Research, Charts & Company Announcements
Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on OCTAGONAL PLC. We currently have 9 research reports from 2 professional analysts.
|22Mar17 07:00||RNS||New Business Initiative|
|02Mar17 13:20||RNS||Proposed New Business Initiative|
|30Nov16 17:44||RNS||Director/PDMR Shareholding|
|28Nov16 07:00||RNS||Director/PDMR Shareholding|
|18Nov16 17:53||RNS||Director/PDMR Shareholding|
|15Nov16 11:30||RNS||Half-year Report|
|20Oct16 16:40||RNS||Second Price Monitoring Extn|
Frequency of research reports
Research reports on
Northland Capital Partners Morning Report
28 Jul 16
Savannah Resources (SAV.L) – CORP: Lithium Projects update | Keras Resources (KRS.L) – CORP: Quarterly operations update | Premier African Minerals (PREM.L) – CORP: Directorate change | Octagonal (OCT.L) – CORP: Trading update | ValiRX (VAL.L) – CORP: Patent Grant | Sunrise Resources (SRES.L) – SPECULATIVE BUY*: Project update
06 Jan 16
Politics will exert considerable influence on markets in 2016 with November’s US presidential election, the UK in/out referendum expected over the summer and the escalating tensions in the Middle East. In each situation, the outcome is not assured and this is likely to drive volatility. There is also scope for other surprises. As widely expected, the US Federal Reserve increased rates in December but the Fed’s rate forecasts (a full percentage point increase p.a. to 3.25% at the end of 2018) are more hawkish than market expectations (about 50bps higher for 2016 and 100bps for 2018). Were the Fed to raise rates per its forecasts, either the US and world economies are more buoyant than many believe or the Fed could imperil the recovery through tightening too quickly. The outlook for the US economy is reasonable with the lower oil price and increased employment benefiting consumer spending. The Eurozone countries will also enjoy the lower oil price as importers and growth is anticipated across many member states. The outlook for China and the countries that rely on exporting commodities to China is more mixed, however. Growth in China seems assured but many believe it will fall short of the official target of 6.5%. The first data points of 2016, the official PMI and Caixin China Manufacturing PMI, both came in below consensus and pointed to a further contraction in manufacturing. The news resulted in sharp falls in Chinese indices, triggering the market ‘circuit breakers’ that were created last September, and weakness in other global markets. India looks set to be the best performing large economy in 2016 up 7.8%, a slight improvement on 2015, another oil price beneficiary. The recessions in the other two BRICs countries (Russia and Brazil) look set to continue. Shifting from macro to micro, 2016 should prove the defining year for many AIM-listed resources companies and we expect the shake out that occurred in 2015 will continue as many micro-caps are unable to secure additional funding. Beyond resources, the outlook is more benign with a stable economic backdrop, further M&A activity and fund inflows looking for better returns.
Northland Capital Morning Report
02 Dec 15
Divergence looks set to dominate the final month of 2015 and set the tone for 2016. The European Central Bank is widely expected to extend its QE economic stimulus programme and could reduce its overnight deposit rate further in an attempt to boost inflation, and more stimulus could come from Japan and China. Meanwhile the Federal Reserve is now expected to lift rates from historic lows. Higher US rates will impact not only the cost of capital in the US but also emerging markets where growth remains much weaker and leverage high. The move by the ECB is unlikely to have a major impact, however, as it is an extension rather than a new tool and the headlines continue to be dominated by politics rather than financial markets (Isis, the refugee/migrant crisis, tensions between Russia and Turkey etc). The respective moves are likely to further weaken the euro in 2016. The UK sits somewhere in the middle. November’s Autumn Statement saw the Chancellor drop his tax credit reduction plans and benefit from a surprise £27bn improvement in the Office for Budget Responsibility’s five year public finances forecast, based on higher tax revenue and lower debt interest. The general shift away from austerity, the protection of tax credits and increased minimum wage should ensure further economic growth.
N+1 Singer - T. Clarke - Strong conclusion to FY16, record order book
28 Mar 17
After significant upgrades at the time of the full year update (PBT forecast +43% FY16; +14% FY17), today’s results are c.4% ahead of our expectations at the PBT level and show strong growth on the prior year (PBT +48%). All regions achieved positive growth in revenue. The outlook statement refers to a still growing order book (£350m at the end of February vs. £330m at the year end) and the strength of recent trading, with London & the South East and Scotland said to be particularly positive. The Group has reiterated its ambitions to improve margins, but we have not incorporated this into our forecasts at this stage. We have nudged up our FY’17 forecasts (PBT +5%) and introduced FY’18 forecasts that imply 2% PBT growth. Despite the well justified bounce in the share price, the shares still trade at a significant discount to the peer group (7.6x FY17 PE, 4% yield).
Panmure Morning Note 29-03-2017
29 Mar 17
We are cutting our recommendation to HOLD as we see little upside from current levels given the lack of positive surprises in today’s trading update. Multiples of 4.4x 2017 sales and 17x 2017 EBITDA imply an expectation of at least slightly exceeding expectations. We had assumed that acquisitions will provide the momentum until organic investments deliver. However, acquisitions are proving elusive and excess cash is diluting returns. Moreover, our forecast relies on at least one order in vehicle simulator market, which has yet to be announced. The management has shown that it can use the financial markets to raise equity but it now needs to show that it can deploy excess equity productively.
N+1 Singer - Severfield - Strong H2 drives upgrades; CEO temporarily steps down due to ill health
28 Mar 17
Severfield’s trading update highlights that trading during H2 was strong and the Group now expects results to be ahead of expectations. Cash flow performance has been similarly strong with net funds at the year end also expected to be ahead of expectations. The strong performance was driven by both a better than expected revenue performance and better than expected growth in the operating margin. We expect to increase our FY16 PBT forecasts by c.9% to around £19.5m. In addition, we are disappointed to see that Ian Lawson (CEO) has taken a temporary leave of absence due to physical ill health. John Dodds (non-executive Chairman) will step up to Executive Chairman on an interim basis and Alan Dunsmore (FD) has agreed to assume the role of CEO on a similar basis. This should ensure the continuity of the business whilst Ian is recovering. The outlook for Sevefield remains positive and the Group has reiterated its medium term target to double PBT from £13.2m in FY16 by FY20. We remain positive on Severfield (one of our best ideas for 2017) and continue to see clear potential for it to outperform its medium term targets.
N+1 Singer - Morning Song 30-03-2017
30 Mar 17
accesso Technology (ACSO LN) Acquisition | Findel (FDL LN) Update on customer redress programme | Hargreaves Services (HSP LN) Blindwells planning approval | Severfield (SFR LN) Upgrading forecasts and reiterating positive view | Summit Therapeutics (SUMM LN) FY results in line; full 24-week PhaseOut DMD data expected in Q1 ’18 | Tribal Group (TRB LN) 2016 delivered and more; future looking bright