and we now increase FY 2018 forecasts. The business continues to flourish from its focus on data management and analytics, enabling its international blue-chip client base to gather and gain advantage from the mass of customer data available, utilising the leading-edge Celebrus solution. Industry analysts predict 12% CAGR for the BI & Analytics market through to 2020, and D4t4 is riding this wave of demand.
Taking a prudent road
28 Nov 16
As flagged in September, H1 2017 profit is indeed below LY; adj. PBT of £0.5m compares with £1.5m in H1 2016 as Trakm8 invests heavily in new technology and acquisition integration. Management remains confident in another very strong H2 performance and in particular is focused on closing a couple of large high-margin software-related sales which would see the group meeting the original FY 2017 expectations of £5.9m adj. PBT. However, should these fall outside the March year-end, profits are only likely to be in line with last year’s £3.9m, albeit on a growing revenue base. Prudence dictates we assume a worst-case scenario in our forecasts so that surprise is only in the upside – if the deals close in the year, the company will meet those original revenue and profit expectations.
06 Dec 16
600 Group* (SIXH): Interim results: order book showing signs of improvement (CORP) | Real Good Food* (RGD): Commodity volatility impacts numbers (CORP) | Minds + Machines* (MMX): .vip goes live in China (CORP | Imaginatik* (IMTK): Interims (CORP) | iomart* (IOM): Quality business as usual (CORP) | Fulcrum (FCRM): Upgrades continue (BUY)
N+1 Singer - Morning Song 05-12-2016
05 Dec 16
RTHM is acquiring a profitable Canadian listed mobile specialist for equivalent of US$42.5m consideration in shares (88.235m). This helps adds to two growth vectors RTHM is targeting; (i) adds unique exclusive audience (10m unique) and (ii) Exclusive demand Yahoo and Facebook. The business has 15 premium and owned and operated apps which provide users with rewards for activity. The business is expected to deliver c$9m of EBITDA in FY18 including $2m of cost synergies. This equates to just 4.7x EV/EBITDA. This marks what we see the first step in RTHM activity to scale the business and deliver on margin potential (see our initiation notes). Our initial estimates for EPS revisions are very significant - for FY18 are 2.3 cents (currently 0.6) and for FY19 4.3 (currently 2.5). There is a call at 830 for investors and we will revise post this.
Joy of Techs
21 Nov 16
ICT evolution is driven by technological development as advances are made which both meet and shape customer requirements. Our 2011 note No such thing as a telco described the modern reality in that former ‘telcos’ now deliver varying elements of a range of managed services. We built on this theme last year, exploring in further detail their evolutionary paths, operating fundamentals, and cashflow yield similarities. In the consumer environment, demand for bundles of technology is complemented by demand for content. Across the pond, the mooted combination of AT&T and Time Warner typifies the bundled need of ‘pipe’ and content, since unbundled alternatives such as FaceTime and WhatsApp can be easier and clearer to chat over, and Amazon and Netflix are easier to watch anywhere. In the UK, BT’s defensive actions cover delivery, content and capabilities, acquiring EE yet also buying football rights. While TV was long ago added to triple play to become quad play, voice is now merely an app, and fixed and mobile seen as just dumb pipes: it's the content that will influence consumer choices. Growth of TV and film as well as music and gaming over IP leads to UK small cap opportunities. In context of the drive to maximise value from pipes and access by offering content and data, we look at some amongst the potential tech small cap beneficiaries: Amino*, Keyword Studios, ZOO Digital*, 7digital*, KCOM* and CityFibre*.
Quality business as usual
06 Dec 16
iomart's interims show delivery of continuing organic growth, complemented by targeted acquisitions to extend the strategic opportunities. Compared with peers exposed to project-based revenue, cloud services organic growth continued at 10% (comfortably within our expected 8-11% target range), with the evolution of margins as expected: the growing proportion of public cloud services mildly easing EBITDA margins but maintaining or even strengthening adjusted PBT margins, given the lack of related depreciation. With high quality recurring revenue at high margins, and (lower margin, lower recurring revenue) peer group exit valuations comfortably above iomart’s current valuation, the upside remains very clear. Target 360p reiterated.