Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 19 Sep 23

19th September 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment ob

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 11 Sep 23

11th September 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment ob

Hybridan Small Cap Feast 01-08-2023

Joiners: No joiners today. Leavers: Cineworld Group (CINE.L) has left the Premium Segment of the Main Market. What’s cooking in the IPO kitchen?** Announced ITF 12 July: Substrate Artificial Intelligence, an artificial intelligence company based in Spain that creates, buys and scales companies around AI in diverse sectors such as fintech, agritech, energy, human resources, and health, intends to join the Access Segment of the AQSE Growth Market. Announced ITF 6 July: Blackpoint Biotech plc, a me

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 06 Jun 23

6th June 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment objectiv

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 31 Mar 23

31 March 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment objectiv

Hybridan Small Cap Feast 18/07/2022

18 July 2022 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment objective

Hybridan Small Cap Feast 01/04/22

Joiners: No Joiners Today. Leavers: No Leavers Today. What’s cooking in the IPO kitchen? First Tin plc, a tin development company with advanced, low capex projects in Germany and Australia, intends to list on the Main Market. First Tin is led by an experienced team of tin specialists, committed to the environmentally sensitive and low carbon development of advanced hard rock tin projects in conflict free, low political risk jurisdictions. The Company has raised £20m to execute its plan to bring

Support Group - finnCap Business Services quarterly sector note

Topic of the quarter: The Order Book Myth. Business Services has a range of companies with significant order books that should provide valuable visibility in these uncertain times. However, orders can be delayed or cancelled, definitions vary and delivering them profitably is an obvious challenge. We have screened the companies we keep an eye on in the wider sector for size of order book relative to sales, and then looked at their historic ability to deliver EPS at least in line with expectation

Hybridan Small Cap Feast 02/03/22

Dish of the day Joiners: URA Holdings (URAH.L), a London based mining exploration and development company, has joined the Main Market (Standard). URA, a former AIM-listed company, is refinanced and ready for listing as an African focused mineral exploration company. The Company’s purpose is to seek unique, value-enhancing opportunities in minerals as a project generator including to prove-up early-stage exploration projects to spin out/farm out or sell. The strategy is initially focussed on Sout

Hybridan Small Cap Feast 01/03/2022

7Digital Group 0.375p £10.2m (7DIG.L) The global leader in B2B end-to-end digital music solutions, announced that the Company has signed a contract with an existing B2B music streaming service customer, worth a minimum of EUR2.2m over a three-year period. The Company has been providing services to the customer since 2016, with contract renewals on an annual basis. This latest contract expands the relationship to a long-term agreement, providing greater visibility over revenue. The Company also e

Hybridan Small Cap Feast 25/01/2022

Joiners: No Joiners Today. Leavers: Rutherford Health has left the AQSE and Prime People has left AIM. What’s cooking in the IPO kitchen? ACP Energy plc, a company formed for the purpose of undertaking an acquisition or acquisitions of a majority interest in a company, business or asset, seeking to join the Main Market (Standard) The Company intends to focus on opportunities in the natural resources sector, raising gross proceeds of £830k. Due 28 Jan. Artemis Resources ltd, an ASX listed mining

Hybridan Small Cap Feast 18/01/22

Joiners: No Joiners Today. Leavers: Sumo Group has left AIM following a takeover. What’s cooking in the IPO kitchen? Unbound Group PLC, (currently called Electra Private Equity PLC) to join AIM. Unbound Group, will be the parent company for a range of brands focused on the 55 plus demographic. Initially focused on Hotter Shoes, Unbound's curated, multi-brand retail platform will offer additional products and services that will enhance the enjoyment and wellbeing of its targeted customer communit

Support Group - finnCap Business Services quarterly sector note

Topic of the quarter. Digital change is sweeping across nearly every industry, accelerated by the pandemic. Construction has long been viewed as slow to change and at the back of the queue in terms of technological innovation, reinforced by age-old problems of contract issues and inefficiencies. Yet there are pockets of progress, driven, perhaps unexpectedly, by the consumer. Equipment Hire is a good example. A number of players operate a B2C and B2B model alongside each other. Success in the B2

Shopping Trolley - finnCap Consumer quarterly sector note

The rite of passage to public markets for this year’s cohort of DTC companies has been a bumpy affair, with many share prices deflating faster than one can say TikTok, at the first hint of disappointment. Ten of the 11 stocks are at or below IPO Admission price with only CMO Group ahead and investors at IPO are right to feel dismayed, but we do expect the share prices to recover. In the meantime, for those investors who sat on the side-lines, there are some interesting, better understood, growth

Support Group - finnCap Support Services quarterly sector note

Topics of the quarter: Two weeks ago, the Infrastructure & Projects Authority published an update to its National Infrastructure & Construction Pipeline that will involve up to £31bn of contracts being brought to market over the next year, with a projected £650bn of planned procurement over the next 10 years. Furthermore, this update is the first time the Government has earmarked where certain investment will be completed predominantly using modern methods of construction, forming part of its st

Assessing the key investment & valuation dynamics

We view XP Factory as a genuine growth stock. In this detailed note we show how it is capitalising on the secular themes driving the competitive socialising sector and generating superior site returns, organic growth and customer reviews. This is further enhanced by a strong set of interims, with an acceleration of LFL over the summer and no change to FY Dec’23 expectations. Prospects of a healthy future is backed by our base case 3-year EBITDA CAGR of 44% on steady state expansion, which rises

Kitchen-sinking forecasts…and cash is still ok

ZOO today provides an update on H1 trading and as well, the full-year outlook the result being material changes to FY24 forecasts, while we withdraw FY25 estimates. The driving force behind these changes is a combination of factors; more cautionary customer spend (as SVOD platforms are placing greater emphasis on balancing growth and profit) while more recently, protracted industrial action has introduced yet further disruption. As such, H1 revenue is set to be materially down at c.$21m vs. $51m

Morning Note – 27 September 2023

Growing up fast

Interims to June are very encouraging, with sales +12% organic (and +68% stated) to £18.1m - reflecting material market outperformance, as Zinc’s strategy and execution is clearly bearing fruit. Further, with The Edge now embedded (and performing well) the Group now also carries significant greater scale, sector and geographic diversification and better margins too (at 41% vs. 33% in 1H22). Together, these provide competitive advantages in our view. With FY23 revenue visibility now £35m (as well

Cornerstone FS+ (CSFS, House Stock at 12.5p) - Disposal of another non-trading subsidiary

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 27 Sep 23

27th September 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment ob

SP Angel Technology: Cornerstone FS (CSFS.LN) - H1 2023 Strong Performance YTD

CSFS reported its financial results for the period ended 30 June 2023 with revenue of £3.6m and Adj. EBITDA of £0.2m, and profit before tax of £0.023m, in line with the trading update provided in May 2023, but well ahead of what our full year forecasts would indicate.

Morning Note – 25 September 2023

Hybridan Small Cap Feast 15-09-2023

Dish of the day Joiners: No joiners today. Leavers: No leavers today. What’s cooking in the IPO kitchen?** Announced ITF 12 July: Substrate Artificial Intelligence, an artificial intelligence company based in Spain that creates, buys and scales companies around AI in diverse sectors such as fintech, agritech, energy, human resources, and health, intends to join the Access Segment of the AQSE Growth Market. Admission delayed. Announced ITF 6 July: Blackpoint Biotech plc, a medical cannabinoids co

Big upgrades a function of non-cash lease accounting

There were no surprises in terms of FY23 EBITDA and net cash, both pre-reported. Non-cash treatment after IFRS16 right-of-use asset impairments has led to a substantial PBT/EPS beat, though, much of which feeds into FY24/FY25 forecasts with 78%/33% upgrades. This disguises a drop in underlying DPS cover and, as part of a capital distribution policy update, the final is reduced to 1.6p. This may disappoint some but has nothing to do with confidence in future prospects, and current trading is posi

LIBERUM: Safestay: Strong organic growth, acquisitions back on the horizon

Despite decent sales performance, profit warning spooks investors!

Kingfisher’s H1 FY23/24 lfl sales was 40bp ahead of market expectations but the PBT was 5.4% weaker. Although UK&I sales remained in the black, the performances in France and Poland were the pain-points. The Q3 lfl performance (to date) of -2.4% yoy is also below market expectations. We expect the pressure on earnings to continue during H2. Management has lowered FY23/24 PBT guidance to £590m (vs £634m earlier). We will reduce the target price by 7-8% but maintain our positive recommendation.

FY23 on track with further strategic progress

Interims show DPP is in good shape and responding positively to the new CEO’s actions. Order count is up (despite a soft macro backdrop), LFLs are strong and the proportion of stores transitioning to profitability is materially higher vs 12m ago. Strong summer trading in Poland and an easing of cost pressures underpin our decision to make no forecast changes FY23 being an inflection point in terms of moving into positive EBITDA (pre-IFRS16 basis). Overall, these interims are positive and support

Robust interims - on track for FY23

Tasty - Interim Results

Well-documented cost-of-living pressures continue to have a material impact on the casual dining sector, and Tasty is no exception. LFL sales rose +1.4% YoY in H1 to £21.7m, which was offset by material cost inflation (food, labour, utilities etc), leading to Adj EBITDA reducing to £1.1m (H1/22 £2.7m). Whilst trading conditions are likely to remain challenging in the near-term, we see grounds for optimism in FY24 – inflation is falling steadily and the Bank of England recently held interest rate