AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 01/03/2024

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of £A$0.65 per share: High impact well spud in Austria - The Welchau-1 gas exploration well was spudded on 24 February. Calima Energy (CE1 AU)C; target price of A$0.13 per share: Completing divestment of Blackspur – Blackspur has been sold for A$81.6 mm, after tax provisions and net debt adjustments. Calima will distribute A$80 mm (~A$12.6 per share) as dividends. The distribution is well above the m

SP Angel Morning Energiser: 29/02/24

European gas storage at 63% full

Seplat Energy - FY23 results – strong performance, more to come

Seplat delivered a strong operating and financial performance in 2023 with production up 8% to 47.8kboed and EPS increased by 27% to US$0.14, despite a near 20% fall in the oil price. Reserves increased by 9% to 478mmboe. Guidance for start-up at ANOH was reconfirmed and Seplat remains highly confident that the transformational MPNU acquisition will complete. Cash flow was strong and net debt was reduced to US$306m (YE22 US$366m). The current quarterly dividend of USc3 was supplemented with a sp

Hot Off The Wires - The Day Ahead

Today's news and views, plus announcements from: WIZZ, SEPL, DELT, IGP & BOOM.

Seplat Energy - Research Update - Valuation Catalysts

We believe Seplat has multiple catalysts for value uplift which remain poorly understood despite the share price outperformance this year. Based on new modelling, we provide detailed insights into these catalysts. Most certain are improved operational reliability and the start-up of the ANOH gas project. Completion of the MPNU acquisition and conversion to the new PIA terms could be transformative while enhanced corporate governance and the improved outlook for Nigeria add supportive context. Se

Auctus on Friday - 03/11/2023

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$0.80 per share: On Track to start drilling in early November - 3Q23 production of 324 boe/d and cash of A$5.7 mm at the end of September were near our expectations. This includes 101 bbl/d gross production for Anshof that was shut-in on 19 September after reaching the regulatory limit for test production. Until that date the Anshof-3 well produced at a stable rate of 114 bbl/d, which is above the

SP Angel Morning Energiser: 30/10/23

Energy prices stable following Gaza ground offensive

Hot Off The Wires - The Day Ahead

Today's news and views, plus announcements from: AAF, FRAS, GLEN, PSON, CCC, PFD, SEPL, TM1, CUSN, & LOK.

Seplat Energy - 9M23 Results - Good performance, ANOH update

Seplat delivered a strong operating performance in 9M23, despite third-party infrastructure issues in 3Q23 with production up 11% YoY to 48.2kboed. Cash generated from operations was flat YoY while net debt was cut to US$347.6m and is expected to fall further by YE23. Guidance for FY23 was narrowed to 46-50kboed for production and US$160m-US$180m for capex. The quarterly dividend was maintained at the current run rate of USc3.0 with Seplat hinting at another potential special dividend. Seplat i

SP Angel Morning Energiser: 28/07/23

Crude prices at highest level since April

Hot Off The Wires - The Day Ahead

Today's news and views, plus announcements from: IMI, IAG, RMV, STAN, ITRK, LWDB, WHI, NOG, PAY, SEPL, & OBE.

Seplat Energy - 1H23 results – solid operating performance

Seplat delivered a solid operating performance in 1H23 with production up 2% to 50.8kboed and FY23 production guidance of 45-55kboed was reiterated. Net profit for the period was US$82.6m, down 1% YoY, on lower oil prices and net of overlift, FX loss on Naira devaluation, and higher G&A but benefitting from a low tax rate, with EPS halved to US$0.07. The dividend was maintained at the current USc3 quarterly run rate, up 20% YoY. Net cash generated from operations was US$209.4m (1H22 US$284.3m) w

Auctus on Friday - 28/07/2023

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; target price of £0.50 per share: CN-2 flows at up to 1 mbbl/d. Focusing on developping the Ubaque at Carrizales Norte - The Carrizales Norte-2 well (CN-2) encountered 60’ of net pay in the Ubaque formation. The well has been put on production in the Ubaque with initial flow rates of 1,012 barrels of fluid per day. The water cut stabilized at 3% and the oil gravity is 13.6 API. The CN-2 well is currently

Hot Off The Wires - The Day Ahead

Today's news and views, plus announcements from: SSE, MKS, AV/, KGF, HICL, TRIG, INCH, CHG, CBG, LMP, SEPL, & REGL.

Trinity Exploration and Production - Reserves Reduction but Solid Core Business

Trinity has announced a c28% reduction to its 2P reserves following a YE23 review. Despite the decrease in the Company’s 2P reserves, Trinity’s core business remains robust, with a reserves/production ratio of >12.5 years at YE23. Whilst there is significant potential for growth within the current portfolio, this will be difficult to unlock from the current balance sheet and we believe further financing will be required. We update our target price to 76p (from 202p), a c85% premium to the curren

Valeura Energy (TSX: VLE): Three exploration wells deliver three discoveries

• The Nong Yao-13 exploration well in the new Nong Yao D area that was targeting multiple zones has encountered >30 feet of new oil play across several new shallow intervals which have not been produced elsewhere on the concession. These reservoirs are believed to be recurring across the Nong Yao D area. • The drilling result confirms that oil has successfully migrated into this area of the block (a factor that was seen to be a risk in the Nong Yao D area) and open the opportunity for further a

Morning Note – 16 April 2024

NextSource Materials - Initiation

NextSource is uniquely positioned to build a leading vertically integrated position, ex China, in the supply of Lithium-ion battery anode material which is essential for the Energy Transition. The company is commissioning phase 1 of its world-class Molo graphite mine in Madagascar and is in the final permitting process for its first Battery Anode Facility (BAF) to be located in Mauritius. The company is backed by Vision Blue, established by Sir Mick Davis, former CEO of Xstrata. On our calculat

Morning Note – 15 April 2024

Oil & Gas - Cavendish sector note

Chariot, Energean, Touchstone Exploration, Longboat Energy, Hartshead Resources, BP, Helix Exploration, PetroTal, Pantheon Resources, Caspian Sunrise, Petrofac, DNO ASA, Valeura Energy, Aker BP, Var Energi Source: FactSet, weekly change 08/04/24-12/04/24 Oil rose as Israel braced for a possible attack from Iran, a development that would threaten major disruptions in a region that accounts for a third of the world’s crude output. An assault is expected to come as soon as the next 48 hours, which

SP Angel . Morning View . Copper prices hold higher as China processing fees fall below $0/t amid low feedstock availability

Union Jack Oil (UJO LN) - Wressle update

Union Jack has released an update on its Wressle asset, reporting maturing production from Wressle-1, alongside progress for significant further development activities on the field going forward.

PROGRESSIVE: Pharos Energy: Delivering on operations and balance sheet

Pharos Energy reported FY23 results on 27 March. Group net production of 6,508 boepd (FY22: 7,166 boepd) was in line with guidance, assisted by successful development drilling in Vietnam and exploration successes in Egypt. Pharos’s strong cash generation resulted in a stronger balance sheet, with net debt reduced to US$6.6m (from US$28.9m at the end of 2022) and cash balances totalling US$32.6m. This left the group free to return more cash to shareholders, including a 10% increase in dividends,

Union Jack Oil+ (UJO, House Stock at 23p) - Wressle update

Union Jack Oil* (UJO LN) - Wressle update and dividend plans

Union Jack announced an operational update on its onshore UK Wressle field and confirmed plans to announce the payment of a cash dividend to shareholders along with the FY23 results in May. Wressle continues to deliver material revenues to the Company, generating positive cash flow and providing it with sufficient cash resources to fund shareholder returns and invest in new development projects.

SP Angel Morning View: Global Li-ion battery demand reaches all-time in Q1 2024

Hunting (HTG LN) - Q1 2024 trading update

Hunting has released its Q1 trading statement, reporting a strong period for OCTG and Subsea, steady growth in Advanced Manufacturing, and a softening in Perforating Systems.

Q1 - Strong Start

Serabi Gold (AIM: SRB, TSX: SBI) has released its Q1 operating results today. Production of 9koz of gold was in line with our estimates. It represents a quarterly high since Q3 2021, processing was also at record levels, and RoM is at a 3 year high as well (see Fig.1). The Coringa project is moving forward at pace and we have increased our production forecast there from 11Koz to 13Koz gold for 2024.. Palito grades came off marginally QoQ to 4.72g/t whilst the company continued to mine the tricki

I3 Energy (I3E LN) - Canada royalty assets sale

I3 has announced the sale of the majority of its royalty interests in Canada, for US$24.8m cash. This allows the company to fully repay amounts drawn on its debt facility and create a working capital surplus, giving I3 significant additional funding flexibility going forward