Calima Energy (CE1 AU)C; Target of A$0.75 per share: Brooks drilling update – The average of the four well program, over their respective 30-day initial production rates, was 176 boe/d (75% oil) per well. There was a significant variation in production results between the 4 wells. The variability was consistent with the results since Blackspur started drilling the Sunburst in 2014 and the average production of the four wells was close
Companies: XOM XOM CNE CNE CE1 DNO DNO GENL HUR I3E JSE TETY TETY
The Indian tax case is finally coming to an end as Cairn announces a distribution of up to $700m (special dividend and buy-backs) to its shareholders. The company will accept the settlement with the government of India, which has offerred a refund of c. $1.06bn. This is below the $1.2bn awarded by the tribunal and well below the $1.7bn claimed by Cairn, but will save another round of tricky negotiations.
Companies: Cairn Energy (CNE:LON)Cairn Energy PLC (CNE:LON)
Arrow Exploration (AXL CN) C: Operation update in Canada - Arrow has begun the process to tie-in the behind-pipe natural gas from the 03-26-52-23W5 exploration well located at West Pepper, The estimated on-stream costs are ~C$1.3 mm. Initial production is estimated at ~5.5. mmcf/d, suggesting a payback of four months.
Vaalco Energy (EGY US/ LN) C: Target of £3.80 per share: Advancing Equatorial Guinea – In our view, the highlight of t
Companies: AKRBP AKERBP JKX KOS SEN SNM SOU TETY TETY TXP CZA AOI ALV ALV AXL BP/ CNE CNE FEC HE1 EGY
GeoPark (GPRK US) C: Target of US$27 per share: Doubling quarterly dividend – The highlight of the 2Q21 results is the doubling of the quarterly dividend to US$0.041 per share. Following the refinancing of its debt, GeoPark had indicated previously its ambitions to increase distributions. 5-6 wells will be drilled at CPO-5 in Colombia by the end of 1Q22. This includes 2-3 wells in 4Q21 (including 1-2 exploration wells) and 3 wells in 1Q22 (including 2 exploration wells). The first exploration w
Companies: ALV ALV BP/ CNE CNE CNE DEC ENI ENI GENL GPRK GPRK GTE IHC OSH PXT STO SDX TGL VOG
Challenger Energy (CEG LN)C; Target of 12p per share: 42’ of additional pay. Additional casing to protect the integrity of the primary target - Since the last update, the Saffron-2 well has encountered a further 42’ of net pay in the lower Middle Cruse increasing the total of oil-bearing sands thus far identified in the Upper Cruse and Middle Cruse (up to a total depth of 3,530’) to over 200’. Because of more challenging drilling condi
Companies: 88E ADX CNE CNE CEG ENI ENI EQNR EQNR IHC RBD TTE TGL
Calima Energy (CE1 AU)C; Target of A$0.035 per share: Increasing investment and production outlook - Production at the end of May was 3,100 boe/d with a further eight wells expected on stream by YE21. This level of production is above forecast and reflects the strong performance of the drilling at Brooks. Calima is increasing its capex programme from C$17 mm to C$20 mm with two new wells being added to the FY21 drilling programme (exc
Companies: XOM XOM SQZ PTR MAHAA JSE FEC EQNR EQNR CNE CNE CE1 88E PEN PEN GPRK GPRK
Bahamas Petroleum Company (BPC LN)/Challenger Energy Group (CEG LN)C; Target of 1.20p per share: Completing financing – BPC has raised £6.9 mm of new equity. This is an important step for the company to fund the upcoming work programme. The key near term newsflow is the drilling of the saffran#2 appraisal well that could derisk ~11 mmbbl. The company has now changed its name to Challenger Energy and will trade under the ticker of “CEG LN”.
GeoPark (GPRK US)C; Target price
Companies: CEG BP/ CNE CNE DEC ENI ENI FEC GPRK GPRK GTE HUR NOG PXT PGR RDSA SDX SNM TETY TETY
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY: EGY US/LN, PEN NO, PTAL LN/TAL CN, TETY SS, VLU LN/VLE CN, ALV CN, AOI CN/SS, CNE CN, CNE LN, CPI CN, ENQ LN, GKP LN, HRB LN, HUR LN, IGAS LN, KOS US/LN, NOR NO, OKE NO, SENX LN, TXP LN/CN
Vaalco Energy (EGY US/LN)C; Target price of £3.80 per share: Removing oil price risk in 2021 - 1Q21 cashflow was negatively impact by a ~US$12 working capital movement that should be reversed on the upcoming period given that the c
Companies: AOI ALV CNE CNE CNE ENQ HUR KOS PEN PEN TAL SEN TETY TETY TXP EGY VLE
Pharos Energy (PHAR LN)C; Target price of £0.50 per share: Increasing our target price by 25% on new fiscal terms in Egypt – Pharos has received provisional approval from EGPC on revised fiscal terms for its Egyptian assets. This results in an improvement of up to US$5.7/bbl in the breakeven price. Under the new terms, the cost stop (maximum share of revenue to be allocated to cost recovery) will be increased from 30% to 40%. In return, Pharos has agreed to (i) waive its rig
Companies: TXP 88E ADX AOI CNE CNE XOM XOM JKX MAHAA TAL PHAR VOG
GeoPark (GPRK US)C; Target price of US$25 per share: Excellent financial results. Increased production guidance. Additional exploration wells – With higher oil price expectations, GeoPark is increasing its FY21 capex guidance from US$100-120 mm to US$130-150 mm. The new guidance includes US$75-90 mm for development (up from US$60 70 mm) and US$55-60 mm for exploration (up from US$40 50 mm). The new capex guidance will allow GeoPark to produce 41 43 mboe/d in 2021 (up from 40
Companies: JOG SNM CNE CNE XOP DEC DNO DNO ENI ENI GENL GPRK GPRK TETY TETY TGL TLW EGY
Cairn divests its core UK assets and purchases Shell’s assets in Egypt. This might not be the only acquisition for Cairn, which sits on a comfortable cash position. The stock was down 6% on the day on the announcement, with the market perhaps expecting a dividend instead of the reinvestment. It seems that investors will need to wait on the funds from India for that, which might require patience, as the government will appeal against the arbitration award.
Market update - 09/03/2021
Companies: CNE CNE PTR WTE
Panoro Energy (PEN NO)C; Target Price: NOK23.00: BW Energy (BWE NO) provides update in Gabon – BW indicated that 4Q20 gross production from the Tortue field was ~13,500 bbl/d, as an 11 day downtime took place in October for the annual maintenance program and to comply with Gabonese production allocations to meet OPEC quotas. A drilling contract for one development well (DTM-7H) and one exploration well has been recently awarded. There is also the option for another exploration well subject to th
Companies: AKRBP CNE DNO ENOG XOM GENL GTE JKX KOS PEN TAL PHAR REP RDSA SQZ TTE TGL
Bahamas Petroleum Company (BPC LN)C; Target: 6.7p: Exploration well spudded in the Bahamas - Drilling of the Perseverance #1 well has commenced. The well is anticipated to take 45 - 60 days to complete. Perseverance #1 is targeting P50 prospective oil resources of 0.77 bnbbl, with an upside of 1.44 bnbbl. Our unriksed NAV for the well is 15.3p per share (ReNAV of 3.8p per share) assuming 0.77 bnbbl. These numbers also assume that BPC retains only 25% of the value of the discovery – retention of
Companies: SAVE EGY COP CEG ADX CNE PXT RDSA SEN
Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on Cairn Energy PLC.
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Higher metal prices saw CAML achieve a 52% and 131% increase in EBITDA and FCF respectively in the first half of 2021, facilitating an attractive 8p interim dividend declaration (up 2p on H1 2020). The H1 results are tracking our full-year estimates, which if achieved would put CAML on an undemanding EV/EBITDA multiple of just 4x and see the shares yield over 8% at current market price. Given average copper, zinc and lead prices across H2 to date are around 10% higher than our pricing assumption
Companies: Central Asia Metals Plc
EQTEC have confirmed that they have completed acquisition of a 1.2MW gasification plant. The plant is expected to be operational by Q4 2022.
Companies: EQTEC PLC
Today's raise is a testament to support for Jubilee's copper strategy in Zambia and once again showcases Jubilee's keen eye for value enhancing deals. The increase in ownership in the Tailings projects to produce the raw material for the Sable and Leopard refineries will allow Jubilee to benefit more from the profits generated and also to make choices on development speed and product output to closely match the requirements of the Integrated refineries. Today consolidates Jubilee's position in
Companies: Jubilee Metals Group PLC
H1 2021 results
Companies: Union Jack Oil Plc
EQTEC and KIBO Plc have confirmed a strategic partnership in the 25MW Billingham Plant. Kibo are investing £3m to acquire 54.54% of the Project SPV, with the remaining 45.46% owned by EQTEC.
Production and cash holding update
Companies: Hurricane Energy Plc
• The latest horizontal well (BN-8H) has achieved a ten day initial oil production rate of ~7.6 mbbl/d. This is materially above our expectations of ~5 mbbl/d.
• As a result, current oil production is ~ 15.4 mbbl/d, also above our expectations of >13 mbbl/d. This is a very good result and with another development well due to be spudded shortly, the company is well on track to meet its production target of ~16 mbbl/d in 4Q21.
• The results of the BN-8H well could also have positive implications f
Companies: PetroTal Corp.
Oil gained a third week as investors focused on the ongoing production shut-ins in the US Gulf of Mexico as more refineries have resumed operations nearly two weeks after Hurricane Ida tore through the region.
Futures in New York posted its longest set of weekly gains since July after ending Friday 2.3% higher. More than a million barrels a day of US offshore crude production remains shut in after Ida swept through the area nearly two weeks ago. Meanwhile, more Louisiana refineries are resumi
Companies: FO 88E DEC EME GTC TRIN UOG WEN
Despite the significant ongoing challenges posed to the business as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic and the sudden passing of founder and Executive Chairman, Bruce Dingwall, Trinity has released a strong set of interim results, with the Company's resilient production and strong balance sheet providing a solid foundation from which it can meaningfully scale the business. Higher oil price realisations during H1/21 more than offset an 8% natural decline in production, leading to a 69% increase in
Companies: Trinity Exploration & Production Plc
Bluejay Mining* (JAY LN) – BUY, Valuation 37.7p – Analyst call
Central Asia Metals (CAML LN) – H1 performance and strong commodity prices deliver increased interim dividend and early repayment of debt
Eurasia Mining* (EUA LN) – Monchetundra detailed mining plan
Jubilee Metals Group (JLP LN) – Conditional placing to progress Zambian expansion
Empire Metals* (EEE LN) – Strategic technical review commenced at Eclipse project
Renascor Resources (RNU AU) – Major project status awarded by Austr
Companies: JAY CAML EEE EUA WRES JLP RNU
• Pharos is farming out 55% WI in El Fayum and North Beni Suef to IPR Energy. In return IPR will fund US$38.425 mm of Pharos’ retained share of the costs of future activities, equating to funding a ~US$85 mm gross programme (opex + capex). In addition, IPR will pay US$5 mm in cash on closing and a contingent consideration of US$0.175 mm for each US$1 over US$62/bbl (with a cap of US$92/bbl) each year from 2022 to 2025. This represents a potential additional consideration of U$20 mm (US$5 mm x 4
Companies: Pharos Energy PLC
Exactly one year ago, the FTSE 100 closed at 5,862, having fallen 100 points on the day, the lowest point since mid-May 2020, due in part, to the strength of sterling vs US$ at $1.34. One year on, the FTSE 100 has risen to 7,119, a rise of 21%, it remains 7% below the peak in January 2020. From an international viewpoint, US and European markets continue to trade at record highs. The US Federal Reserve is close to withdrawing some of its economic support this year as inflation picks up and the e
Companies: AMYT BAG BVC BRSD CLG CML FBD GDWN INV MACF MNZS MIO NRR NSF NBI MATD PREM QFI RUA SCS STVG SUR SNX UPGS VAST VLS
Companies: IronRidge Resources Ltd
Bluejay Mining* (JAY LN) – Greenland agrees new economic aid with the US
Ariana Resources (AAU LN) – Further drilling results from Kepez North
CATL (CATL N) – CATL may be joining the bidding war for Millennial Lithium Corp. as Chinese firms battle for EV material supply
Condor Gold* (CNR LN) – Senior mining engineer appointed to advance La India feasibility study
Cora Gold* (CORA LN) – Interims
Galileo Resources (GLR LN) – Sale of Kalahari Copper Belt licences expected to complete next week
Companies: AAU JAY CNR CORA GLR GGP POW RRR VUL SSW
Bond buyback offer and operational update