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The group posted a strong set of results, once again driven by a further net interest margin recovery. Further out, the management is confident that the group will manage to protect its margin and grow the top line. This confirms our view that the improvement in the Spanish banks’ profitability is largely structural.
Companies: Bankinter (BKT:BME)Bankinter SA (BKT:MCE)
AlphaValue
The second quarter trends showed slower deposit repricing, better cost control and a stable cost of risk, translating into upgraded 2023 profits guidance. Further out, in the absence of management comments, we continue to expect profitability to normalise driven by net interest margin attrition. The commercial development in consumer finance and corporate lending should also translate into an above-inflation cost expansion as well as an increase in the though-the-cycle cost of risk.
As expected, the first quarter results confirmed that SVB-driven market fears were undeserved. Interest rate hikes have remained strongly supportive, and the group has increased its market share in deposits.
This strong set of results came as no surprise and the upbeat guidance for 2023 already seems largely factored in to the consensus expectations. The sustainability of the net interest margin in 2024 is a key question in our view. On the plus side, we can’t rule out a positive ruling on the windfall tax which has been challenged by the Spanish banks.
The quarter enjoyed a substantial increase in the net interest margin while efficiency remained under control and asset quality trends showed no signs of deterioration. It remains to be seen to what extent BKT and its peers will be able to secure such gains over the long term whereas the government has moved pre-emptively, and depositors will likely ask for their share.
BKT posted a strong set of results, enabling management to upgrade its full-year guidance for 2022. We see limited risks for 2023 even if the macro-economics have deteriorated. It remains to be seen if the Spanish government will draw its windfall profit tax. However, it is already priced in the share price.
The first-quarter results came in above expectations driven by a record low cost of risk. Management reiterated its guidance not only for 2022 but also for 2023. Not only is the Ukraine invasion not expected to derail the group’s profit trajectory but it could boost this on an 18/24-month perspective as interest rate hikes percolate through to the top line.
BKT managed to beat consensus expectations on stronger revenue generation and accessorily a lower tax rate. This year, the group is expected to enjoy ongoing strong top-line expansion, controlled costs inflation and likely stable cost of risk.
The Q3 operating trends suffered from seasonality but showed an accelerated cost of risk normalisation, thus enabling management to reiterate its mid-term guidance.
The quarter showed ongoing strong commercial momentum fuelled by market share gains and supportive capital markets, in a context of stable revenue margins and efficiency. On the other hand, the cost of risk did not enjoy provision recoveries, which could come as a disappointment.
We are initiating coverage of Bankinter with an Add recommendation. BKT is Spain’s sixth-largest bank. It was founded in 1965 as an industrial bank through a joint venture by Banco de Santander and Bank of America. It was listed on the Madrid stock exchange in 1972, at which time the bank became fully independent of its founders and transformed itself into a commercial bank.
Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on Bankinter SA. We currently have 0 research reports from 3 professional analysts.
Companies: Plus500 Ltd.
Liberum
Tatton, the leading on-platform discretionary fund manager (DFM) and IFA support services Group has released a trading update ahead of its results to 31 March 2024, due on 18 June 2024.
Companies: Tatton Asset Management Plc
Zeus Capital
The focus of Hardman & Co Research is on the nine quoted Infrastructure Investment Companies (IICs) and on the 22 Renewable Energy Infrastructure Funds (REIFs): the stocks analysed are all members of the Association of Investment Companies (AIC). We are updating our publication of January 2023, assessing both the lacklustre share price performances during 2023 and the key issues, including interest rates, inflation and power prices. As a 31-strong group, its combined market capitalisation is no
Companies: AEIT ROOF DGI9 INPP GSF SEIT USFP HICL ORIT BSIF TRIG NESF SEQI HEIT GRP GCP FSFL 3IN AERI PINT RNEW BBGI GSEO DORE TENT GRID CORD HGEN AEET
Hardman & Co
Ondo InsurTech has released a brief post-YE update revealing its good progress continued through 2H24 and consequently FY24 will be in line with market expectations.
Companies: Ondo Insur Tech PLC
Dowgate Capital
BRWM’s managers: we see all the classic signs of high commodity prices...
Companies: Blackrock World Mining Trust PLC
Kepler | Trust Intelligence
The refinancing of a £135m revolving credit facility and the extension of a similar £70m facility gives NESF firepower as development opportunities for new solar are especially attractive thanks to lower module prices in Europe. They give the fund key financial flexibility at a critical time as it pursues its capital recycling programme.
Companies: NextEnergy Solar Fund Ltd
Longspur Clean Energy
Companies: discoverIE Group PLC (DSCV:LON)LendInvest PLC (LINV:LON)
Cavendish
Feature article: Steady as she goes, but could be better: A review of investment company liquidity since 2016 Liquidity is the lifeblood of equity markets. The measurement of liquid asset availability to a market or company is a way of gauging a market’s health. This article builds on our previous work, which analysed the liquidity data for non-financial trading companies, by applying the same analytical techniques to the investment companies (IC) space. We analyse liquidity for ICs as a whol
Companies: NBPE ICGT ARBB RECI CLIG HAT AVO VTA APAX
Foxtons Group plc first quarter revenue rose 9% to £35.7m (1Q23: £32.9m) with growth delivered across all business segments. Trading is in line with management's expectations.
Companies: Foxtons Group Plc
Companies: UTL ASC DNLM BWNG MONY DFS BOO
Shore Capital
Companies: M Winkworth plc
Foxtons Group’s Q1 revenue grew by 9%, supported by growth in all three divisions as the strategic initiatives continue to gain significant momentum, driven by investment in staff, best-in-class bespoke IT and data platforms. This implies that Foxtons’ medium-term targets are now coming into focus. Market share is being gained in all divisions, which puts Foxtons in a good position as the sales market stabilises. We maintain our valuation of 132p/share and believe that if interest rates stabilis
Edison
Vp’s full year update highlights sector-leading results, once again benefiting from the diversity of its end markets and the quality of its specialist businesses. With results expected to be broadly in line with expectations, we trim our FY24 PBT forecast by c.5% to £39.0m, a shade below the FY23 outturn (£40.2m). We consider this an impressively resilient performance set against a mixed market backdrop. Under new leadership, a strategic refresh is underway and management is confident in long
Companies: Vp plc
Equity Development
16th April 2024 * A corporate client of Hybridan LLP ** Arranged by type of listing and date of announcement *** Alphabetically arranged **** Potential means Intention to Float (ITF) has been announced Dish of the day Admissions: Delistings: What’s baking in the oven? ** Potential**** Initial Public Offerings: Reverse Takeovers: Electric Guitar (ELEG.L) Concurrent with its Admission to trading on AIM, Electric Guitar is proposing to acquire the entire issued share capital of 3radical Limited for
Companies: IP BILN SAR GATC ASTO PHE SHOE CCS IP CUSN
Hybridan
AUM jumped £3.8bn or +30% in FY24, reaching £16.6bn on 31 Mar 24, 12% above our previous forecast of £14.7bn. Including 50%-owned 8AM Global, Assets Under Influence hit £17.6bn. Investment performance provided a tailwind, adding £1.5bn to AUM. But our key takeaway from Tatton’s hugely impressive last few years, is that it has designed and implemented a superior offering in platform-MPS with net flows consistently far higher than peers. That leadership looks even more pronounced in H2-24 with net
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