Stable 4Q22

Top Picks for 2023 - 2022 review and outlook for 2023

On 10 January last year, we set out our ten top stock picks for 2022, in what turned out to be a very poor twelve months for global equities, due to war, accelerating inflation, political instability and recession fears. Between 7 January 2022 and 31 December 2022, the AIM All-Share Index declined 30.0%, whilst the average performance of our ten top picks was -24.7%, a modest relative outperformance. In this note we discuss the performance of our 2022 top picks, equities trends in 2022, and our

QuotedData’s Real Estate Monthly Roundup – January 2023

Performance - 2022 ended with another difficult month for property companies as the sector continues to get to grips with the impact of higher interest rates. There were several funds that performed well during December, however, with secondary shopping centre landlord Capital & Regional top of the pile. For a second month on the trot Home REIT saw its share price tank after it came under attack from a short seller in November. Valuation moves - It was a mixed bag for valuations, with six-month

Sustained execution drives value opportunity

Urban Logistics REIT (ULR) has deployed a further £48m selectively into attractively priced assets (~6% NIY) with strong covenants and rent reversion opportunities. Further asset management efforts enhanced passing rents and WAULTs. Development activity has also bolstered the rental base. MSCI has made a material upward rerating (A from CCC) on enhanced disclosure. We make no changes to forecasts. We continue to see attractive value here with the shares trading on a 30% discount to EPRA NAV with

FY22 TU – Strong Upgrades on Better Performance

Argentex has issued a trading update for the 9M22 period this morning, with revenue and earnings performance ahead of expectations. FY22 revenues are up 54% yoy to £50.4m (+7.5% vs. SCM estimates) and operating margins are ahead of management expectations. This was driven by growth in the number of corporate clients as well as good progress across its growth strategy, with robust trading across all products and geographies. Another strong update from Argentex, as the Group continues to deliver o

Cenkos; Marlowe Plc -- Building the software offering

Marlowe hosted a well-attended CMD last week in which it provided a deep dive into its burgeoning software business, which from a standing start in 2018, has grown to represent c25% of group Adj EBITDA today, driven by a combination of targeted acquisitions and strong organic growth (mid-high teens in FY22A). Multiple macro drivers underpin growth in the global GRC market, which is expanding at a c8% CAGR. With the share price having nearly halved over the past 12-months, Marlowe now trades mate

FLASH: Strong realisation proving the model

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 17 Jan 23

17 January 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment object

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 23 Jan 23

23 January 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment object

LIBERUM: NewRiver* - Trading update shows continued resilience of business model

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 19 Jan 23

19 January 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment object

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 26 Jan 23

26 January 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment object

Subdued sales backdrop weighs on FY23 outlook

Foxtons year end update follows recent commentary from peers in highlighting the impact of market volatility on house buyer confidence. Whilst the conclusion to FY22 is strong and ahead of expectations (revenue +11% to c.£140m vs. our forecast of £135m), investors are likely to focus on a more subdued current year outlook. Management expects a challenging H123, expecting a significant reduction in sales volumes and, to a lesser extent, sales prices. There are however some tentatively positive si

WHI Support Services Sector Comment: Challenges and opportunities

Bleak expectations for the UK economy in 2023 anticipate underperformance against other G7 countries based on factors such as (a) the UK's higher than average mortgage rate sensitivity and (b) relative exposure to high gas and energy prices. Some measure of political / economic stability has returned, though this arguably remains a brittle quality, given the scope for dissent within the Conservative party and the unpredictable impacts of industrial action, among a range of factors. All of this s

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 18 Jan 23

18 January 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment object