Mirriad Advertising’s innovative methodology to insert high-impact advertising inventory into content is gaining traction with platforms, agencies and advertisers. Conversion into revenues was slow but is now building. The group’s two-year exclusive contract with Tencent in China is clear validation and it is now in advanced talks with several top-tier US entertainment majors. COVID-19 is seriously impacting advertising spend, but Mirriad’s approach potentially redefines the value equation and it looks well placed. Last summer’s £16.2m fund-raise put the group on a sound financial footing, with end April 2020 net cash of £15.8m (lease debt only).
Companies: Mirriad Advertising
Uber announced earnings Monday that beat analyst estimates on the top and bottom lines for its third quarter of 2019. But the stock fell as much about 5% after the company reported over $1 billion in net losses, topping its $986 million loss during the same quarter last year. The loss includes $401 million in stock-based compensation. Following the results, in an interview with CNBC’s Deirdre Bosa on Monday, Khosrowshahi (CEO) said the company is targeting adjusted EBITDA profitability in 2021. We believe Mobility companies will continue to struggle to convince the capital markets until investors see the model proven.
Companies: TRAK AMO CPX IQE MIRI QTX SEE TCM TRCS TRMR
Apple supplier Samsung Display said on Thursday it will invest 13.1 trillion won ($11bn) on facilities and research to upgrade a production line, as it battles severe oversupply due to weak global demand for smartphones and TVs. The unit of Samsung Electronics said that by 2025 it will spend 10 trillion won on facilities and the rest on research and development to produce more advanced display screens.
Companies: BIDS CDM FDEV GFIN KWS MIRI MPM SUMO TM17 TRMR
Google has updated its concept of tech-infused apparel and it appears to target everyday people not interested in obvious wearables. The company’s advanced technologies division launched an update to a Levi’s partnership that shows its latest vision of gesture control, which will see computing sensors to go in “everyday” apparel without turning them into gadgets. The latest update is the clearest depiction of how Google is thinking of "Ambient computing," which the company describes as using computing without feeling tied to a physical phone.
Companies: MIRI MPM TRMR
Elektron Technology (soon to be renamed Checkit), Mirriad, Volex and Allergy Therapeutics management are all presenting
Induction Healthcare Group plc—a healthcare technology company focused on streamlining the delivery of care by Healthcare Professionals looking to join AIM. Expected raise of £14.58m at 115p, market cap of £34.07m. Expected 22 May 2019. SDX Energy plc—a North Africa focused oil and gas company, announces its intention to complete a Canadian plan of arrangement under section 192 of the Canada Business Corporations Act and will have shares de-listed from the TSX-V and admitted to trading on AIM. Expected 28 May 2019, anticipated market cap of £76m Renold plc—a leading international supplier of industrial chains and related power transmission products, announced that it will cancel the listing of the Company from the premium segment and apply for admission on AIM. Expected 06 June 2019. Alumasc Group plc, the premium building products, systems and solutions group, has announced its intention to move from the Premium Segment of the main market to AIM. Expected market cap of £33.4m. Expected 25 June 2019
Companies: ARW BKS CHAR PEG TPX MIRI BYOT VRS SECG ELCO
Vannin Capital—Press reports that litigation funder Vannin Capital is working on plans to float on the London Stock Exchange later in 2018 with an expected valuation of well over £500m | Avast, global cybersecurity provider with 435m users worldwide. In 2017, the Group's Adjusted Billings was $811 million, Adjusted Revenue was $780 million, Adjusted Cash EBITDA was $451 million. Seeking to raise $200m. Due in May | Fundamentum Supported Housing REIT. Raising £150m. Focussed on UK Social Housing assets. Due 2 May | Vivo Energy—retailer and marketer of Shell-branded fuels and lubricants in Africa, Due in May. 100% secondary sell-down of existing Shares by Selling Shareholders, No new Money. Pricing TBA | Gore Street Energy Storage Fund—Seeking to raise £100m for the purposes of investment in a diversified portfolio of utility scale energy storage projects. Due 03 May | Odyssean Investment Trust—Raising £100m at £1. Due 1 May. The Company will primarily invest in smaller company equities
quoted on markets operated by the London Stock Exchange | Finablr - press reports in ‘Arabian Business’ that Money transfer firms UAE Exchange, Travelex and others under UAE billionaire Bavaguthu Raghuram Shetty’s newly formed holding company Finablr are preparing for a London IPO
Companies: MORT BION CORA ATQT ICON GRP MXO MIRI SYME
Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on Mirriad Advertising.
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Kape’s recent Capital Markets Day (CMD) was an extremely useful update on the many benefits of integrating complementary acquired businesses (including the collaboration between engineering teams) and the opportunities for upselling that new product development brings. Over the last six months, Kape has proceeded with the integration of PIA, expanding the growth of new users through the application of the Group’s user acquisition knowhow and technology. It has also made further enhancements to its product offering which, inter alia, will improve user engagement and retention. This note looks to bring out the main points from the CMD and highlights the significant progress that has been made this year.
Companies: Kape Technologies
U.S. futures and European stocks dropped on Friday as investors mulled a reported conflict among policy makers over a stimulus package for the single-currency region, as well as political upheaval in France.
The Stoxx 600 Index fell after Bloomberg News reported the European Central Bank is facing a potential rift over how much their emergency bond-purchase program should stay weighted toward weaker countries such as Italy. The euro fluctuated following French President Emmanuel Macron's decision to name a new prime minister after asking his government to resign. Rolls-Royce Holdings Plc slumped after the British jet-engine maker said its exploring options to raise funds to strengthen its balance sheet.
The dollar was slightly down, posting its first weekly drop in a month, while American cash equity and bond markets were shut for Independence Day. President Donald Trump will attend an early July 4 celebration at Mount Rushmore with thousands of guests who won't be required to wear masks, while his U.K. counterpart Boris Johnson urged Britons to act responsibly as pubs prepare to re-open and the government lifts quarantine rules on travel for 60 countries.
The friction at the ECB highlights the risk to markets should promised stimulus measures fall short. Investors continue to weigh policy support and upbeat economic data against relentless new outbreaks of the virus. U.S payrolls figures Thursday fuelled optimism of a V-shaped recovery in the world's biggest economy, even as Florida reported that infections and hospitalizations jumped the most yet, and Houston had a surge in intensive-care patients. Emerging-market stocks posted the biggest weekly gain in a month.
Elsewhere, crude oil dipped but remained on track for a weekly gain.
Companies: TGL JSE IAE ADME BP/ DGOC ENOG NTQ NTOG PMO RBD ROSE RDSA UKOG TRIN
What’s new: Since 27 April 2020, when OnTheMarket started offering new “welcome contracts” almost 500 estate agent branches have signed up, with each business owner receiving welcome shares and over 60% either listing exclusively with OnTheMarket or on a “one other portal basis“.
We are introducing our Best Ideas for 2019 and also review the performance of last year’s picks. We suggest ten solidly financed stocks with good business dynamics that ought to be considered for core portfolio holdings and six UK domestically focused stocks that our analysts believe should perform strongly in the event that uncertainties unwind. We also introduce a new style of research from N+1 Singer which presents a Company’s dynamics and metrics in a clear and concise manner and concentrates on the pivotal issues affecting that Company and an investment decision.
Companies: BCA CLIN CLG CBP DNLM EAH STU FCRM FUTR GTLY INS GLE NICL SDL SPR TRI
The Coronavirus pandemic is a human tragedy of vast proportions – as well as the terrible human toll, COVID-19 has led to economies across the globe going into physical lockdown and financial freefall. Entire populations are adapting to the “stay at home” edict, to safeguard the vulnerable – and some of these changes will lead to long-lasting or perhaps permanent changes in the way we live or work. This note describes some of our client companies whose business models are well adapted to these changes, or who might see a change in long-term structural demand.
Companies: AMO BGO FDM GAMA KAPE LOOP TERN ZOO
A well-attended virtual CMD highlighted the continuation of attractive market dynamics within the Group’s core Data Privacy segment, as well as offering insight into PIA integration progression and the Group’s product roadmap. The launch of the Kape’s customer dashboard further improves customer experience (‘CX’), providing an easy-to-use interface and attractive upsell/ cross-sell optionality. We have taken the opportunity to introduce FY’22E forecasts on the back of the CMD, with strong customer retention and in-market consolidation improving the competitive landscape. FY’22E sales of $150m (FY’20E: $123m) are forecast to deliver adj FCF of $39m (FY’20E: $19m), generating a FCF yield of 8.4% in FY’22E. The Group has a number of levers for outperformance against conservative forecast KPIs.
Cello Health (CLL.L): Recommended Cash offer
Companies: Cello Health
Warren Buffett once said that as an investor, it is wise to be ‘fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful’. Fear is not in short supply right now.
Companies: OPM ALU ANCR BLV CONN CRC STU GATC HAT LEK MMH MCB MWE NXR NTBR NOG PAF PEG RFX SRC TEF TEG TPT VTU WYN XLM
Gfinity (LON:GFIN) is a world leader in the fast-growing market for esports. The company designs, develops and delivers full end-to-end esports solutions. This includes bespoke content, tournament and event solutions for commercial partners via the company’s proprietary online platform, live broadc
YouGov has updated on good H120 figures, with underlying revenue up 15% and adjusted operating margins increasing from 13% to 15% as the mix shifts further to the higher-margin Data Products segment. The group had cash of £27.2m at end January (lease liabilities only). With an online culture since the group’s inception 20 years ago, it is better placed than many to satisfy the increased desire to understand what is happening in populations by corporate and state at this time of uncertainty. We have reflected a more cautious outlook for the remainder of the year and will revert with FY21 estimates when the outlook is clearer.
Gfinity plc* (GFIN.L, 1.625p/£14.0m) | Blackbird plc* (BIRD.L, 16.5p/£55.4m) | Tern plc* (TERN.L, 11.5p/£31.1m) | The Panoply Holdings (TPX.L, 72.5p/£39.9m)
Companies: GFIN BIRD TERN TPX
What’s new: OnTheMarket plc (65% agent-owned and has almost 40% of independent UK estate and letting agents as shareholders) has released its January 2020 results revealing:
+ 32% rise in average branches listed to 12,497 (over 8,000 paying at year end; over 9,000 paying on 31 May 2020);
+ 12% rise in advertisers during FY20 to 13,364 (31 May 2020: 13,605);
+ 49% rise in mobile site traffic or portal visits to 237m;
+ 75% rise in average monthly leads per advertiser to 96.
We have refreshed our momentum style screen for the first time since inception on 26 July 2016. As before, the screen selects the 25 stocks exhibiting the most extreme momentum characteristics, according to our measurement method. From these we have selected 10 to focus on. Since inception the screen has underperformed both the main small-cap and micro-cap indices against a background of generally rising momentum. We have noted a subset of the basket, where decelerating momentum at the time of measurement appears correlated with significant share price falls since selection. We shall monitor this factor with the new screen, albeit there are only two such stocks showing this pattern, namely Lamprell (not rated) and Gear4music (not rated).
Companies: IQE SDY SUN ERGO NETD G4M GFIN ULS FUTR
OnTheMarket (“OTM”) is the largest majority-agent owned UK Property Portal. In its previous form Agents' Mutual, its agents with Board membership included SpicerHaart, Savills, Knight Frank, KFH, Strutt & Parker and Chestertons. OTM recognises that Agents’ listings provide the content for Portals to monetise, and Agents are the main source of Portal income. In recent years Agents’ shareholdings in the two large Portals, Rightmove and Zoopla, have fallen, while their prices have risen sharply. Duopolistic* pricing and reduced agent ownership within the two leading portals create the conditions for the next stage of OTM’s growth. OTM offers agents competitive prices with benefits of “mutual” ownership supported by external capital to fund marketing and growth plans. This includes use of 36.4m shares to attract agents with over 5,000 offices.
The Court of Appeal yesterday issued judgment “comprehensively” in favour of property portal owner OnTheMarket’ssubsidiary, Agents' Mutual, regarding all the competition issues in its legal proceedings against Gascoigne Halman, part of the Connells estate agent chain. While the non-competition issues relating to OTM’s claim remain to be resolved, we see this as a positive in terms of investor sentiment and allows senior management to focus more on the delivery of its growth strategy.