Research, Charts & Company Announcements
Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on MCCOLL'S RETAIL GROUP PLC. We currently have 4 research reports from 2 professional analysts.
|27Feb17 07:00||RNS||Final Results|
|21Dec16 12:02||RNS||Price Monitoring Extension|
|20Dec16 07:07||RNS||CMA approval|
|16Dec16 09:00||RNS||Director Declaration|
|01Dec16 07:00||RNS||Q4 and Full Year Trading Update|
|11Oct16 16:35||RNS||Price Monitoring Extension|
|22Sep16 10:40||RNS||Director/PDMR Shareholding|
Frequency of research reports
Research reports on
MCCOLL'S RETAIL GROUP PLC
MCCOLL'S RETAIL GROUP PLC
21 Dec 16
"With markets winding down for the Christmas and New Year break, International equities remain very much the favoured investment. The continuing rout across global bond markets appeared to gather pace yesterday from the fallout of the supposed terrorist attacks in Germany and Turkey, as investor concern for a potentially wider series of IS-directed extremist assaults across Europe’s capitals to unnerve its populations, the backlash of which could result in further sharp swings toward more populist governments during the various presidential and general elections expected in the New Year. Right now the threat may not seem very real, but with the possibility of an early vote to replace Italy’s recently-installed caretaker government and France’s presidential election scheduled for May, well-prepared opposition parties in the shape of Beppe Grillo’s Five Star Movement and Marine le Pen’s National Front etc. are positioned to challenge the very existence of the Eurozone. During these quite exceptional times, with authorities still apparently totally out of touch with their electorate, such a threat simply cannot be discounted, the ultimate cost of which could even be for independent nations to choose reversion to their legacy currencies with the potential to create widespread default. Such lingering fears will likely hinder Europe’s opening this morning, despite the Dow Jones chalking up yet another all-time high overnight, closing just shy of the psychologically important 20,000 mark, with all the principal US markets also making reasonable gains as optimism that Trump-inspired reflation and proposed investment will provide a significant medium-term boost to earnings. Asia was also in a good mood, with broad gains seen in just about all regional markets most notably with even China playing catch-up following a couple of days of weaker trading as economists speculated on the potential for a PBOC-directed tightening of liquidity during Q1’2017. Other than release of Public Sector Net Borrowing figures this morning, the UK is not due to release any significant macro data, while the US is scheduled only to provide MBA Mortgage Applications and Existing Home sales data ahead of a larger swath of figures tomorrow and Friday. Very little is also happening on the corporate front this morning, with earning or trading updates due from just a few second-liners including CH Bailey (BLEY.L), Premaithia Health (NIPT.L) and Water Intelligence (WATR.L). Investors will, however, be keen for any further media comment following the Prime Minister, Theresa May’s reported backing for the UK to be permitted to enter a ‘transitional period’ in order to adjust to the new economic order prospectively resulting from Brexit. Accepting the need for a soft, rather than hard, landing could provide significant relief for those fearful that a clear post-Article 50 plan is still not in place. The FTSE100 is seen around 10 points weaker during this morning’s opening trade. " - Barry Gibb, Research Analyst
02 Dec 16
"By late Sunday, we should have a good idea whether or not Italian Prime Minister, Matteo Renzi, will be stepping down. The polls suggest his constitutional referendum, which has effectively become a confidence vote on his premiership, will get a 'thumbs down'. No new election is actually required until February 2018, but any attempt to simply replace him with another technocrat leader could well see a public, suffering from implosion of their bad-debt laden banking system, 38% youth unemployment and an inability to stifle giant capital outflows, clamouring for a snap election. This, of course, would open the door for Bepe Grillo's Five Star Movement, whose denouncement of the Euro could, in turn, generate in a wave of similar populist referendum voting across other dissatisfied EU nations, with France's own presidential election, due to take place on 7th May, the headline this morning following Francois Hollande's overnight declaration that he has decided not to stand. The prospect of Eurozone's collapse, however, was not the driver of the US session, which started in the positive following release of strong November Manufacturing ISM data, but waned later as a sell-off amongst tech issues pushed the NASDAQ sharply down, while the Dow Jones managed to hold onto modest gains due to sustained switching into financials, as divergence between the two sectors and the rout in government bond markets since Trump's election continued. Asian shares were lower across the board, with the Nikkei suffering as the Yen found buyers amongst US$ sceptics waiting for flaws in the Trump rally to show through, which dragged the other regional markets with it. With investors now virtually taking a 25bp hike by the Fed later this month for granted, focus this afternoon is likely to centre on the important US employment report, with forecasts in the 180k to 200k range, taking unemployment to 4.8% with a modest rise in hourly earnings of around 0.1%. The UK will also report Construction PMI figures this morning while corporates due to disclose earnings or trading updates include 88 Energy (88E.L), Altona Energy (ANR.L) and Berkeley Group Holdings (BKG.L). Traders meanwhile continue to watch oil futures carefully; although prices moderated during the Asian session, sentiment following OPEC's agreement remains positive with January's light, sweet crude trading a whisker below US$51 on the Mercantile Exchange, as they weigh up expectations on the terms being upheld or the various participants instead deciding to cheat on quotas rather than give up market share to US shale producers. London equities opened in a nervous mood this morning, with the FTSE-100 down over 57 points in early trading." - Barry Gibb, Research Analyst
02 Sep 16
The UK economy provided yesterday's biggest surprises for investors. Manufacturing PMI data recorded its biggest monthly increase in a quarter of a century for August, as production and new orders recovered sharply to a level of 53.3 from the initial post-Brexit shock three-year low of 48.2 recorded in July. Sterling jumped as much as 1.35% to over US$1.33, as the IMF concluded that post-Referendum growth had 'surprised on the upside', while measures taken by the Bank of England to boost expansion would 'support the economy' and cushion part of the negative impact. As a result, London's two principal equity indices moved in opposite directions; the FTSE-100, whose constituents derive over 70% of their earnings internationally, reversed early gains to be knocked by Pound strength, while the more domestically weighted FTSE-250 bounced a similar amount into the positive. Reflecting further on this, and ahead of today's key US jobs data, the FTSE-100 is expected to recover part of yesterday's losses, rising around 16 points during early trading. US equities ended unchanged to fractionally positive yesterday evening, with recent oil prices weakness making energy stocks the session's main casualty; anything significantly stronger than the consensus figure of 185,000 new jobs added during August, taking the unemployment rate to 4.8%, will likely build confidence and raise expectations that the Fed could finally deliver a rate hike later this month. Asian equities had an uneventful session, with the ASX the only notable mover as its energy shares remained under similar pressure. Elsewhere in the region, equities generally trod water waiting for this afternoon's release from the US as traders pondered the extent to which an early hike would suck foreign capital out of its emerging markets, although clearly such a move by year-end will already have been largely priced in. The UK will release UK Market Construction Index data this morning, while this afternoon, the Fed's Jeffrey Lacker may be the first to reflect on the US Jobs data in his scheduled speech. Corporates due to release earnings figures this morning include EMIS Group (EMIS.L), Fyffes (FFY) and Go-Ahead Group (GOG.L).
Disciplined control of costs
30 Jul 15
In a challenging food retail environment, McColl’s has delivered solid H1 results and reiterated guidance for the year. What strikes us as most impressive in these results is, yet again, the company’s strong focus on cost control. Administrative costs are well under control despite a significant store conversion programme, coupled with the acquisition of new stores and added services. We believe the long-standing management has a good growth strategy in place, and with more of the estate being converted to better-performing formats, like-for-like sales should pick up over time. Hence updated consensus forecasts post the interim results look too low in our view. Valued at a steep discount to the sector and as a main player in the growing UK convenience market, we consider the high dividend yield of 6.2% an added bonus.
Roughly in line with our expectations
23 Feb 17
JM announced FY 16 net result of €593m, of which €232m related to the Moterrorio disposal as exceptional items. The EBITDA margin increased to 5.9%, boosted by the good resilience of Biedronka’s profitability. The cash flow situation improved, leading to a negative net debt. Thanks to stronger cash flow generation, the company proposed a €0.60 dividend per share (flat compared to last year, including the distribution of free reserves of €0.375 per share).
15 Jan 15
Booker has announced a Q3 IMS with trading in line with our expectations. LFL sales growth increased 2.5%, with tobacco sales up 2.4% (a significant improvement on the last quarter) with non-tobacco sales increasing 2.6%. The turnaround of Makro continues and non-tobacco sales declined by 6.5% as Booker exit’s unprofitable lines, whilst 9 Makro stores have converted into a new, improved format. The outlook for profits and net cash for the year remains in line with management’s expectations. Following today update we leave our 2015 forecasts unchanged. We retain our Hold recommendation and 150p target price.
N+1 Singer - Conviviality - Delivering against strategy
30 Jan 17
Interims are robust and broadly in line with our expectations. The 4.4% LFL sales growth and positive KPI’s on customer wins and higher spend per outlet demonstrate that the strategy is working. H2 has started very well with good momentum across all 3 divisions as the new MD’s begin to have a positive impact. With PBT 2/3rd H2-biased we make no major forecast changes but see the risk on the upside. The shares are up 21% YTD but given the positive overall tenor and valuation read-across from the Booker/Tesco deal (24.5x P/E), CVR remains inexpensive on a cal’17 P/E of 11.2x with a 5% DPS yield and a 3 year EPS CAGR of 24%. We stay at Buy with a 290p TP.
N+1 Singer - Northern lights - Shining prospects for 2017
16 Jan 17
As the birthplace of Stephenson, Armstrong and Swan, the North East of England has a proud history of industrial and technological innovation. Despite local economic challenges, the region’s industrial heritage lives on through continuing success in high end engineering and technology. The recent takeovers of private equity backed SMD (subsea robotics) and Nomad Digital (wi-fi on the railways) are testament to this. The North East has also emerged as a leader in genetics and genomics with an enviable life sciences and healthcare infrastructure. Against this backdrop, we expect the region to continue to throw up attractive IPO candidates to build on the six new listings in the past three years. We expect 2017 to be far kinder to the existing portfolio of North East plcs than 2016 (a year to forget) with recent management changes one important theme for the new year. Our top picks are Hargreaves Services, Quantum Pharma and Zytronic (all N+1 Singer Corporate clients) and we are Buyers of Northgate and Grainger.
Have investors checked out too early?
26 Feb 16
While some of the share price decline from 8p in December can be attributed to dilution from the placing announced that month and general market risk aversion, the current market cap of c.£8m appears not to recognise the progress in establishing a global brand, a range of unique accommodation formats and an ever expanding event programme, moving towards profitability and with exciting prospects.