Morning Note – 8 April 2024

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 05 Apr 24

5th April 2024 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment objecti

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 29 Jan 24

29th January 2024 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment obje

Review of interims, issue, and strategic update

RUA have announced its interim results ending 30 September 2023 and together with the previous trading update, strategy update and fundraising announcement, there were few surprises. With the fundraising completed our model indicates a pathway to profitability and we publish our nearer-term financial forecasts out to YE 2025. Following on from RUA’s strategy update, we have also adjusted our valuation. In addition to the product valuation changes reflecting RUA’s strategy update, we have incorp

Morning Note – 18 December 2023

RUA Life Sciences - Focus on commercialisation

RUA Life Sciences has reported its interim results for the six-months to September 2023. As noted in the recent trading update, group revenues declined 28% YoY due to a delay in shipping product to a customer, though these revenue shortfalls have been made up. Given the reduced revenues, the group operating loss increased to £1.4m from £1.1m. Period-end cash was £0.5m but has subsequently increased due to improved revenues, R&D tax credits and the recent equity raise. As previously discussed, RU

Fundraising looks well supported

RUA have announced, subject to shareholder approval at a General Meeting, the intention to raise equity via the combination of an institutional placing of shares, a subscription by certain directors and a retail offer. While the minimum gross proceeds are expected to be at least £4.1m, the full amount raised will be fluid until after the retail offer and shareholder approval. The final proceeds raised should be known after the outcome of the Retail Offer is announced on 8 December, and sharehold

Morning Note – 1 December 2023

RUA Life Sciences - Billion-dollar markets

RUA Life Sciences is developing products targeting billion-dollar global healthcare markets, which, if successfully commercialised it will generate significant value for the company. The current raise will support the business as it seeks to deliver the growth opportunities within its Contract Manufacturing business unit and commercialise and partner its lead vascular graft products and its heart valve leaflet composite material. We believe the company offers an attractive combination of establi

Trading Update

RUA have released a trading update ahead of its December interim results announcement. In contrast to the previous year, revenues have been weighted to the second half and while this has suppressed first half revenue growth, October’s and November’s revenues have largely caught up to align with management’s budget expectations. RUA’s recent strategy update and its trading update have several common themes. The reliance on partnerships to fund the development of RUA’s products in RUA Structural

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 24 Nov 23

24th November 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment obj

Strategy Update, sticking to its objectives

In place of a trading statement that updates investors on the progress of its revenue-generating businesses and its products in development, RUA’s strategy update has been well-received by investors because it outlines the path of the business to greater and earlier revenues than we had expected in RUA Contract Manufacture and RUA Structural Heart. The strategy also lowers the risks for investors compared to funding the development of RUA’s products solely by an equity offering, at a time where

Cenkos: RUA Life Sciences Plc -- Positive developments

RUA Life Sciences has released a positive AGM statement and trading update noting continued cost control and a number of positive business development updates across its divisions. While the two revenue generating divisions continue to make strong progress, we are particularly encouraged by the engagement of RUA Structural Heart and RUA Vascular with ‘major' players in these markets, which sees both divisions providing products to third-parties for testing – potentially opening new revenue strea

Positive AGM Statement & Trading Update

RUA Life Sciences’ AGM statement provided tangible progress on its heart valve and vascular graft products, detail on revenue expectations and reassuring cost control since its FY 2023 results announcement. Our valuation remains at £120.3m (542p per share). RUA Contract Manufacture has announced progress with a customer funded project that assuming success, is anticipated will convert into a supply contract. This would appear to be a new customer and is in addition to building on this relations

Final FY 2023 results

RUA Life Sciences final results for FY 2023 were in line with the earlier trading statement and reflect the costs associated with the development of its vascular and heart valve products, its cash-generative business segments, cash conservation and a higher R&D tax credit. Outside the financial results which conformed with the recent trading statement where contract manufacture revenues were ahead of our estimates and total administrative expenses were below, there have been interesting advance

Warpaint London+ (W7L, House Stock at 470p) - Outstanding FY23A - Upgrades!

Shield Therapeutics - Termination of coverage

Edison Investment Research is terminating coverage on ABC Arbitrage (ABCA), paragon (PGN), Foresight Solar Fund (FSFL), Kendrion (KENDR), Lithium Power International (LPI), Triple Point Energy Transition (TENT), 4iG (4IG), e-therapeutics (ETX), Pharnext (ALPHA) and Shield Therapeutics (STX). Please note you should no longer rely on any previous research or estimates for this company. All forecasts should now be considered redundant. Previously published reports can still be accessed via our web

Cambridge Nutritional Sciences - Operational efficiencies; adjusted EBITDA profi

Cambridge Nutritional Sciences (CNS) has provided a trading update for the 12 months to 31 March 2024, noting that a combination of strong sales growth and significant margin improvements, driven by operational efficiencies, have played key factors in the group’s expectation of being adjusted EBITDA positive in FY 2024. Revenues are expected to be £9.8m (30% YoY growth), ahead of our £9.0m forecast, with gross profits expected to exceed £6m, which is again ahead of our year-end forecast of £5.6m

Creo Medical Group - Speedboat savings validated

An official NHS Supply Chain case study has quantified the savings made by an NHS Trust from adopting Creo Medical’s Speedboat device to perform Speedboat Submucosal Dissection (SSD) in comparison to surgical alternatives. In total, the net cash saving from 130 SSD procedures for the NHS Trust was calculated at £687k, including savings from reduced length of hospital stay and reduced theatre costs. Notably, these savings did not include the patient and financial benefits associated with reduced

Morning Note – 24 April 2024

Warpaint London+ (W7L, House Stock at 375p) - Trading ahead of expectations - +10% upgrade implied

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 24 April 24

24th April 2024 * A corporate client of Hybridan LLP ** Arranged by type of listing and date of announcement *** Alphabetically arranged **** Potential means Intention to Float (ITF) has been announced Dish of the day Admissions: Delistings: What’s baking in the oven? ** Potential**** Initial Public Offerings: Reverse Takeovers: 16 April 2024: Electric Guitar (ELEG.L) Concurrent with its Admission to trading on AIM, Electric Guitar is proposing to acquire the entire issued share capital of 3radi

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 22 April 2024

22nd April 2024 * A corporate client of Hybridan LLP ** Arranged by type of listing and date of announcement *** Alphabetically arranged **** Potential means Intention to Float (ITF) has been announced Dish of the day Admissions: Delistings: What’s baking in the oven? ** Potential**** Initial Public Offerings: Reverse Takeovers: 16 April 2024: Electric Guitar (ELEG.L) Concurrent with its Admission to trading on AIM, Electric Guitar is proposing to acquire the entire issued share capital of 3radi

Cambridge Nutritional Sciences - H1 2024 interims: Executing a newly focussed st

Cambridge Nutritional Sciences (CNS) has published its H1 2024 results to end September 2023. Group revenues grew 44% to £4.9m and gross profits increased by 63% to £3.1m, with the company benefitting from newfound operational efficiencies. With its now streamlined strategy focussing on the core Health & Nutrition business and the initial signs of an encouraging uptick in sales momentum, we believe the company is well positioned for growth that will help create future value for shareholders. We

e-therapeutics - Termination of coverage

Edison Investment Research is terminating coverage on ABC Arbitrage (ABCA), paragon (PGN), Foresight Solar Fund (FSFL), Kendrion (KENDR), Lithium Power International (LPI), Triple Point Energy Transition (TENT), 4iG (4IG), e-therapeutics (ETX), Pharnext (ALPHA) and Shield Therapeutics (STX). Please note you should no longer rely on any previous research or estimates for this company. All forecasts should now be considered redundant. Previously published reports can still be accessed via our web

The Hardman & Co Monthly: April 2024

Feature article: Steady as she goes, but could be better: A review of investment company liquidity since 2016 Liquidity is the lifeblood of equity markets. The measurement of liquid asset availability to a market or company is a way of gauging a market’s health. This article builds on our previous work, which analysed the liquidity data for non-financial trading companies, by applying the same analytical techniques to the investment companies (IC) space. We analyse liquidity for ICs as a whol

Venture Life Group - Strong organic growth; focus on EBITDA

Venture Life has reported FY23 results to December 2023, following the February trading update. Revenues grew 17% in the year to £51.4m (our est. £50.7m) and adjusted EBITDA was £11.6m (our est. £11.6m). Cash conversion was 85%, generating £9.8m of cash from operations. Cash generation and no M&A in 2023 allowed the company to de-lever, closing FY23 with net debt to adjusted EBITDA at 1.3x. Management have focused on growth with three therapy areas generating double-digit revenue growth and onli

Warpaint London (W7L, House Stock, 196p) - Strong foundation, even stronger upgrade momentum

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 17 April 24

17th April 2024 * A corporate client of Hybridan LLP ** Arranged by type of listing and date of announcement *** Alphabetically arranged **** Potential means Intention to Float (ITF) has been announced Dish of the day Admissions: Delistings: What’s baking in the oven? ** Potential**** Initial Public Offerings: Reverse Takeovers: 16 April 2024: Electric Guitar (ELEG.L) Concurrent with its Admission to trading on AIM, Electric Guitar is proposing to acquire the entire issued share capital of 3radi

Shield Therapeutics - FY 2023 TU; total revenues in line but Accrufer scrip revi

Total reported revenues and other income were $17.5m (our forecast $16m) in 2023 vs $5.5m in 2022. The composition of that revenue was different to our expectations such that Accrufer US revenues of $11.6m compared with $3.6m in 2022 but came in below our estimate of $13.6m. In the release, the company has noted that the methodology used by the third-party data provider for US Accrufer scrips has resulted in an overstatement for 2023. Revised figures for 2023 have been given showing 77,000 total