Research, Charts & Company Announcements
Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on ABB LTD-REG. We currently have 11 research reports from 1 professional analysts.
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Growth momentum still not visible
08 Feb 17
The company reported final 2016 results. In the fourth quarter ending in December, revenues declined 2.7% to US$8.99bn. The gross margin, however, improved from 25.9% to 28% mainly driven by higher product and service gross margins. EBIT jumped 109.2% to US$725.8m. The EBIT margin increased from 3.8% to 8.1% due to lower restructuring charges booked in Q4 15. Order intake remained stable at US$8.28bn. In the financial year 2016, revenues declined 4.7% to US$33.8bn. The EBIT margin improved from 8.6% to 9% and net income rose 1.6% to US$1.96bn. Management proposed a dividend increase of CHF0.02 from CHF0.74 to CHF076 per share. Order intake declined 8.4% to US$33.4bn and the order backlog reached US$22.98bn.
Solid operating performance but declining orders
27 Oct 16
In Q3 16, revenues declined 3.1% to US$8.26bn (our estimate: US$8bn). Order intake dropped 14.1% to US$7.53bn and the order backlog declined 3.2% to US$24.55bn. The gross margin increased from 29.6% to 29.8% and the EBIT margin from 10.4% to 10.6%. Total EBIT remained nearly stable at around US$878m (our estimate: US$680m). Net profit declined 1.6% to US$568m. Adjusted EBITA declined 3.2% to US$1.046bn which was marginally above the consensus estimates of around US$1.4bn. The operating performance of the company was in line with market expectations but exceeded our estimates. The performance was mainly driven by the Power Grids division. Real EBIT increased 39.6% to US$222m and the EBIT margin improved from 5.7% to 8.4%. The EBIT margin of the Electrifications division increased from 16.6% to 16.9%, Discrete Automation & Motion from 11.9% to 12.5% and Process Automation from 9.6% to 11.2%.
Return on equity reduced by law
13 Oct 16
In Germany, the regulatory environment for the grid network has changed. The German Network Agency (Bundesnetzagentur) has changed the imputed return on equity which will apply for the next five years. The current regulatory periods for gas and electricity will expire in 2017 (gas) and 2018 (electricity). The new regulations for gas will apply as of January 2018 and for electricity 2019. The new return on equity for new assets will be reduced from 9.05% to 6.91% and for so-called old assets (activation prior January 2006) will decline from 7.14% to 5.12%. In each case without inflation and before corporate tax and after trade tax. According to estimates the lowered return on equity (equity ratio 40% max.) will reduce the yield by around €650m per year.
Business as usual!
05 Oct 16
The capital markets day ended as expected. The Power Grids division will not be separated from the company. The shareholder Cevian with a stake of 6.2% in the company had asked for a spin-off, IPO or joint venture. ABB’s response was quite obvious. Management will streamline the group and has initiated a share buy-back programme. Management has also started partnerships with Flour (transformation station) and the Norwegian service and maintenance company Aibel for offshore wind energy. In addition, a new EBITA margin corridor for the Power Grids division was announced. In 2018, the EBITA margin should range between 10% and 14% compared to 8-12% previously. In addition, management added some buzzwords such as relentless execution, streamlining the portfolio and digitalisation.
The communication engine has started!
22 Sep 16
Just after the supervisory board meeting another argument has arisen about not selling the Power Grids division. The Chinese company State Grid Corporation is interested in ABB’s leading-edge technology HVDC (high voltage direct current). State Grid Corporation is ABB’s largest customer but might also become its the largest competitor. The company controls more than 80% of the Chinese grid. According to recent rumours, State Grid is willing to pay up to US$20bn, which is in line with our net asset valuation.
Power Grids to remain part of the group!
21 Sep 16
ABB has sold its high-voltage cable business to the Danish company NKT Cables. The total enterprise value reached €836m, or US$934m. The high-voltage business was part of the Power Grids division and generated total revenues of around US$524m with around 900 employees. The business unit has manufacturing and R&D facilities for high-voltage submarine and underground cables in Karlskrona, Sweden. The deal will be closed in the first quarter of 2017.
20 Feb 17
Hayward Tyler Group* (HAYT): Trading update and financial position (CORP) | Petra Diamonds (PDL): Interim results (BUY) | Gemfields* (GEM): Interim results (CORP) | Premaitha Health* (NIPT): Middle East momentum (CORP) | Sound Energy (SOU): Acquisition update and TE-8 well spud (HOLD) | Proactis* (PHD): Interim trading on track (CORP) | 7digital* (7DIG): Automotive contract win (CORP)
The Slide Rule
12 Jan 17
What is The Slide Rule? The Slide Rule has been designed to dramatically simplify the identification of the best companies in the UK small/mid-cap sector by making a quantitative assessment of the relative potential of each company. At its core, The Slide Rule aims to identify those companies that create genuine shareholder value through strong returns on capital and solid growth, but also present a value opportunity with the potential tailwind of earnings momentum. Companies are assessed within a Quality, Value, Growth and Momentum (QVGM) framework.
21 Feb 17
Lighthouse Group* (LGT): Middle Britain growth (CORP) | Utilitywise* (UTW): Double-digit sales growth (CORP) | Trakm8* (TRAK): Earnings expectations cut again (CORP) | dotDigital* (DOTC): Myriad growth opportunities (CORP) | Artilium* (ARTA): Five-year Telenet deal secured and prepaid (CORP) | Netcall* (NET): Cloud investment pays off (CORP)
Emerging from the clouds
16 Feb 17
Rolls-Royce’s underlying performance in FY16 was ahead of both its own and market expectations. Media focus on the non-cash £4.4bn headline FX loss is missing what looks to be the basis for optimism. As the civil model starts to move from investment in engines for the A350 and A330neo into the aftermarket delivery phase over the remainder of the decade, we think cash flow is likely to improve, particularly if supported by an eventual recovery in Marine.
N+1 Singer - Small-cap quantitative research - New quality style screen + 11 quality focus stocks
09 Feb 17
We introduce our fourth and final style screen representing “quality”. This screens for stocks with the best combination of high returns on capital/equity, EBIT margins and operating cash-flow conversion rates. These criteria should help us monitor how strong underlying returns translate into share price performance over time and under varying market conditions. The screen selects the “best” 25 stocks from our universe of just over 500 stocks and, as usual, we focus on a shorter list of stocks we cover or otherwise know and believe to be particularly interesting. We provide brief investment summaries on these focus stocks on pages 4 – 9. We will monitor performance and refresh the screen in approximately 3-4 months time.