Research, Charts & Company Announcements
Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on DATATEC. We currently have 10 research reports from 2 professional analysts.
|25Jan17 07:00||RNS||Cautionary Announcement|
|30Nov16 15:00||RNS||DEALING IN SECURITIES BY AN ASSOCIATE OF DIRECTOR|
|29Nov16 15:00||RNS||DEALING IN SECURITIES BY DIRECTORS|
|28Nov16 07:00||RNS||RESULTS OF THE SCRIP DISTRIBUTION|
|24Nov16 10:15||RNS||CASH FRACTION APPLICABLE TO THE SCRIP DISTRIBUTION|
|11Nov16 09:00||RNS||RATIO APPLICABLE TO THE SCRIP DISTRIBUTION|
|03Nov16 08:00||RNS||POSTING OF CIRCULAR RELATING TO SCRIP DISTRIBUTION|
Frequency of research reports
Research reports on
Joy of Techs
21 Nov 16
ICT evolution is driven by technological development as advances are made which both meet and shape customer requirements. Our 2011 note No such thing as a telco described the modern reality in that former ‘telcos’ now deliver varying elements of a range of managed services. We built on this theme last year, exploring in further detail their evolutionary paths, operating fundamentals, and cashflow yield similarities. In the consumer environment, demand for bundles of technology is complemented by demand for content. Across the pond, the mooted combination of AT&T and Time Warner typifies the bundled need of ‘pipe’ and content, since unbundled alternatives such as FaceTime and WhatsApp can be easier and clearer to chat over, and Amazon and Netflix are easier to watch anywhere. In the UK, BT’s defensive actions cover delivery, content and capabilities, acquiring EE yet also buying football rights. While TV was long ago added to triple play to become quad play, voice is now merely an app, and fixed and mobile seen as just dumb pipes: it's the content that will influence consumer choices. Growth of TV and film as well as music and gaming over IP leads to UK small cap opportunities. In context of the drive to maximise value from pipes and access by offering content and data, we look at some amongst the potential tech small cap beneficiaries: Amino*, Keyword Studios, ZOO Digital*, 7digital*, KCOM* and CityFibre*.
Looking up from interims
21 Oct 16
Datatec’s interims to August repeated the underlying detail revealed at the September trading update: the board looks to a sequentially and comparably stronger 2H17 and FY17, with revenue of $3.04bn showing a 7.6% decline vs 1H16 but at a gross margin of 13.8% (1H16: 13.1%), highlighting the challenges faced in a macro environment dominated by the effects of the strong dollar. The 1H dividend has reverted to match the unchanged existing dividend policy (exceeded since 2012) from 8 USc to 4.2 USc, to maintain a fixed three-times cover relative to underlying earnings. While FX has challenged the business momentum, it has benefited the sterling translation effect and therefore we retain our 400p target. Evidence of gentle LatAm recovery to the benefit of revenue, an improving product mix to the benefit of gross margin, and efficiency gains in opex due to the ERP, BPO and other initiatives, all lead to optimism for recovery for Datatec into 2H17 and FY18.
The Joy of Techs
15 Aug 16
Mobile money has been an awkward area for investors and industry alike. There have been too many new arrivals offering too many new solutions, leading to a confusing plethora of payment methods for both consumers and retailers, championed by varying stakeholders: banks, credit card suppliers or mobile network operators (MNOs). In this, the mobile money industry has ignored the key element of currency – that it is universally recognised and accepted. The confusion of competing payment methods inevitably led to numerous failures. The industry has promised much: a total technological revamping of the monetary systems in place since ancient times, in a short space of time, but has delivered little to date. However, that is not to say changes aren’t happening.
17 May 16
After a challenging year driven negatively by macro-economic circumstances beyond company control, the Datatec board has reiterated confidence with a maintained dividend. The one-off FX cost in Angola will not recur and we can see no further similar situations; the Westcon restructuring and BPO transformations are mostly complete, which will enhance margins and efficiencies; and challenged emerging markets businesses have been right-sized accordingly. Logicalis enjoyed strong second-half margins and strength in the US and Europe. With growth initiatives and margin focus, it is now a question of proving the execution and restoring confidence. Target 400p reiterated.
The Joy of Techs
04 May 16
This quarter's topic: Feasting on Red Tape. 2016 harbours every chance of being a stultifying year, given the imminent local and London mayoral elections, the looming hurdle of Brexit, the summer doldrums, the bizarre potential outcome of the US presidential election and then the home strait to Christmas. Excuses for inactivity abound with regard to spending IT capex budgets.
Consensus eps falling…falling…falling…rising 2.0
29 Apr 16
In January we screened for companies with estimates that had been declining consistently since a year previously, but which had risen in the immediately preceding three months (see our note dated 22 January 2016). We have reviewed the performance of those companies and, given the overall strength of this selection, we have re-run the screen. In the c.3 months since selection, the unweighted average rise was c.34% against a c.11% rise in the main All-Share index. From the same universe as before (some 900 companies) we find 38 companies selected by the screen. We note a number of stocks in the list where we have a supportive stance including: Devro (DVO LN, Buy), James Fisher (FSJ LN, Corporate), Mattioli Woods (MTW LN, Buy) and Spirent Communications (SPT LN, Buy).
20 Feb 17
Hayward Tyler Group* (HAYT): Trading update and financial position (CORP) | Petra Diamonds (PDL): Interim results (BUY) | Gemfields* (GEM): Interim results (CORP) | Premaitha Health* (NIPT): Middle East momentum (CORP) | Sound Energy (SOU): Acquisition update and TE-8 well spud (HOLD) | Proactis* (PHD): Interim trading on track (CORP) | 7digital* (7DIG): Automotive contract win (CORP)
The Slide Rule
12 Jan 17
What is The Slide Rule? The Slide Rule has been designed to dramatically simplify the identification of the best companies in the UK small/mid-cap sector by making a quantitative assessment of the relative potential of each company. At its core, The Slide Rule aims to identify those companies that create genuine shareholder value through strong returns on capital and solid growth, but also present a value opportunity with the potential tailwind of earnings momentum. Companies are assessed within a Quality, Value, Growth and Momentum (QVGM) framework.
21 Feb 17
Lighthouse Group* (LGT): Middle Britain growth (CORP) | Utilitywise* (UTW): Double-digit sales growth (CORP) | Trakm8* (TRAK): Earnings expectations cut again (CORP) | dotDigital* (DOTC): Myriad growth opportunities (CORP) | Artilium* (ARTA): Five-year Telenet deal secured and prepaid (CORP) | Netcall* (NET): Cloud investment pays off (CORP)
N+1 Singer - Small-cap quantitative research - New quality style screen + 11 quality focus stocks
09 Feb 17
We introduce our fourth and final style screen representing “quality”. This screens for stocks with the best combination of high returns on capital/equity, EBIT margins and operating cash-flow conversion rates. These criteria should help us monitor how strong underlying returns translate into share price performance over time and under varying market conditions. The screen selects the “best” 25 stocks from our universe of just over 500 stocks and, as usual, we focus on a shorter list of stocks we cover or otherwise know and believe to be particularly interesting. We provide brief investment summaries on these focus stocks on pages 4 – 9. We will monitor performance and refresh the screen in approximately 3-4 months time.
N+1 Singer - NCC Group - Further issues in Assurance
22 Feb 17
NCC released a trading update yesterday afternoon highlighting further issues in its Assurance division. Sales growth has been lower than expected in all regions, resulting in a significant reduction in full year expectations. We have reduced our EPS forecasts by 25% in FY’17 and 22%/25% in FY’18/’19 respectively. Escrow continues to perform in line with expectations. In response to these issues the Board has announced a strategic review into all of the Assurance businesses. The results of the strategic review are expected to be announced at the FY results in July. With an extended period of uncertainty on the horizon we believe it will be hard for investors to gain confidence in NCC in the short term. That said we see fundamental value in the stock. Escrow is unaffected by this warning and remains an extremely high quality business, which we value at £353m in our SOTP. At the current share price this leaves Assurance valued at c.5x cal’17 EBITDA. While this appears to be an attractive multiple for a rare cybersecurity asset, we would like further clarity on the underlying nature of the current issues, hence our Hold recommendation. Our 138p target price assumes a 12x EBITDA multiple for Assurance but we apply a 20% discount to the group to account for the current uncertainty.