Research, Charts & Company Announcements
Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on KSK POWER VENTUR PLC. We currently have 7 research reports from 1 professional analysts.
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KSK POWER VENTUR PLC
KSK POWER VENTUR PLC
H1 FY 2017 results
30 Nov 16
KSK has released its H1 results to the end of September 2016. These report a period of continued significant generation at Mahanadi (higher than H1 FY 2016, though lower than H2 2016), although transitory coal sourcing issues have resulted in revenues and profits behind our expectations, and we adjust our numbers for the full year (detailed below – we leave FY 2018 unchanged). More positively, the grid access and PPAs for Mahanadi are performing as expected, and construction is progressing apace on the next two 600MW units, which when completed will take capacity to 2.4GW. We expect further updates on this in H1 next year, which could help drive continued improved sentiment among investors, and positively impact the shares.
FY 2016 results
19 Jul 16
KSK has released its FY 2016 results, reporting strong revenues of US$675m (versus our US$600m forecast) and EBITDA of US$252m (versus our US$185m forecast). Based on this OCF was US$144m versus US$89.5m last year – demonstrating the impact of Mahanadi, which has been operating at a PLF of 80% on its entire 1,200MW existing capacity since October. We have increased our FY 2017 forecasts (revenues US$739m from US$644m, EBITDA US$273m from US$241m) given the strong generation performance from Mahanadi in H2 and higher pricing than we had expected in FY 2016. Mahanadi has now begun construction of the next 1,200MW phase (which would make 2,400MW total) thanks to new debt availability from KSK’s banks agreed earlier this year, meaning operating cash flow should continue to be augmented in the coming years.
H1 FY 2016 results
26 Nov 15
KSK has released its H1 FY 2016 results. Revenues were strong though margins were behind and interest charge ahead of our expectations. These could improve with greater utilisation of the generation base going forward. More important than the H1 financial performance and likely to provide a significant benefit in H2 however is the news that grid access for the Mahanadi plant into Uttar Pradesh and Tamil Nadu has been implemented allowing PLF on the 1,200MW of available capacity to rise from 40% to 80% currently. This will have a positive earnings impact but also help de-risk and add flexibility to the financing structure for the project going forward. We have adjusted our FY 2016 sales forecasts up though our earnings numbers are maintained given the increased Mahanadi utilisation in H2 (discussed below). Operations at Wardha continue to be hampered as KSK pursues a long-term PPA and better coal pricing for the project. Overall, though we remain cautious the progress on Mahanadi is a distinct positive that should provide significant benefit if sustained going forward.
KSK Power Ventur*
21 Jul 15
KSK has released its results to March. These have reported revenues at US$382m coming in ahead of our US$344m. Operating profit was below our number however at US$40.6m versus our US$60.1m due in part to a US$24.6m impairment of compensation due on previous coal sales to the Wardha plant which are now to be settled by revised future prices as opposed to upfront cash. This had a knock on effect causing PBT to be behind our (US$136m) at (US$160m). EPS was ahead however coming in at (32.2c) versus our (58.8c) on the back of a deferred tax credit of US$91.2m. We have maintained our FY 2016 forecast (EPS shifts due to a higher number of shares and there is scope for upgrades from increased utilisation at Wardha and Mahanadi) and publish numbers for FY 2017.
Preliminary results show earnings ahead of forecast
16 Jul 15
KSK's preliminary results to 31 March show sales at $335.9m, down 14% but well ahead of our forecast $279.4m. EBTIDA at $101.9m was down 36% but well above our $72.1m. Net interest rose 57% to $130.2m against our $99.7m leaving PBT nearly in line at -$72.1m versus our -$69.9m. Much of the gap was due to our cautious exchange rate assumption but there was also better operational performance and development fees were ahead although we still to see these dropping away going forward. At the interest line the currency effect reverses and there are also timing differences that explain the forecasting variance. With a better tax charge EPS was -30.77c against our forecast of -32.97c.
09 Mar 15
KSK has provided an update on its operations and the ongoing coal block auctions in India. Operationally the expected uptick in activity on both Wardha and Mahanadi has not come through in the second half (despite the second 600MW unit on Mahanadi being commissioned) meaning revenues in FY 2015 are expected to be flat on FY 2014. Based on lower PLFs and some pricing and margin pressure for these projects versus our assumptions we are cutting forecasts for FY 2015 and we roll this effect over into FY 2016 too. Progress on sales and profitability at Mahanadi and Wardha could potentially come through quite quickly however. Mahanadi could more than double offtake once it receives grid access to sell power into Tamil Nadu and Uttar Pradesh. Wardha is also awaiting access to sell power into other states but also execution of a PPA with the Maharashtra state electricity board. The coal situation with Wardha which is depressing margins is also making some progress. Any and all of these factors could act in the coming months to increase offtake and profitability.
Exceptional trading continues
08 Nov 16
Keywords has announced that the strong trading in localisation and audio services has continued into H216. In particular, the Synthesis business acquired in April continues to benefit from exceptionally strong trading. Full-year results are now expected to be materially ahead of consensus and we upgrade our FY16e EPS by 13%. Erring on the side of caution, we have not changed our FY17 estimates significantly. Nevertheless, we believe the company does have a platform to sustain double-digit earnings growth, and hence medium-/long-term prospects for further share appreciation remain good.
08 Dec 16
Elderstreet stake acquired 02 GENERAL NEWS Globalworth premium In this issue Venture capital firm Draper Esprit has taken a 30.8% stake in venture capital trust manager Elderstreet. Both investment managers focus on the technology sector and they will be able to co-invest. Elderstreet has investments in a number of AIM-quoted companies through its VCTs. The purchase was funded by an issue of Draper Esprit shares worth just over £250,000. Simon Cook, the chief executive of Draper Esprit, is a former partner at Elderstreet so he knows the business and the people who run it, although he did leave more than 14 years ago. Cook has previously acquired portfolios from 3i and Cazenove, two other firms where he has worked. Draper Esprit has an option to acquire the remaining shares in Elderstreet, which has more than £25m under management. Adding Elderstreet to the group enables Draper Esprit to offer investors a range of EIS funds, VCTs and an ISA qualifying listed evergreen patient capital fund. The enlarged group has venture capital assets under management of more than £350m. At the end of September 2016, Draper Esprit had a net asset value of 352p a share, which is similar to the current share price. The June 2016 flotation price was 300p a share. Draper Esprit is quoted on Ireland’s Enterprise Securities Market as well as AIM.
Focused on the long term
08 Dec 16
These are rare events but it is nice to see a management use its public listing advantageously to trade short-term dilution in EPS for the optionality of asymmetric upside in the long term. With over £10m already in the balance sheet, ABD has successfully raised £5.4m gross in a placing and expects to raise another £1m from an offer. We were not surprised to learn that the placing was over 3.5x oversubscribed. How many listed UK companies are positioned to take advantage of the digital revolution in the automotive industry? The additional investment in new people, facilities, products & services should be dilutive to FY2017-18 EPS but this is small price to pay to establish the leading supplier of integrated test, measurement and simulation solutions to the autonomous vehicle industry. Our forecasts assume that growth will accelerate from FY2019. We raise our target price to 575p based on 15x FY2019 EPS, equivalent to Ricardo, the only other UK stock which has embraced the optionalities offered by the technological changes in the automotive industry.
07 Dec 16
Severfield’s (SFR’s) H117 results were well ahead of the previous year; margin performance and order book development cause us to raise our FY17 profit expectations. This combination has also proved to be a catalyst for share price outperformance following the results. Revenue growth and further margin development towards management’s stated aim of doubling FY16 PBT by 2020 can sustain further progress.
N+1 Singer - Waterman Group - Encouraging AGM statement in line with expectations
09 Dec 16
This morning’s AGM Statement confirms that trading in the first four months of the year to 31st October was in line with expectations. Revenue was slightly above the prior year period and cash collection has remained strong. The Group has reiterated its commitment to maintaining a progressive dividend policy. The statement is encouraging and we therefore leave our forecasts unchanged. We note the attractions of a 5% dividend yield and consider the shares inexpensive at 4.5x FY’17 EV/EBITDA.