Research, Charts & Company Announcements
Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on MEGGITT PLC. We currently have 21 research reports from 4 professional analysts.
|14Feb17 08:42||RNS||Director/PDMR Shareholding|
|01Feb17 09:46||RNS||Total Voting Rights|
|11Jan17 14:03||RNS||Director/PDMR Shareholding|
|03Jan17 08:52||RNS||Total Voting Rights|
|23Dec16 14:28||RNS||Holding(s) in Company|
|23Dec16 14:21||RNS||Holding(s) in Company|
|23Dec16 14:15||RNS||Holding(s) in Company|
Frequency of research reports
Research reports on
Panmure Morning Note 19-12-2016
19 Dec 16
Since the October 2015 profit warning, the EPS consensus has been stuck a 34p despite the benefit of EPS-enhancing acquisitions and FX benefit which confirms our long-held view that underlying fundamentals continue to deteriorate. Yet the share price has increased by 29% thanks in part to Elliot buying over 5% stake in August 2016. Going forward, we estimate that EPS will resume its downward trajectory as there is little sign of improvement in the business jet markets and rising interest rates will make it harder for the management to use cheap money to buy earnings.
Civil: No Reflation here, only a Race to the Bottom
05 Dec 16
The strengthening of the US dollar since the election of Trump is adding to the headwinds in the airline industry: over-capacity and falling yields. The airline industry, which is expected to generate $8bn of free cashflow in 2016 on $600bn of capital employed, needs to spend $120bn annually to maintain current delivery rates. Deferrals and down-gauging is now spreading to narrow-bodies as more and more airlines review their capex plans. We expect acceleration of seat densification as airlines look to sweat their existing fleets. We now expect deliveries to fall by 5% over 2015-18 as opposed to our previous forecast of flat growth. Aftermarket may also suffer as seat densification helps cut number of flights. This leads to reduction in our EPS forecasts for key Civil Aerospace names: Rolls-Royce, Meggitt, GKN and Senior.
Flight path to growth
18 Nov 16
Meggitt has had a turbulent few years with numerous profit warnings and no organic growth since FY13. FY16 looks to be the start of the turnaround, with the recent Q3 trading statement indicating the company is on course to meet guidance for low single-digit organic revenue expansion this year. However, the company has some way to go to restore investor confidence. It was also announced that Rolls-Royce veteran Tony Wood is joining as COO, a boost to the Meggitt management team.
The Sword of Elliott
15 Nov 16
The end of equity is nigh. The IR is in hiding unable to explain the “6% organic growth”, which our calculations show was actually negative, or how the company will achieve 10% organic growth in Q4. The lack of any cash guidance is a clear sign that the ship is sinking with debt. We believe the management are desperately hanging on to their jobs as the sword of Elliott hangs by a single hair from a horse's tail over them. The privilege of dealing with the mess it seems will go to Tony Wood, who we believe was recently relieved of his duties as the boss of Rolls-Royce Aerospace and now has been appointed as COO of Meggitt as of December 1.
War & Peace
11 Nov 16
The UK Aerospace & Defence sector has gained 9% in the last two days following news that Donald Trump is the President-elect. This is understandable given his stated aim to: 1. fully repeal the defence sequester and submit a new budget to rebuild the “depleted” military; and 2. ask NATO allies to increase their defence spending. Current budgets imply a modest CAGR of 1% to FY2020 so it would appear that there is some scope to increase the rate of US defence spending. However, we would caution that the Trump team has not made any explicit commitment to increase total defence spending, only that the money for rebuilding will come from reducing inefficiency and collecting unpaid taxes. He is not the first President to promise to cut red tape and increase efficiency and we suspect not the last. With regards to Civil Aerospace, it is no secret that Republicans see the US Export Import Bank (Exim) as the poster child of corporate welfare and want to close it. This could add uncertainty at a time when traffic growth is under pressure and there is excess capacity. The strength of the dollar against several emerging market currencies is also a headwind for the sector.
20 Feb 17
Hayward Tyler Group* (HAYT): Trading update and financial position (CORP) | Petra Diamonds (PDL): Interim results (BUY) | Gemfields* (GEM): Interim results (CORP) | Premaitha Health* (NIPT): Middle East momentum (CORP) | Sound Energy (SOU): Acquisition update and TE-8 well spud (HOLD) | Proactis* (PHD): Interim trading on track (CORP) | 7digital* (7DIG): Automotive contract win (CORP)
21 Feb 17
Lighthouse Group* (LGT): Middle Britain growth (CORP) | Utilitywise* (UTW): Double-digit sales growth (CORP) | Trakm8* (TRAK): Earnings expectations cut again (CORP) | dotDigital* (DOTC): Myriad growth opportunities (CORP) | Artilium* (ARTA): Five-year Telenet deal secured and prepaid (CORP) | Netcall* (NET): Cloud investment pays off (CORP)
N+1 Singer - Small-cap quantitative research - New quality style screen + 11 quality focus stocks
09 Feb 17
We introduce our fourth and final style screen representing “quality”. This screens for stocks with the best combination of high returns on capital/equity, EBIT margins and operating cash-flow conversion rates. These criteria should help us monitor how strong underlying returns translate into share price performance over time and under varying market conditions. The screen selects the “best” 25 stocks from our universe of just over 500 stocks and, as usual, we focus on a shorter list of stocks we cover or otherwise know and believe to be particularly interesting. We provide brief investment summaries on these focus stocks on pages 4 – 9. We will monitor performance and refresh the screen in approximately 3-4 months time.
The Slide Rule
12 Jan 17
What is The Slide Rule? The Slide Rule has been designed to dramatically simplify the identification of the best companies in the UK small/mid-cap sector by making a quantitative assessment of the relative potential of each company. At its core, The Slide Rule aims to identify those companies that create genuine shareholder value through strong returns on capital and solid growth, but also present a value opportunity with the potential tailwind of earnings momentum. Companies are assessed within a Quality, Value, Growth and Momentum (QVGM) framework.
Time to go over weight
24 Feb 17
We believe equity investors are taking an unnecessarily cautious stance on the construction sector. Forward looking indicators (e.g. consumer confidence, construction PMIs and housing starts) point to a stable market and recent sales LFL are particularly encouraging (e.g. Marshalls). Near term margins may suffer temporary distortions as inflationary pressures build. However, history has shown that modest input cost inflation is actually a positive for earnings growth in the sector. Therefore, as we move into 2018, margin trends are likely to surprise on the upside.
N+1 Singer - Morning Song 22-02-2017
22 Feb 17
CORETX (COR LN) Contract wins and new Lifestyle facility | Gooch & Housego (GHH LN) Solid Q1 trading plus earnings enhancing acquisition of StingRay Optics | NCC Group (NCC LN) Further issues in Assurance | PCI-PAL (PCIP LN) Strong H1 underpins positive outlook | UBM (UBM LN) Results | Verona Pharma (VRP LN) Phase IIa RPL554 add-on trial to tiotropium commenced