CVC Credit Partners European Opportunities (CCPEOL) has achieved a total NAV return loss of 4% (it targets an 8% return) in the last 12 months, affected by market turbulence. CCPEOL has a significant weighting to stressed assets in its portfolio. Although credit markets have rebounded from the March lows, the performing credit segment is still trading at historically low valuations. The manager sees the greatest opportunity in the upper CCC and lower B segments and in structured finance. As such, although the manager expects the markets to remain volatile, it has positioned its portfolio towards the more opportunistic spectrum of the credit market.
Companies: CVC Credit Partners Europn Opprtnity
We have knitted together the impact on the investment companies from what is now widely considered to be the most severe pandemic in a century. The collapse in asset prices over the latter part of March, brought the curtain down on an up-market that lasted more than ten years. In amongst this, there were pockets, such as the technology sector, that held up well. For many industries, the worst is still to come, as we brace ourselves for the sharpest contraction to global growth since the US great depression.
Companies: ASL SDV ASIT BGEU BRLA CCPE DPA IEM JMF JZCP JUKG EPIC PSHD CSH RIII CCPG BLP TMPL BPCR SEQI AIF SMT KKVX FAIR ICON RSE CRS GWI USF DIGS
CVC Credit Partners European Opportunities (CCPEOL) achieved an NAV return of 3.1% in sterling and 1.6% in euro terms in FY19. The investment vehicle through which CCPEOL invests achieved a gross return of 2.9% (in euro terms), behind its target of 8–10% per year. This was largely due to several restructuring processes within the credit opportunities pool taking longer than expected. However, these have shown good progress recently and, together with prospective new credit investment opportunities, now offer further upside potential for 2020. Meanwhile, the performing credit holdings delivered solid returns as the investment manager was able to profit from the recent ‘flight to quality’ in credit markets.
CVC Credit Partners European Opportunities (CCPEOL) aims to achieve a blend of capital growth and income (it targets gross total returns pre fees of 8–12% pa, with c 5pp from income). It maintains two pools of assets – performing credit with assets acquired close to par and credit opportunities consisting of discounted assets. CCPEOL’s one-year NAV total return (to 10 January) was a modest 3.4% for the sterling shares and was assisted by positive returns in November and December. Throughout most of the year, performance was driven by the performing credit bucket. In turn, credit opportunity returns were muted as the company was working on a number of restructuring processes that we understand started to bear fruit at the end of 2019.
CVC Credit Partners European Opportunities (CCPEOL) aims to achieve a blend of capital growth and income (it targets gross total returns of 8–12% pa, with c 5pp from income). The portfolio is positioned defensively, mainly in senior secured debt of large issuers (average EBITDA above €500m) from Western Europe. Long-term NAV net total return (TR) performance remains broadly intact at 6.4% pa over three years (vs SP ELLI at 3.5% pa), despite weaker performance during the Q418 downturn. Currently both share classes offer a dividend yield in excess of 5%, largely covered by coupon income according to our estimates.
CCPG – CVC Credit Partners European Opportunities – Results of fundraising
CVC Credit Partners European Opportunities (CCPEOL) aims to achieve a blend of capital growth and income (target total returns of 8–12% pa, with c 5pp from income) by investing in high-yielding debt instruments such as senior secured loans and sub-investment grade bonds. The portfolio is biased towards large, liquid issuers (€600m weighted average EBITDA) in Western Europe, although up to 40% may be allocated to non-European markets. The underlying investment vehicle holds a blend of investments in performing credit, where returns come mainly from income, with a credit opportunities portfolio made up of discounted assets that offer higher yields and the potential for capital growth. CCPEOL’s performance since launch in 2013 has been solid, although the broad-based sell-off in late 2018 has affected returns more recently. The fund has sterling (CCPG) and euro (CCPE) share classes, which have tended to trade close to NAV, and currently yields just over 5%.
Blackstone / GSO Loan Financing – Half-year report | CVC Credit Partners European Opportunities – Half-year report | Woodford Patient Capital– Half-year report and portfolio update | Real Estate Credit Investments – Proposed placing
Companies: BGLF CCPG SUPP RECI
CVC Credit Partners European Opportunities (CCPEOL) seeks to achieve gross returns of 8-12% a year by investing in a portfolio of high-yielding debt investments with a bias towards Western Europe. The majority of the portfolio is in floating rate, senior secured loans, which, while rated below investment grade, rank higher in the capital structure than equities or bonds. The strategy blends performing credit, where returns come mainly from income, with more opportunistic investment in credits that are priced below par, offering a yield pick-up as well as capital growth potential. In spite of sustained strong issuance and refinancing, which puts downward pressure on yields, the managers see opportunities from accelerating disposals of non-core assets by banks, industry dislocations in areas such as retail, and expected periods of volatility around interest rate rises.
CVC Credit Partners European Opportunities (CCPEOL) seeks returns of 8-12% a year by investing mainly in high yielding sub-investment grade loans. A focus on senior secured assets mitigates the higher risk from lower credit quality. The bias to floating rate credits means rising interest rates should be a benefit rather than a drag. The portfolio is split roughly 50/50 between performing credit, where returns come mainly in the form of income, and credit opportunities, where assets are priced below par and thus offer potential for capital appreciation and downside protection due to the discounted price. There are relatively few alternative ways for individual investors in Europe to access the senior loans market, since loans are not permitted investments in open-ended UCITS funds. Sterling and euro share classes are available, and a recent placing of treasury shares has increased the market cap of each class by £77.55m and €13.87m, respectively.
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Litigation Capital Management (LCM) is an alternative asset manager specialising in disputes financing, with its main operations in Australia and the UK. The company provides funding for litigation in exchange for a share of any settlement and has built a strong track record of supporting winning c
Companies: Litigation Capital Management Ltd
Mondelez International has announced that it has appointed MediaMonks to manage global technology infrastructure, global websites and content production for North America, Latin America and AMEA. We believe this account win by S4 Capital further vindicates the unitary structure and integrated offer of the group as Mondelez initially worked with MightyHive before broadening the scope of this relationship to encompass MediaMonks. S4 Capital describes the account as a Whopper, indicating that it will generate revenues of over $20m when the account is fully transitioned. We will update our forecasts for the account win at the next financial newsflow from the group. We currently forecast LFL Gross Profit growth of +26% for FY21 and believe the Mondelez win will further accelerate this. We raise our target price to 500p (was 475p) and retain our Buy recommendation.
Companies: S4 Capital plc
Liontrust has delivered in line interims, however AuM growth since the HY point drives higher earnings estimates. In H1, net inflows remained strong despite the backdrop and, alongside performance, contributed to 28% AuM growth. Post-period, performance momentum has boosted AuM by a further 5% to £28.1bn, plus the completion of Architas. Together, this results in a step up in the run rate. We update our forecasts for higher than expected AuM driving a +5% upgrade to FY21e EPS and +10-13% in outer years. We do not forecast scaling in Architas or Global which could prompt further upgrades, reducing the 15x FY22e PER.
Companies: Liontrust Asset Management PLC
President Trump likes to project himself as a highly successful businessman, but surprisingly little is known about his true financial position. Various articles, including a 2016 in-depth analysis by The Wall Street Journal, have speculated about his income and asset base. All sorts of claims and counter-claims have been made about his wealth – by Trump himself, pitching his fortune at some $9bn, and by journalist Timothy O'Brien, suggesting that it is as “low” as $150m-$250m. It is doubtful whether we shall ever know the truth, but we can use Trump’s UK corporate filings to gain an insight into his businesses in Scotland.
Companies: AVO ARBB ARIX CLIG DNL FLTA ICGT PCA PIN PHP RECI STX SCE TRX SHED VTA YEW
Today’s $2.3m framework agreement with an existing Tier 1 global customer is further validation of Clareti’s competitive advantage, of its ability to land and expand and, logically, is the augury of incremental revenues ahead. Gresham continues to gain market share in the critical Tier 1 space and we expect this to show in a resumption of revenue growth next year. Trading on forward Clareti recurring revenues of c. 4.1x, we see significant upside.
Companies: Gresham House
Today's news & views, plus announcements from Capita, JD Wetherspoon, HarbourVest Global Private Equity, Walker Crips Group, Randall & Quilter*, Michelmersh Brick, LoopUp, Schroders British Opportunities Trust and Baillie Gifford UK Growth Trust.
Companies: Randall & Quilter Investment Holdings Ltd.
The COVID-19 pandemic has accelerated trends in online retailing, to the benefit of the European logistics market, in which Tritax EuroBox (EBOX) is a leading player. Demand for logistics space is growing exponentially, while supply of existing and new stock is depleted. This dynamic is even more acute in prime locations close to heavily populated conurbations and prolonged rental growth is forecast. EBOX has amassed a portfolio of big box facilities located in major logistics hotspots across Europe. Numerous value-add opportunities also exist within the portfolio, including development and asset management projects. One of the key differentiators of EBOX to its peers is its exclusive ties with established logistics developers. Through the relationships, EBOX has access to and first right of refusal over a pipeline of development assets worth €2bn.
Companies: Tritax EuroBox Plc
Palace Capital’s (PCA) H121 performance was robust and ahead of our central expectations. We have slightly increased FY21 earnings forecasts and introduced FY22–23 estimates, with growth driven by Hudson Quarter completion, on track for March 2021. Significant additional reversionary potential and development/refurbishment represent significant value creation potential.
Companies: Palace Capital plc
Today's news & views, plus announcements from KGF, MRO, UU, BAB, BRW, FUTR, GNS, HICL, LIO, AEXG, FUL, KWS
Companies: AEX GNS HICL
Alliance Trust (ATST) underwent a major overhaul three and a half years ago, refocusing on its global equity portfolio. Non-core parts of the company have been sold and overheads slashed. Today, the trust’s assets are managed by nine of the world’s best stock pickers. Investing sustainably is a strong theme within the fund, but the manager, Willis Towers Watson, seeks to blend managers with different styles so that the trust is not beholden to any particular fashion in markets.
Companies: Alliance Trust
Murray Income Trust’s (MUT) recent combination with Perpetual Income and Growth Investment Trust (PLI) has doubled the trust’s assets under management to £1.1bn and is expected to deliver a substantial fee reduction to investors. MUT invests in a diversified portfolio of mainly UK equities and aims to provide a high and growing income, combined with capital growth. It has achieved these objectives, having just delivered its 47th consecutive year of increasing annual dividends, while also outperforming its benchmark (a broad UK stock market index) and most of its peers over both the short and longer term. Manager Charles Luke’s success – even in the current climate, which has been characterised by widespread dividend cuts – confirms his conviction that ‘quality, sustainable and growing income is out there, if you know where to look’. He intends to maintain his research-intensive search for resilient companies capable of growing future earnings and dividends over time.
Companies: Murray Income Trust
NextEnergy Solar Fund’s interims show continued generation outperformance, driving a NAV rise from 98.4p in June to 99.6p in September. Pricing was also ahead with power sales contracting adding £5.4m of benefit in the period. The company continues to benefit from efficient financing which we believe, along with low operating costs, gives it a cash cushion protecting the dividend. The shares offer the lowest NAV premium and highest yield of the UK renewable yieldcos.
Companies: Nextenergy Solar Fund
Standard Life UK Smaller Companies (SLS) manager Harry Nimmo is very bullish on the outlook for UK small-cap stocks, with the proviso that Brexit presents a near-term risk. He notes that despite current challenges due to the coronavirus, many companies are trading above expectations and there are now only a handful of SLS’s portfolio companies that are not paying dividends. The manager is comfortable with the trust’s ability to maintain its own dividend payments and is hopeful its valuation will improve given its very strong performance record. SLS’s NAV has outperformed its benchmark over the last one, three, five and 10 years; however, Nimmo cautions that given the trust’s focus on quality businesses, if there is a cyclical recovery in the UK market with a ‘dash for trash’, SLS is likely to underperform during this period.
Companies: Standard Life UK Small Co's Tst
Aberdeen Asian Income Fund (AAIF) has recovered well from the widespread market sell-off driven by the coronavirus pandemic, although its focus on quality stocks with attractive dividends has held back returns relative to the broad Asian index, which is increasingly dominated by non-yielding Chinese internet companies. Portfolio manager Yoojeong Oh says the team has ridden the technology wave differently, with exposure to semiconductor companies that are supporting the cloud-based boom in working from home, as well as e-commerce stocks in high-yielding markets like Taiwan, and firms that benefit from green stimulus in Europe. While gearing (currently c 8%) was a drag in the March market falls, keeping it steady has helped boost returns in the recovery, and the fund is on track to deliver a 13th consecutive year of dividend growth, partly supported by reserves it has built up over the past decade.
Companies: Aberdeen Asian Income Fund
1H’21 results cover the depths of the initial market impact of COVID-19. We note the 4.7% fall in EPRA NTA and the effect of the dividend rebasing announced some months prior. There are no negative surprises. The focus on regional offices is a positive. There are other positives that we consider to be important, namely the ongoing contractual performance of the leisure asset tenants and lengthening of leases there, and the continuing encouraging residential sales (and small letting) at the mixed-use development of PCA’s newly created Hudson Quarter, York. Here, we see just one of PCA’s initiatives to unlock value and deliver attractive returns.