Research, Charts & Company Announcements
Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on SENIOR PLC. We currently have 37 research reports from 3 professional analysts.
|13Jan17 03:22||RNS||Block listing Interim Review|
|04Jan17 04:48||RNS||Holding(s) in Company|
|23Dec16 11:45||RNS||Holding(s) in Company|
|22Dec16 03:21||RNS||Director/PDMR Shareholding|
|19Dec16 03:21||RNS||Holding(s) in Company|
|09Dec16 01:50||RNS||Director/PDMR Shareholding|
|30Nov16 08:41||RNS||Holding(s) in Company|
Frequency of research reports
Research reports on
Civil: No Reflation here, only a Race to the Bottom
05 Dec 16
The strengthening of the US dollar since the election of Trump is adding to the headwinds in the airline industry: over-capacity and falling yields. The airline industry, which is expected to generate $8bn of free cashflow in 2016 on $600bn of capital employed, needs to spend $120bn annually to maintain current delivery rates. Deferrals and down-gauging is now spreading to narrow-bodies as more and more airlines review their capex plans. We expect acceleration of seat densification as airlines look to sweat their existing fleets. We now expect deliveries to fall by 5% over 2015-18 as opposed to our previous forecast of flat growth. Aftermarket may also suffer as seat densification helps cut number of flights. This leads to reduction in our EPS forecasts for key Civil Aerospace names: Rolls-Royce, Meggitt, GKN and Senior.
War & Peace
11 Nov 16
The UK Aerospace & Defence sector has gained 9% in the last two days following news that Donald Trump is the President-elect. This is understandable given his stated aim to: 1. fully repeal the defence sequester and submit a new budget to rebuild the “depleted” military; and 2. ask NATO allies to increase their defence spending. Current budgets imply a modest CAGR of 1% to FY2020 so it would appear that there is some scope to increase the rate of US defence spending. However, we would caution that the Trump team has not made any explicit commitment to increase total defence spending, only that the money for rebuilding will come from reducing inefficiency and collecting unpaid taxes. He is not the first President to promise to cut red tape and increase efficiency and we suspect not the last. With regards to Civil Aerospace, it is no secret that Republicans see the US Export Import Bank (Exim) as the poster child of corporate welfare and want to close it. This could add uncertainty at a time when traffic growth is under pressure and there is excess capacity. The strength of the dollar against several emerging market currencies is also a headwind for the sector.
N+1 Singer - Morning Song 28-10-2016
28 Oct 16
A positive Q3 update from Zotefoams this morning confirms that Q3 sales were ahead of the prior year and the full year outlook is unchanged. Importantly, the US expansion in Kentucky also remains on track to be operational in H1’17. We remain confident in the Group’s prospects and note the tailwind that is building for next year. We remain at BUY.
Panmure Morning Note 21-10-2016
21 Oct 16
The company is paying the price of being bedazzled by the hubris of Aerospace OEMs, which are still punch drunk on easy money and government subsidies. If traffic growth was the answer, then the airline industry would not be consistently destroying value. Even if the management have recognised this, having committed vast resources to the Aerospace division it has little choice but to accept that days of double-digit margins are gone. Those debts have to be serviced. However, after yesterday’s downgrade and share price fall, at 12.5x 2016 EPS, Senior is arguably the cheapest stock in the Aerospace & Defence sector. We move our recommendation from SELL to HOLD.
The Slide Rule
12 Jan 17
What is The Slide Rule? The Slide Rule has been designed to dramatically simplify the identification of the best companies in the UK small/mid-cap sector by making a quantitative assessment of the relative potential of each company. At its core, The Slide Rule aims to identify those companies that create genuine shareholder value through strong returns on capital and solid growth, but also present a value opportunity with the potential tailwind of earnings momentum. Companies are assessed within a Quality, Value, Growth and Momentum (QVGM) framework.
N+1 Singer - Small-cap quantitative research - Momentum screen refresh + 10 focus stocks
12 Jan 17
We have refreshed our momentum style screen for the first time since inception on 26 July 2016. As before, the screen selects the 25 stocks exhibiting the most extreme momentum characteristics, according to our measurement method. From these we have selected 10 to focus on. Since inception the screen has underperformed both the main small-cap and micro-cap indices against a background of generally rising momentum. We have noted a subset of the basket, where decelerating momentum at the time of measurement appears correlated with significant share price falls since selection. We shall monitor this factor with the new screen, albeit there are only two such stocks showing this pattern, namely Lamprell (not rated) and Gear4music (not rated).
N+1 Singer - Best Ideas 2017 - Top picks
04 Jan 17
Today we publish our Best Ideas for 2017 - 12 stocks that we believe have excellent prospects in the current year together with a detailed discussion of what we see as the key sector and market themes for 2017. Our top picks are Cineworld, Elementis, Herald Investment Trust, Hill & Smith, IQE, MySale, Redde, ReNeuron, RhythmOne, SDL, Servelec and Severfield.
N+1 Singer - Morning Song 12-01-2017
12 Jan 17
As anticipated, the second half has again been stronger than H1 and results will be broadly in line with expectations. In line with this, the order book has continued to grow and is at record levels. This confirms that significant progress has been made in the Group’s shift towards its Technology Products division which, as targeted, contributed c.60% of group revenue in FY16. The small acquisition of Cable Power also gives a complementary boost to the product range. It is also worth noting the significant reduction in net debt, £1.0m ahead of our forecast. We remain supportive of the Group’s strategy and continue to see a bright future as this transition towards a design led technology solutions business continues. We look forward to more detail in March at the final results.
Upgrade on positive year-end trading update
10 Jan 17
The group has announced a positive year end update, with a stronger finish to the year delivering sales slightly better than expectations. Operational gearing results in a 7.5% increase in EPS. Cash generation is significantly better than expected. As a result, we increase our price target from 205p to 254p, based on a fair value P/E of 12.0x for 2017. With healthy growth set to carry on, the shares should continue to show robust momentum, with the potential for a special dividend an additional positive.