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Companies: BOL ALL ATYM ANTO SHG SOLG 1SN ARR BOL PXC
SP Angel
After a dismal Q2, there was some respite for Boliden in Q3. While the results were mixed compared with the market’s expectations (which triggered another sell-off), there were some positives – especially in top-line terms. Although it would be premature to expect that all the (operating) issues will soon be resolved, the ability to navigate volatile commodity markets was evident in the divisional dynamics (even when operations are far from optimal). Hence, the market’s nervousness remains a bu
Companies: Boliden Ab (BOL:STO)Boliden AB (BOL:OME)
AlphaValue
On the back of extreme endogenous and exogenous headwinds, Boliden reported dismal Q2 results. Disappointingly, the weakness in Mining was worse than Smelting – where a massive fire accident crippled operations. The situation was further complicated by a difficult macro/operating environment. While the issues may not subside anytime soon, today’s colossal sell-off and the significant share price weakness in recent months has opened up an opportunity to bank on a firm that’s capable of gradually
Based on our recent discussion with Boliden’s IR, it is clear that the recent smelter incident has dealt a major blow to operations. A key limitation would be the inability to capture the value of free metals (primarily gold), which is expected to take a toll on profitability. The good part is that the impact of this event is well-insured. Also, drawing a parallel with Norsk Hydro (faced with a similar situation a few years ago), we remain confident of the Swedish firm’s rebound.
Companies: CUSN GAL KAV ZNWD CCZ BOL BOL
2023 began on a weak note for Boliden with the Q1 results missing the street’s expectations. Volumes were a key challenge, especially in Mining. While the stock fell >7% on the day of the results release, we believe that the current level offers an attractive entry opportunity, thanks to intact underlying virtues – including well-balanced Mining and Smelting exposure, FX benefits, valuable precious metal exposure, a strong balance sheet, abating cost headwinds and a unique European metals propos
2022 ended on a mixed note. A combination of volume challenges, moderating prices and higher costs restrained the Q4 results. While the 2022 results were at record levels – which also fuelled an impressive shareholder rewards package – and Smelting outperformed Mining – something which may continue in the near future – a normalising medium-term earnings trajectory seems inevitable. Moreover, with aggressive spending plans, rewards too should normalise. But given Boliden’s unique metals propositi
Despite healthy prices, Boliden’s Q2 results missed street expectations. Besides guided maintenance shutdowns, the impact of spiralling cost inflation was evident in both divisions. Moreover, given the ferocious commodity pricing correction underway since late Q2, further operating performance normalisation in the coming quarters seems inevitable. However, by virtue of its smelting exposure, precious metal diversity and valuable SEK-driven tailwinds, Boliden seems ‘relatively’ better positioned
On the back of war-induced pricing euphoria, Boliden reported exceptional Q1 22 results, with both divisions performing well. While prices helped dwarf cost concerns in Q1, this may not be the case in the coming quarters. Moreover, with serious growth concerns in the Swedish firm’s focus markets, the sustainability of the current results looks increasingly difficult. While Boliden is an apt and well-balance proxy for Europe’s long-term metal demand, it is also risky given the brewing challenges.
After a disappointing Q3, Boliden has reported impressive Q4 results and summed up to healthy 2021 results. Broad-based price gains (and Q4 FX tailwinds) overshadowed volume disruptions and (brewing) cost challenges. Management again announced attractive shareholder rewards. However, various cost risks and pricing vulnerabilities lie ahead. While Boliden by virtue of its business model remains well-positioned to withstand market volatility, for now, the downside risks are higher and, hence, we m
Australian Vanadium (AVL AU) – Subsidiary to build VRFB at Water corporation site Boliden AB (BOL SS) – Nickel production halted at Harjavalta due to explosion Eurasia Mining* (EUA LN) – Update on hydrogen/ammonia strategy and new presentation Lynas Rare Earths (LYC AU) – Environmental approval for Malaysian disposal facility Sandfire Resources (SFR AU) - Spanish government grants Sandfire Resources approval for MATSA acquisition
Companies: AVL SFR LYC BOL EUA BOL
AEX Gold (AEXG LN) – Q3 report indicates progress de-risking Nalunaq Project Anglo American (AAL LN) – De Beers reports continuing positive sentiment in the diamond market Arkle Resources* (ARK LN) – Mine River gold exploration extends footprint of the Tombreen target Boliden AB (BOL SS) - Production halted at Tara Mine Galantas Gold (GAL LN) – Gold intersections from underground drilling at the Omagh mine Oriole Resources (ORR LN) – Resumption of drilling at the Senala project, Senegal wi
Companies: AMRQ GAL BOL ORR SOLG AAL ARK BOL
Although Boliden reported soft Q3 results – largely due to guided maintenance shutdowns and some unexpected production issues – the firm remains in a strong position to leverage favourable market dynamics. Besides the near-term disruption in (European) zinc markets, the recovery in smelting charges is a good omen. Furthermore, the firm’s strong positioning in Europe – where demand fundamentals are ‘relatively’ more stable vs. the likes of China – makes the Swedish firm a good sector bet.
On the back of healthier prices, this time Boliden reported decent Q2 operating results. Although the performance fell below expectations. Mining continued to do well, but Smelting came under some pressure. While Boliden remains an attractive European bet, the near term is likely to be restrained by market volatility, planned maintenance shutdowns and growing inflation risk(s).
Continuation of price tailwinds supported Boliden’s Q1 results, despite production challenges in mining, TC worries in smelting and FX headwinds. Both divisions managed healthy results. While eventual commodity market normalisation and guided smelter maintenance should gradually result in capped/retreating margins, Boliden’s (cash) return generation capabilities should remain intact. Hence, the Swedish miner-smelter remains attractive, but with limited upside.
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i3 Energy has announced that it has refinanced its Trafigura straight-line amortising facility with a traditional RBL facility provided by a Canadian chartered bank. We believe that i3 Energy's shareholders stand to benefit considerably from the restructured balance sheet because it is significantly better adapted to the company's needs, in our opinion. We believe the new RBL facility will free funds for growth and provide better long-term balance sheet stability, while significantly reducing in
Companies: i3 Energy Plc
WHIreland
i3 has announced a refinancing of its C$75m Trafigura debt facility, increasing liquidity for the company to pursue further growth initiatives. i3 has also announced its end 2023 reserves update, showing significant replacement of production during the year.
Zeus Capital
Diversified Energy, Touchstone Exploration, Savannah Energy, Chariot, Plexus Holdings, Energean, Gulf Keystone Petroleum, PetroTal Corp, Ithaca Energy, Pantheon Resources, Serinus Energy, Angus Energy, Aker BP, Equinor, BlueNord ASA, Invictus Energy Source: FactSet, weekly change 18/03/24-22/03/24 Oil edged lower to settle below $81 a barrel after a stronger dollar curbed investor appetite for commodities, offsetting signs of a tighter global crude market. Refined product supplies are looking m
Companies: TXP POS SAVE DEC CHAR
Cavendish
Companies: Good Energy Group PLC
Canaccord Genuity
Since November, the JOG share price has moderated from a high of 250p to current levels of 149.5p. This is despite JOG having now made significant progress towards FID on its c.70mmboe Buchan project, with FID upcoming later this year. In our view this share price move is unjustified, with current levels further enhancing the value on offer, and making an attractive opportunity for investors.
Companies: Jersey Oil & Gas PLC
Results demonstrate Bretana cash flows that allow growth CAPEX and dividends. PetroTal has produced a solid set of 2023 results. These show the cash flow generating capability of the company’s Bretana field in Peru, which enables PetroTal to both expend growth CAPEX while also making material returns to shareholders.
Companies: PetroTal Corp.
Companies: FOG PEB KBT EMR TIME GETB JNEO
The company's business structure is evolving and diversifying into several compelling and complementary businesses. The opportunistic, potential sale of its producing shallow assets would represent a significant change and the company's openness to realise value from that sale speaks to the company's prioritisation of shareholder interests and shareholder value creation. The current year will be significant for many of the company's growth businesses as they establish their first significant com
Companies: Caspian Sunrise PLC
Central Asia Metals (CAML LN) reported full year earnings with net revenue of US$197m down 12% YoY (-1% against VSA estimate) owing to lower commodity prices and modestly lower output albeit comfortably within guidance. EBITDA of US$97m was down 27% YoY marginally below our estimate as the lower top line combined with inflationary pressure. However, group COGS ex-D&A increased 8% YoY, far lower than in-country inflation. A flagged increase in taxation in Kazakhstan meant that net income was US$3
Companies: Central Asia Metals Plc
VSA Capital
• FY23 production, YE23 net cash and YE23 reserves and resources had been reported previously. • The FY24 production guidance of 21.5-24.5 mbbl/d with US$205-235 mm opex and US$135-155 mm capex has been re-iterated. • Current production continues to be high, with average production for the first half of March of ~23,000 bbl/d, including ~7.9 mbbl/d for Jasmine, 7.2 mbbl/d for Nong Yao, 2.9 bbl/d for Manora and 4.9 mbbl/d for Wassana. Production at Wassana is particularly high. • Valeura will als
Companies: Valeura Energy Inc.
Auctus Advisors
Companies: FOG TND BVXP ACC HDD
Companies: Diversified Energy Company PLC
Tennyson Securities
Companies: Zephyr Energy PLC
Turner Pope Investments
Genel has released its full year 2023 results. The January trading statement has already given guidance on several key metrics, and the results today reflect this. Expenditure was significantly reigned in during the year after the export pipeline was closed in March 2023, and material local oil sales have now helped the company move into a cash flow neutral position while resumption of exports is awaited.
Companies: Genel Energy PLC
Companies: PMG DUKE CMCL BOOM
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