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As in H1 23, Bolloré’s statements now solely reflect the performance of Vivendi and of its Oil logistics business. That said, unfortunately for Bolloré, as in H1, oil prices remain well below their 2022 level. It is therefore not surprising that the Q3-23 trading statement came in below its level in 2022. In any case, Bolloré has not given us any clues as to its ambitions for the future now that the sale of its logistics business is about to be completed.
Companies: Bollore (BOL:EPA)Bollore SE (BOL:PAR)
AlphaValue
Having shed its image as a logistics-focused industrial conglomerate, Bolloré is now a mere reflection of Vivendi and its oil logistics business. The bad news for Bolloré is that oil prices have decreased, and the group’s results have obviously been far from stellar. Now that a takeover bid on Vivendi has been ruled out and the company is set to pocket €4.65bn, the question of redeploying the cash is becoming ever more topical.
After a stellar 2022 owing to a buoyant environment, Bolloré returned to normal with revenues down 11% yoy (organic) in the Q1 23. The Logistics division was the main detractor from Bolloré’s performance stemming from falling air and sea traffic in tandem with lower freight rates. The decline in oil prices hampered Bolloré Energy, which recorded a 16% organic decline. The slight bright spot is the communications division, up 2%.
In the space of two years, Bolloré has completely reshuffled its portfolio from being a logistics giant industrial conglomerate to a media company, so to speak. After the sale of its historical logistics activities in Africa to the Italian shipowner MSC, it is now the balance of the logistics activities that are going to be taken off the table. While the proceeds of the previous operation were redistributed to shareholders, these could end up financing a Vivendi takeover.
Having sold the logistics activities in Africa, it is now the turn of the whole Transport and Logistics division to leave the Bolloré portfolio. Bolloré announced today that it has entered into exclusive negotiations with the CMA CGM Group to sell its Transport & Logistics business for a €5bn cash-free/debt-free enterprise value. This move comes as a surprise given Bolloré’s long-standing appeal in the sector and its leadership position, but does make sense from a financial perspective.
Despite not being as impressive as 2021 with the spin-off of UMG, 2022 remains a milestone year for the industrial conglomerate which saw the handover of its historic chairman and the exit from Bolloré’s African logistics business. While we had been wondering about the HoldCo’s next moves with its pockets now filled, Bolloré will propose a simplified cash tender offer for c.10% of its share capital. The outlook for 2023 looks less promising with an expected drop in oil prices, freight rates and
Much like 2021, 2022 will be a milestone for Bolloré, marked by the transfer of the group to the new generation in February and the closing of the Bolloré Africa Logistics chapter. We see this €5.7bn deal, which opens the door to the reshuffling of the HoldCo’s portfolio, as positive from both a financial and a timing point of view. Combined with the record results expected for 2022, we reiterate our favourable opinion on the stock.
Bolloré closed another upbeat quarter, posting impressive revenue growth of 16% lfl yoy in Q3. Again this quarter, Transport & Logistics and Oil Logistics were the main growth drivers, benefiting from higher freight rates and the sharp rise in oil prices. But as the acquisition of the Bolloré Africa Logistics division by MSC looms, oil prices might revert back, and since Vivendi did not perform so well this quarter, questions are being raised about the sustainability of Bolloré’s growth.
Bolloré closed an upbeat H1 2022, posting impressive growth in revenues, EBITDA and net income. Transport & Logistics and Oil Logistics were the main drivers of these record results, both of which benefited from the current economic climate: higher freight rates and a sharp rise in oil prices. All in all, impressive results that should please investors.
Bolloré closed an impressive Q1 with strong revenue growth across all divisions. The group’s Transport and Logistics activity was boosted by the increase in freight forwarding and the Oil Logistics activity was supported by the strong rise in oil prices in the context of the war in Ukraine. The electricity storage and systems business also witnessed a boost in sales with higher sales of buses, plastic films and specialized terminals.
Bolloré’s 2021 was a milestone year, marked by the successful spin-off of Vivendi’s crown jewel UMG and the surprising announcement of a potential exit of Bolloré’s historical African logistics business. The 2022 outlook will be marked by this major deal, opening the door for a complete revamp of the HoldCo’s portfolio in the hands of the new generation, which formally took over the family endeavour in February.
Australian Vanadium (AVL AU) – Subsidiary to build VRFB at Water corporation site Boliden AB (BOL SS) – Nickel production halted at Harjavalta due to explosion Eurasia Mining* (EUA LN) – Update on hydrogen/ammonia strategy and new presentation Lynas Rare Earths (LYC AU) – Environmental approval for Malaysian disposal facility Sandfire Resources (SFR AU) - Spanish government grants Sandfire Resources approval for MATSA acquisition
Companies: AVL SFR LYC BOL EUA BOL
SP Angel
AEX Gold (AEXG LN) – Q3 report indicates progress de-risking Nalunaq Project Anglo American (AAL LN) – De Beers reports continuing positive sentiment in the diamond market Arkle Resources* (ARK LN) – Mine River gold exploration extends footprint of the Tombreen target Boliden AB (BOL SS) - Production halted at Tara Mine Galantas Gold (GAL LN) – Gold intersections from underground drilling at the Omagh mine Oriole Resources (ORR LN) – Resumption of drilling at the Senala project, Senegal wi
Companies: AMRQ GAL BOL ORR SOLG AAL ARK BOL
Bolloré closed an upbeat Q3, posting impressive revenue growth for its Transportation & Logistics business, as well as a sales surge for Oil Logistics boosted by rising oil prices. On the Vivendi side, the de facto takeover bid of Lagardère following its agreement signed with Amber Capital points to the family’s next major move after the successful completion of the UMG spin-off, which has led to the Bolloré parent holding an 18% stake on the now independent crown jewel.
Bolloré could be looking to exit its long-standing logistics activities in Africa according to French media. Although the company has not commented on the matter — so it remains all speculation — we see this potential move as a clear positive. Bolloré is faced with the high capital intensity of the business while affronting competitive pressures from deeper-pocketed and expanding rivals. Supportive valuations for logistics & port operators and the upcoming departure of Vincent Bolloré suggest th
Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on Bollore SE. We currently have 21 research reports from 4 professional analysts.
Topps Group is the UK’s largest specialist supplier and distributor of tiles and associated products to the UK’s domestic and commercial markets. Each of the last three years the Group has successfully achieved record revenue in a market that’s seen recent volume declines and regional peers enter administration. Following the right sizing of its business, Topps Group is now well positioned to capitalise on the economic recovery and continue taking share from competitors, supported by its global
Companies: Topps Tiles Plc
Zeus Capital
HeiQ reported its interim results for the 12-months to December 2023, a period characterised by challenging conditions in the markets in which the company currently operates. In-line with the recent trading update, the company reported revenues of $41.7m for FY23 and closed the period with a cash balance of c$10m and a net debt position of $2.2m. We have updated our forecasts to reflect the FY23 results and HeiQ’s outlook in 2024, leaving our revenue forecast unchanged but adjusting gross margin
Companies: HeiQ PLC
Cavendish
Companies: 88E CNC FTC TRCS HEIQ CREO ZAM
Pinewood Technologies’ results for the 13 months to 31 January 2024 confirmed good growth in user numbers, revenue and operating profit for the continuing automotive software business. Our unchanged forecasts (see 6 March research) show strong revenue growth, high margins, and good cash generation over the period to FY26 as the Group executes its accelerated growth plan. As of Tuesday this week, Pinewood’s shares are ex-dividend and a 1-for-20 share consolidation is effective, meaning our discou
Companies: Pinewood Technologies Group PLC
Companies: Tortilla Mexican Grill Ltd.
Liberum
At its FY23 results in June 2023, G4M announced its intention to focus on product margins, overhead cost reduction, and efficiency ahead of revenue growth, along with further net debt reduction, in FY24. The FY24 year-end trading update confirms G4M has delivered on these rebalanced priorities, with gross margin rising and net debt almost halving compared with FY23. Cost savings achieved in FY24 and the continued development of higher-margin categories should deliver further upside in FY25E.
Companies: Gear4music (Holdings) PLC
Progressive Equity Research
24th April 2024 * A corporate client of Hybridan LLP ** Arranged by type of listing and date of announcement *** Alphabetically arranged **** Potential means Intention to Float (ITF) has been announced Dish of the day Admissions: Delistings: What’s baking in the oven? ** Potential**** Initial Public Offerings: Reverse Takeovers: 16 April 2024: Electric Guitar (ELEG.L) Concurrent with its Admission to trading on AIM, Electric Guitar is proposing to acquire the entire issued share capital of 3radi
Companies: FTC AGL SRT SOU G4M AOM SUP
Hybridan
React Group has released a positive update that has confirmed that the strong 2H 2023A momentum has continued into 1H 2024E, with what was described as a ‘record trading performance'.
Companies: REACT Group Plc
Dowgate Capital
Companies: JDW MAB MARS WTB FSTA BOWL CPG SSPG LGRS SSTY OTB HSW TMO GYM MEX
Pinewood’s transition to a pure-play automotive SaaS business is now largely complete. Today we introduce summary forecasts out to FY26 and reiterate the investment case. We see significant opportunity for Pinewood to grow its user base in the UK and internationally whilst generating high EBITDA margins and cash conversion. With a 24.5p special dividend embedded in the current price (payable Q1/Q2), the effective price today is 12.3p. Based on the Group’s FY27 target of £27m EBITDA, we estimate
Vertu is the fourth largest automotive retailer in the UK, with 188 sales outlets and a track record of cross-cycle growth, principally through businesses it has acquired, funded by equity, debt and most importantly cash generation. Vertu operates across the entire vehicle lifecycle, including new and used vehicle sales, and vehicle servicing, repair and parts. Service and repair is a 40+% gross margin repeating business. With economic headwinds, the transition to electric vehicles, recent overs
Companies: Vertu Motors PLC
On 9 January last year, we set out our ten top stock picks for 2023, for what turned out to be another relatively poor twelve months for UK equities due to two wars, stubbornly high inflation and further tightening of monetary policy. This was even as other major markets, such as the US, largely recovered in the year. In the 2023 calendar year, the AIM All-Share index fell 8.2% and is still 42% off its 2021 high. From the release of our 2023 top picks note, the average total return (assuming div
Companies: PTAL GHH IGP MSLH PINE NXQ EQLS NXR AXL
PPHE has released its usual Q1 trading update (31 March period-end) which reads reassuringly. The outlook says that “the Board remains confident in delivering full year performance in line with market expectations”. Revenue rose by 11.9%, from £68.8m to £77.0m. Growth was 11.0% on a Like-for-like (LFL) basis excluding the first three months of operation from art’otel Zagreb, Croatia. Revenue growth was driven by a rise in occupancy as room rates continued to normalise across both leisure, corpo
Companies: PPHE Hotel Group Limited
H2 Radnor
We are initiating coverage of a.k.a. Brands Holding Corp. ("a.k.a. Brands" or the "company"), a leading owner of primarily online apparel-based brands focused on Generation Z and Millennial consumers, with a Buy rating and $14.00 price target, or 10.9X our 2025 EBITDA projection of $20.2 million. The company's brands include: 1) Princess Polly, focusing on 15 to 25 year-old women; 2) Petal & Pup, which offers feminine styles for 25 to 34 year-old women; 3) Culture Kings, a street wear destinatio
Companies: GPS URBN ITX AEO AEO GES GES ITX GPS ANF 0R32 URBN
Small Cap Consumer Research LLC
Domino’s Pizza Group’s (DOM’s) new CEO has set an ambitious long-term growth target, including an acceleration in its net store opening programme. With better alignment between the company and its franchisees, management believes DOM should be capable of generating improved profit growth, versus that achieved in recent years, and potential higher returns.
Companies: Domino's Pizza Group plc
Edison
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