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We are reiterating our Buy rating, $37 price target and projections after visiting Guess? stores in the Metro NYC area and Long Island. We believe, with Spring now beginning to fully flow into stores, Guess? has continued to pivot their overall looks and focus even more on key fashion items, with an increased emphasis on activewear, dresses, and accessories, particularly handbags and footwear and men's accessories. Further, the company is experimenting in select stores to limit overall sizes on
Companies: PVH LULU URBN ROST AEO TPR AEO TJX GES ROST TPR LULU GES TJX PVH URBN
Small Cap Consumer Research LLC
We are reiterating our Buy rating, price target and projections for Express after visiting stores in Connecticut and Long Island. With Spring now in full bloom, Express has been rolling out new looks for the season, from a major activewear collection, an expansion of Body Contour, new men's swim, shorts for both men and women and seasonal suiting and dresses for the next key event or wedding. Further, the offerings are keyed by an increased focus on mix and match core basics, offering strong ver
Companies: PVH LULU GPS URBN GIII ROST AEO TPR AEO GIII TJX GES EXPR ROST EXPR TPR LULU GES GPS TJX PVH URBN
We are reiterating our Buy rating, $10 price target and projections for Vera Bradley after visiting stores in Connecticut and Long Island. We believe, as we near the launch of management's full vision for Vera Bradley in July, both the outlets and main line locations increasingly reflect what is being added and what will be discarded in the shift. As such, we are seeing less inventory, especially in the outlet stores, flow in; further, there is an increasing emphasis on core categories, especial
Companies: VRA TPR TPR VRA
We are reiterating our Buy rating on GES, raising our price target to $37 (from $32.50) and rolling out FY26 projections after Guess? ended FY24 with a strong 4Q which easily beat both top and bottom line Street expectations and announced a $2.25 per share special dividend. Further, initial FY25 projections, which incorporate the acquisition of Rag & Bone, handily beat Street top line projections and bracket bottom line expectations, even as Guess? adds resources to drive Rag & Bone to higher ov
We are reiterating our Buy rating, $32.50 price target and projections for Guess? with the company announcing 4QFY24 (January) results after the close on Wednesday. We believe management remained conservative in their 4Q projections, already incorporating a tough domestic environment, which should allow the company to achieve top and bottom line results in their projected range. Further, we expect Guess? to incorporate multiple positive drivers in their initial FY25 guidance, including the recen
We are reiterating our Buy rating, $10 price target, lowering our FY25 projections and rolling out a return to growth in FY26 after Vera Bradley announced slightly below consensus 4QFY24 results and rolled out initial FY25 guidance which we believe could prove conservative in the second half as the company launches the new Vera Bradley and Pura Vida under operation New Day in mid-July. As such, and with VRA registering cash per share of over $2.50 (with no debt) and tangible book value per share
We are reiterating our Buy rating, $10 price target and projections for Vera Bradley with the company reporting 4QFY24 (January) results before the open next Wednesday. We look to the 4Q call for management to provide even more detail on the material changes to the company, as CEO Jackie Ardrey and her team begin to take full control of the shopping and product experience. We believe Vera Bradley has become increasingly more relevant and appealing to a wider customer base, and the company is pos
We are reiterating our Buy rating, projections and $32.50 price target for Guess? after visiting stores in the NYC metro area and Long Island. We believe Guess? is rolling out strong initial fashion statements for Spring, from dresses to light hues and jackets, women's and men's activewear and further distortions for key accessories. For men's, new short sleeve shirts and accessories expansion are helping to drive traffic. Further, with the stores clean, the brand is fully ready for an early Spr
We are reiterating our Buy rating, price target and projections for Express after visiting stores in Connecticut and Long Island. With the stores receiving early Spring shipments, the focus is on the final clearance of older goods and setting up for the new Spring Season. The new Spring season for women is setting up for lighter colors, continued high levels of versatility, and further expansion of key categories such as denim and Body Contour and women's suiting, while for men the focus is on t
We are reiterating our Buy rating, projections and $10 price target for Vera Bradley after visiting stores in Connecticut and Long Island. We believe, post Holidays, Vera Bradley has further strengthened the overall main line store offerings, with new displays, expansion of key product categories and new Beach patterns. At the outlet stores, some of the shifts at the main line stores have already resonated, and we believe more material shifts are under way. We believe management is setting up fo
We are reiterating our Buy rating, $32.50 price target and raising our projections to reflect the announced acquisition of leading premium ($195+) denim player rag & bone by Guess? and a joint venture with leading brand licensor WHP Global. We view this acquisition, Guess?' first, as an accretive winner, offering multiple (and material) expansion opportunities which leverage Guess?' strong international presence, infrastructure, category expansion and licensing ability and position as a leading
We are reiterating our Buy rating, $32.50 price target and projections after visiting Guess? stores in Long Island and the Metro New York City region. We believe Guess? maintained planned discounting levels during the Holiday season, made strong winning fashion bets on active wear, luggage, handbags, footwear and other accessories and denim. Inventories, with the exception of outerwear, were in solid shape and should, after end of season sales, be clean for Spring. Further, the company has alrea
We are reiterating our Buy rating and $20 price target for Express, but lowering our 4QFY23 projections after visiting stores in Long Island and Connecticut. While we believe the Holiday offerings, especially on the women's side, were solid in terms of looks and versatility, and the company was not overly focused on the tough outerwear market, Express management made a decision to materially clear out the stores back rooms, which has resulted in material markdowns and inventory on the store floo
We are reiterating our Buy rating, $10 price target and projections for Vera Bradley after visiting stores in Long Island and Connecticut. We believe, after a solid Holiday, Vera Bradley management has adopted two tracks: 1) aggressively clearing older goods at both the full price and outlets stores, including material levels of goods from the back room and 2) providing hints of the upcoming beach/Spring collection for February. Further, the Valentine's Day capsule collection looks strong, leath
We are reiterating our Buy rating, $10 price target and projections for Vera Bradley as we look towards 2024. We believe management, under CEO Jacqueline Ardrey (who joined in November 2022), have continued to reshape the Vera Bradley experience, creating a simpler to shop store, easier to understand pricing, a focus on silhouettes (as opposed to fabrics), and have continued to hone the category mix to focus on items where the company can provide material added value. Further, we have seen the r
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AFC has made strong progress with products and its manufacturing strategy. Despite heavy investment, the cash position, at £27.4m, was slightly better than our estimate for £26.9m, demonstrating good discipline. The monthly cash burn rate (at c. £1.3m) is tracking in-line with our expectations. Generally, we maintain our estimates for significantly increased sales in FY24e and FY25e, with the cash position unchanged. Recent news on commercial progress has been positive. The 30kW H-Power Generato
Companies: AFC Energy plc
Zeus Capital
Spectra Systems (SPSY) has an excellent record in growing profits through its highly regarded technology and relationships with key clients, which include a prominent global central bank. Now, the company is ready for the next stage, and we see the acquisition of Cartor Security Printers as a game-changer in enhancing its ability to continue, and potentially accelerate, this momentum, even as it continues to benefit from a near-term, multi-million-dollar sensor refresh programme with a long-term
Companies: Spectra Systems Corporation
WHIreland
The group’s year-end update flags trading ahead of expectations, achieved by strong growth in its Systems division, with the earlier than expected delivery of a NATO contract just prior to the year-end that pulls forward profit into FY24 making it a record year. Components continue to see a normalisation of orders and slower demand as previously flagged. Order cover is strong and further opportunities in the defence/security sector are leading to investment in Integrated Systems capabilities. Re
Companies: Solid State plc
Cavendish
Today’s trading update confirms FY24E profitability above the top end of previously guided range, with positive trading momentum building into FY25.
Companies: Revolution Beauty Group plc
2023 was a challenging year for Tandem, with cost-of-living pressures impacting demand for many of the group’s products. This led us to downgrade our forecasts several times during the year (including in December), and today’s results are largely in line with those revised projections – revenue -17% YoY to £22.2m and an adj. LAT of -£1.0m (our forecast of -£0.9m). FY24E looks more positive, however: economic pressures are easing for consumers (inflation is falling, interest rate cuts are expecte
Companies: Tandem Group plc
Solid State is a specialist value added component supplier and design-in manufacturer of computing, power and communications products. This morning, the group has provided a trading update for the year ended 31 March 2024, reporting the earlier than expected delivery of specific contracts within its Systems division and resulting in the group's FY 2024E revenue and PBT outturn anticipated ahead of our forecasts, with a commensurate decrease in our FY 2025E estimates. The delivery of these contr
Companies: FOG TND BVXP ACC HDD
Encouraging FY23 results from SPSY this morning show profits and cash a touch ahead of expectation and position the company well for a year of strong growth in FY24E. SPSY leads the market in machine-readable high speed banknote authentication, brand protection technologies and gaming security software. The company grew the business robustly in FY23 (PBTA +6%, EPS pared by increased tax payments, progressive DPS), building on a decade of double digit CAGR; and closed the year with the transfor
Liberum
Companies: LPA SOLI NANO QTX
Finals from the leader in machine-readable high-speed bank note authentication, brand protection technologies, security printing, and gaming software, in line. FY23’s stand-out feature was December’s acquisition of Cartor Holdings, the security printing business. As discussed at the time, this has moved Spectra’s Fusion polymer substrate proposition substantially forward, strengthens its competitive position and provides access to state of the art manufacturing facilities. Extending up the suppl
Allenby Capital
While revenue fell short of expectations due mainly to self-tan weakness, progress on margins, cost synergies and efficiency enabled BAR to deliver a reduction in H1 losses. While growth and profitability in other high margin brands has progressed, Skinny Tan trading is not expected to improve until next year. With synergy benefits having mostly annualised, lower sales forecasts impact the timing of the inflection to profit. We now assume losses both this and next year, albeit net cash is mostly
Companies: Brand Architekts Group plc
Singer Capital Markets
Companies: Portmeirion Group PLC
Shore Capital
Dowlais Group’s first set of results were ahead of our expectations, with positive cash generation a highlight despite restructuring and demerger costs. Softer automotive markets will limit margin progress in FY24 towards the double-digit target. Despite this, margins of c 6.5% are still ahead of automotive peers, although the shares trade at a significant discount to our implied generic peer-based valuation.
Companies: Dowlais Group PLC
Edison
Companies: IG Design Group plc
Canaccord Genuity
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